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#61 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:20 pm

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 06
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 13
Time: 0100Z
Latitude: 15°N
Longitude: 73.8°W
Location: 267 mi SSW of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Surface: 975 mb; Temp: 75°F; Dewpt: 34°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
1000mb height: 2379 ft; Temp: N/A°F; Dewpt: N/A°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
925mb height: 1506 ft; Temp: 71°F; Dewpt: 36°F; NNW (340°) @ 145 mph
850mb height: 3914 ft; Temp: 67°F; Dewpt: 37°F; N (10°) @ 128 mph
700mb height: 9364 ft; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 32°F; NNE (20°) @ 114 mph
EYEWALL 315 SPL 1491N07380W 0102 LST WND 019 MBL WND 34120
AEV 20507 DLM WND 00609 973729 WL150 32619 094
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#62 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:20 pm

warm core is good
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#63 Postby drezee » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:21 pm

Brent wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Temperatures inside the eye are warming.


That's about the only thing I don't understand... good or bad for strengthening???


good for strengthening
Last edited by drezee on Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#64 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:21 pm

Its good when the temperature in the eye warms...


956 millibars now.
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#65 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:23 pm

How low where the millibars in Mitch.
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#66 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:23 pm

905 millibars for Mitch.
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#67 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:23 pm

hicksta wrote:How low where the millibars in Mitch.


I believe it was 905.
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#68 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:24 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 06
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 26
Ob #01 Location: 226 mi SSW of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Ob #01: 01:12:30Z; 15.6°N 74.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 108 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: 01:13:00Z; 15.6°N 74.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 109 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: 01:13:30Z; 15.6°N 74.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 110 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 54 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: 01:14:00Z; 15.6°N 74.4°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 111 ft; Wind: NE (49°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: 01:14:30Z; 15.6°N 74.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 112 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: 01:15:00Z; 15.7°N 74.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 114 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #07: 01:15:30Z; 15.7°N 74.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 115 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: 01:16:00Z; 15.7°N 74.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 116 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #09: 01:16:30Z; 15.7°N 74.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 117 ft; Wind: NE (51°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #10: 01:17:00Z; 15.7°N 74.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 117 ft; Wind: NE (51°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #11: 01:17:30Z; 15.8°N 74.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 119 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #12: 01:18:00Z; 15.8°N 74.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 118 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #13: 01:18:30Z; 15.8°N 74.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 120 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 40 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #14: 01:19:00Z; 15.8°N 74.6°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 120 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 43 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #15: 01:19:30Z; 15.9°N 74.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 121 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #16: 01:20:00Z; 15.9°N 74.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 122 ft; Wind: NE (56°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #17: 01:20:30Z; 15.9°N 74.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 123 ft; Wind: ENE (59°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: 01:21:00Z; 15.9°N 74.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 123 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #19: 01:21:30Z; 15.9°N 74.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 124 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #20: 01:22:00Z; 16°N 74.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 125 ft; Wind: ENE (61°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 40°F
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#69 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:25 pm

hicksta wrote:How low where the millibars in Mitch.


Gilbert in 1988 got down to 888 mb... lowest ever recorded in the Atlantic. Mitch is 4th or 5th at 905 mb I think.
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#70 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:28 pm

I believe that this thing could get down into the 940s before to long.
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#71 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:33 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 06
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 27
Ob #01 Location: 190 mi SSW of Port-au-Prince, Haiti
Ob #01: 01:22:30Z; 16°N 74.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 125 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 54 mph; Max Wind: 55 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #02: 01:23:00Z; 16°N 74.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 125 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: 01:23:30Z; 16°N 74.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 126 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: 01:24:00Z; 16°N 74.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 127 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: 01:24:30Z; 16.1°N 74.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: ENE (66°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: 01:25:00Z; 16.1°N 74.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 55 mph; Max Wind: 56 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #07: 01:25:30Z; 16.1°N 74.9°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 129 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 58 mph; Max Wind: 58 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #08: 01:26:00Z; 16.1°N 74.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 130 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 59 mph; Max Wind: 60 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #09: 01:26:30Z; 16.2°N 74.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 58 mph; Max Wind: 59 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #10: 01:27:00Z; 16.2°N 74.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 133 ft; Wind: ENE (66°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #11: 01:27:30Z; 16.2°N 75°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 135 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #12: 01:28:00Z; 16.2°N 75°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 136 ft; Wind: ENE (63°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #13: 01:28:30Z; 16.3°N 75°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 52 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #14: 01:29:00Z; 16.3°N 75°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 54 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #15: 01:29:30Z; 16.3°N 75.1°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 145 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 53 mph; Max Wind: 53 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #16: 01:30:00Z; 16.2°N 75.1°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 52 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #17: 01:30:30Z; 16.2°N 75.1°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: 01:31:00Z; 16.2°N 75.1°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 137 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #19: 01:31:30Z; 16.1°N 75.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 136 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #20: 01:32:00Z; 16.1°N 75°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 135 ft; Wind: NE (55°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
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#72 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:34 pm

Brent wrote:
hicksta wrote:How low where the millibars in Mitch.


Gilbert in 1988 got down to 888 mb... lowest ever recorded in the Atlantic. Mitch is 4th or 5th at 905 mb I think.


