NHC Track

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gk1
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NHC Track

#1 Postby gk1 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:51 pm

Seems like Emily is on a true wnw path now; just as the NHC forecasted. We have to give them credit for the accuracy thus far. Seems like they have better accuracy with the stronger storms than with the weaker ones--such as Cindy!!
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#2 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:55 pm

Your correct. they did predict a WNW turn, But the storm is now northeast of the projected path. But they are doing a great job
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#3 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:56 pm

On there forecast points on the IR and VIS, were not WNW...they were slightly north of Due WEST..imo but, yes, so far pretty good...tough times ahead
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Rainband

#4 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:57 pm

Yeah Jaimaca and the Yucatan are gonna get pounded. :(
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#5 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:58 pm

Rainband wrote:Yeah Jaimaca and the Yucatan are gonna get pounded. :(


oh yeah...
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Rainband

#6 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:59 pm

Looking better for Texas though :wink:
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#7 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:02 pm

Rainband wrote:Looking better for Texas though :wink:


Not to come off mean, but how do you see that. The more WNW she goes the better the chance for Texas
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#8 Postby rtd2 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:08 pm

hicksta wrote:
Rainband wrote:Looking better for Texas though :wink:


Not to come off mean, but how do you see that. The more WNW she goes the better the chance for Texas


AGREED! but local weather man said she has a GOOD chance of coming in as aTROPICAL STORM...
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Rainband

#9 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:08 pm

hicksta wrote:
Rainband wrote:Looking better for Texas though :wink:


Not to come off mean, but how do you see that. The more WNW she goes the better the chance for Texas
The track hasn't changed and with the high in place it won't. Look at the models and the track. They may shift left even more.
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#10 Postby mf_dolphin » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:11 pm

Have to disagree with you bud. Once she started to strengthen she's definitely north of the prior forcast point. That's not a good thing long range for the S Texas folks if this continues.
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#11 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:12 pm

If you look at the tracks rainband, they arent to affected by the high that low.
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Rainband

#12 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:13 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:Have to disagree with you bud. Once she started to strengthen she's definitely north of the prior forcast point. That's not a good thing long range for the S Texas folks if this continues.
Time will tell but think the sat blackout is deceiving :wink:
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#13 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:14 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:Have to disagree with you bud. Once she started to strengthen she's definitely north of the prior forcast point. That's not a good thing long range for the S Texas folks if this continues.


Cmon MF....No kinda talk like that...;)
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#14 Postby flyingphish » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:32 pm

If the forecasted track holds ??? The islands of Jamaica and Caymans will be relieved of the brunt. The Yucatan will suffer to some extent and then old Mexico. If you had to
wish a track, this could be one of the most forgiving in terms of damage to populous. Hope it holds up!
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#15 Postby mf_dolphin » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:49 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
mf_dolphin wrote:Have to disagree with you bud. Once she started to strengthen she's definitely north of the prior forcast point. That's not a good thing long range for the S Texas folks if this continues.


Cmon MF....No kinda talk like that...;)


Sorry Strat! I just call'em like I see'em ;-)
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InimanaChoogamaga

#16 Postby InimanaChoogamaga » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:07 pm

rtd2 wrote:
hicksta wrote:
Rainband wrote:Looking better for Texas though :wink:


Not to come off mean, but how do you see that. The more WNW she goes the better the chance for Texas


AGREED! but local weather man said she has a GOOD chance of coming in as aTROPICAL STORM...


Did he say why he thought it would weaken?
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#17 Postby huricanwatcher » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:10 pm

InimanaChoogamaga wrote:
rtd2 wrote:
hicksta wrote:
Rainband wrote:Looking better for Texas though :wink:


Not to come off mean, but how do you see that. The more WNW she goes the better the chance for Texas


AGREED! but local weather man said she has a GOOD chance of coming in as aTROPICAL STORM...


Did he say why he thought it would weaken?


135 mph and increasing in strength????? a TS .... omy... get his head outta his .a$$
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#18 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:16 pm

When looking at the sat pics from 10pm I thought it was going more toward the N than the predicted path.
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#19 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:18 pm

well, i asked this in the other thread....any clue to what this means??
WITH A GRADUAL AND SLIGHT BEND TO THE RIGHT

something with the ridge?
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#20 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:38 pm

mf_dolphin wrote:Have to disagree with you bud. Once she started to strengthen she's definitely north of the prior forcast point. That's not a good thing long range for the S Texas folks if this continues.


Good point.
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