Coming closer to Cayman than previously thought

[gkrangers]

You could expect some pretty significant storm surge to occur on Cayman with the eye passing south, even if the eyewall misses.

[Sanibel]

TWC says Emily has a very compact windfield...

[gkrangers]

NHC does not make mention of storm surge in the 5PM advisory. Only above normal tides and battering waves.

So they are not expecting storm surge along the Jamaican and Cayman coasts?

[TheShrimper]

On the present heading, Emily will get no closer than 100 miles to Grand Cayman, so no hurricane force winds. That would be great news for them.

[InimanaChoogamaga]

.4N and .8W since last advisory which seems more northerly unless I have made a gratuitous math error.

Last advisory was 16.4N 78.0W
now it is at ........ 16.8N 78.8W

[johngaltfla]

the WNW turn seems to have occurred a little sooner than expected and could now bring the storm very near cayman. Any deviation to the right will mean a repeat of Ivan... if not worse

Worse? Holy smokes, they are still rebuilding half the island. I can not fathom "worse" for those poor souls. And as I've said in other threads, I'm getting a really bad feeling for the Florida Peninsula in the next two months. We skated in July and got lucky with Dennis weakening. But August and September really do have me worried.

[TheShrimper]

Yeh, that's WNW. Extrapolate now with those figures and see how it misses GC by about 100-125 miles to the south and west. No doubt there will be some tidal issues, but not as bad as one would expect ala Charley.

[abajan]

she has gotten stronger than the NHC had counted on.And since a strong cane tends to pull northward,it has caught them by surprise.This will indeed factor into the projected path down the road espicially if she pulls north even more

Is it that strong systems tend to pull north or is it strenthening ones.
Just curious.

[robjay]

Anybody have some good links to some Cayman web cams? I couldn't find any.

[deltadog03]

she has gotten stronger than the NHC had counted on.And since a strong cane tends to pull northward,it has caught them by surprise.This will indeed factor into the projected path down the road espicially if she pulls north even more

Is it that strong systems tend to pull north or is it strenthening ones.
Just curious.

yes, they do....

[Derek Ortt]

I've heard from a secretary at RSMAS, who has some family on Cayan that the island has been rebuilt already. They booted their gov't out of power because it took more than 6 months to rebuild the island is what I was told

[tailgater]

If Emily continues on this current path of about 290 degrees over the last 3 hours it won't get that close to G.C. but it does take it almost directly into Cozmel.

I'd like to retrack that statement she seems to taking a little more of a 295 to 300 track as of lately.

[gtalum]

I've heard from a secretary at RSMAS, who has some family on Cayan that the island has been rebuilt already. They booted their gov't out of power because it took more than 6 months to rebuild the island is what I was told

I know from people that have been to Cayman recently that they are in no way completely rebuilt from Ivan. Even in the tourist areas there is still obvious damage. In the less toruisty regions it's worse.

As for the political situation, I have no idea.

[stormie_skies]

I've never been and know little about the area, but a former co-worker of mine took a job on Grand Cayman starting a few months ago building expensive custom vacation homes....and he said he is still getting rebuilds from Ivan.

If Miss Em decides to pass much closer, tho, all that rebuilding may have been for naught....

[TheShrimper]

Grand Cayman is still in shambles. Travel Agencies here in Fl. discourage any type of travel there as the majority of the resorts are STILL damaged severly and only a handful are operating at full potential. There are no trees's, some beaches were improved, others were destroyed. There is a website which lists the latest developments as to what is operational and what is not, and when those that are not, expect to be. I will have to do a search to find it. So the island is not recovered or rebuilt.

[Derek Ortt]

might be in the millionaires section as she mentioned to me that it was due to their incredible wealth that they rebuilt

[hicksta]

I currently live on the water and if our house is destroyed by new lays we have to have the first floor be garage with no bedrooms. bedrooms must be on 2nd/3rd floor only. Maybe thats only in tx

[TheShrimper]

Unless the secretery was refering to Cayman Brac or Little Cayman, she has been misinformed or is blowing smoke.

[stormie_skies]

might be in the millionaires section as she mentioned to me that it was due to their incredible wealth that they rebuilt

prolly....the company he works for is some British outfit known for their castle-like multi-million dollar residences in England and France. poor guy thought he was gonna miss the worst weather ...they were gonna pull their construction crews out before August.....so much for the safety of that plan!

[Derek Ortt]

she has family there, I dont think she's lying.

Now, as I said, it may just be the upper class sections as extensive wealth was mentioned as the reason for the rapid recovery. Of course, the poorer parts wont recover as quickly