Correct me if im wrong. But didnt Mitch Just sit and pour rain on the |_ thing of the yucatan lol. sorry dont know what to call it :x
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#73 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:34 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 06
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 14
Time: 0128Z
Latitude: 16.2°N
Longitude: 75.0°W
Location: 168 mi SE of Kingston, Jamaica
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Unknown
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: ENE (60°) @ 53 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 41°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 10300 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#74 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:36 pm

hicksta wrote:
Brent wrote:
hicksta wrote:How low where the millibars in Mitch.


Gilbert in 1988 got down to 888 mb... lowest ever recorded in the Atlantic. Mitch is 4th or 5th at 905 mb I think.


Correct me if im wrong. But didnt Mitch Just sit and pour rain on the |_ thing of the yucatan lol. sorry dont know what to call it :x


It stalled over Honduras.

Image
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#75 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:36 pm

hicksta wrote:
Brent wrote:
hicksta wrote:How low where the millibars in Mitch.


Gilbert in 1988 got down to 888 mb... lowest ever recorded in the Atlantic. Mitch is 4th or 5th at 905 mb I think.


Correct me if im wrong. But didnt Mitch Just sit and pour rain on the |_ thing of the yucatan lol. sorry dont know what to call it :x


Honduras and Guatemala. Yes... sat there for days and days and days. Killed at least 9,000 people.
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#76 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:42 pm

Hey I have a question, what was the lowest pressure Emily had overnight before rising again? Thanks.
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#77 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:43 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Hey I have a question, what was the lowest pressure Emily had overnight before rising again? Thanks.


952 mb I believe.
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#78 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:45 pm

Supplementary Vortex Data Message
Inbound Ob #1: 13.7°N 072.4°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Flt level wind: S (180°) @ 37 mph
Inbound Ob #2: 13.9°N 072.6°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: S (180°) @ 38 mph
Inbound Ob #3: 14.1°N 072.7°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 30 mph
Inbound Ob #4: 14.3°N 072.9°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: S (190°) @ 36 mph
Inbound Ob #5: 14.5°N 073.1°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Flt level wind: S (190°) @ 45 mph
Inbound Ob #6: 14.6°N 073.3°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 62 mph
Inbound Ob #7: 14.8°N 073.5°W; 700mb height: 13100 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 91 mph
Max flight level wind (Inbound): 119 mph at 14.9°N 073.6°W
First inbound ob surface wind: NA

Outbound Ob #1: 15.1°N 073.9°W; 700mb height: 13100 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: NE (50°) @ 108 mph
Outbound Ob #2: 15.3°N 074.1°W; 700mb height: 10100 feet; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 76 mph
Outbound Ob #3: 15.5°N 074.3°W; 700mb height: 10200 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: NE (50°) @ 58 mph
Outbound Ob #4: 15.7°N 074.4°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 47 mph
Outbound Ob #5: 15.9°N 074.6°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 41°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 47 mph
Outbound Ob #6: 16.0°N 074.8°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 53 mph
Outbound Ob #7: 16.2°N 075.0°W; 700mb height: 10300 feet; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 51 mph
Max flight level wind (Outbound): 130 mph at 15.1°N 073.9°W
Last outbound ob surface wind: NA
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 06
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 15
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#79 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:45 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 06
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 28
Ob #01 Location: 173 mi SE of Kingston, Jamaica
Ob #01: 01:32:30Z; 16.1°N 75°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 134 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: 01:33:00Z; 16°N 75°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 133 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 51 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: 01:33:30Z; 16°N 75°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 132 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: 01:34:00Z; 16°N 75°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 131 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #05: 01:34:30Z; 15.9°N 75°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 130 ft; Wind: NE (51°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: 01:35:00Z; 15.9°N 75°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 129 ft; Wind: NE (52°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #07: 01:35:30Z; 15.9°N 75°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 129 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: 01:36:00Z; 15.8°N 75°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #09: 01:36:30Z; 15.8°N 75°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 126 ft; Wind: NE (52°) @ 44 mph; Max Wind: 44 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #10: 01:37:00Z; 15.8°N 75°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 127 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 43 mph; Max Wind: 45 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #11: 01:37:30Z; 15.7°N 75°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 127 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 40 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #12: 01:38:00Z; 15.7°N 75°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 126 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 41 mph; Max Wind: 41 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 38°F
Ob #13: 01:38:30Z; 15.6°N 75°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 123 ft; Wind: NE (52°) @ 45 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #14: 01:39:00Z; 15.6°N 75°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 122 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 40°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #15: 01:39:30Z; 15.6°N 75°W; PA: 9970 ft; D-Value: 124 ft; Wind: NE (45°) @ 46 mph; Max Wind: 47 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #16: 01:40:00Z; 15.5°N 75°W; PA: 9970 ft; D-Value: 125 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #17: 01:40:30Z; 15.5°N 75°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 122 ft; Wind: NE (40°) @ 50 mph; Max Wind: 51 mph; Temp: 43°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: 01:41:00Z; 15.5°N 75°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: 122 ft; Wind: NE (45°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #19: 01:41:30Z; 15.4°N 75°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 121 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 48 mph; Max Wind: 50 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #20: 01:42:00Z; 15.4°N 75°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 119 ft; Wind: NE (42°) @ 47 mph; Max Wind: 48 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 40°F
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#80 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:45 pm

Brent wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:Hey I have a question, what was the lowest pressure Emily had overnight before rising again? Thanks.


952 mb I believe.

I thought it was in the low 950s. We're obviously getting close to that, but the winds may not be correlating the same now I guess.
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