What is up with the models and 99L?

[EDR1222]

Just wondering what peoples thoughts were about the latest model runs on 99L.

Looks like most of them have it almost doing a loop or maybe just eventually dissipating.

Comments welcome


000
WHXX01 KWBC 161103
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL992005) ON 20050716 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050716 0600 050716 1800 050717 0600 050717 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.2N 48.7W 22.2N 50.2W 24.5N 51.6W 27.0N 52.6W
BAMM 20.2N 48.7W 21.9N 50.9W 23.6N 52.7W 25.4N 54.4W
A98E 20.2N 48.7W 22.1N 50.7W 24.2N 52.0W 26.3N 52.7W
LBAR 20.2N 48.7W 22.2N 50.5W 24.5N 52.2W 27.0N 53.2W
SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 33KTS 38KTS
DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 33KTS 38KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050718 0600 050719 0600 050720 0600 050721 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.1N 52.6W 29.8N 47.8W 27.6N 43.6W 28.6N 43.3W
BAMM 27.0N 55.7W 29.2N 56.0W 28.0N 53.4W 26.3N 53.3W
A98E 28.2N 53.0W 30.3N 50.8W 30.6N 47.7W 32.0N 45.0W
LBAR 29.3N 52.7W 31.5N 47.9W 32.0N 41.6W 36.9N 33.9W
SHIP 42KTS 46KTS 47KTS 47KTS
DSHP 42KTS 46KTS 47KTS 47KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.2N LONCUR = 48.7W DIRCUR = 315DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 18.1N LONM12 = 46.7W DIRM12 = 314DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 16.4N LONM24 = 44.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

[Scott_inVA]

Models prog this to eventually be caught by the trof.

But...wouldn't be surprised if if becomes a TD before finally being absorbed.
I can't make a case a piece of this is left behind and heads NW towards the US, but stranger things have happened...am very skeptical.

Scott