Due West and looking at you

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hicksta
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#21 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:26 pm

I dont know how you are getting W i see WNW.
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#22 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:27 pm

its on the forecast points.....click them on...she did head due west for a bit...but, its right on the track....btw, i think she has slowed a bit
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#23 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:27 pm

We'll know shortly from the NHC... 14.5 N 72.0 W at 2pm.

It needs to be at least 14.8 or 14.9 N to be WNW.
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#24 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:28 pm

Brent wrote:
hicksta wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
hicksta wrote:look at the eye.. its wnw seems to have slowed down


That's what I posted over an hour ago. Emily has slowed
down considerably and getting better organized again. What does it mean?


Means a big change in the end of her path if im correct.. if she slows it would allow the ridge to weaken more and more NW. correct me if im wrong


I don't think so... she's going south of the track which spells Mexico over and over again to me, oh and she still seems to be FLYING west. If she doesn't get back on track shortly, then the models are going to have to shift back southward. This is not looking like a Texas storm to me(although extreme South is still possible if it gets back on track, but only IF).


I'm not sold on that one bit when we are still talking 3 days or more out before a US landfall (If at all).
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#25 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:29 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
Brent wrote:
hicksta wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
hicksta wrote:look at the eye.. its wnw seems to have slowed down


That's what I posted over an hour ago. Emily has slowed
down considerably and getting better organized again. What does it mean?


Means a big change in the end of her path if im correct.. if she slows it would allow the ridge to weaken more and more NW. correct me if im wrong


I don't think so... she's going south of the track which spells Mexico over and over again to me, oh and she still seems to be FLYING west. If she doesn't get back on track shortly, then the models are going to have to shift back southward. This is not looking like a Texas storm to me(although extreme South is still possible if it gets back on track, but only IF).


I'm not sold on that one bit when we are still talking 3 days or more out before a US landfall (If at all).


I'm not either... yet. But she's barrelling west right now.

As I said, if she doesn't get back on track in the next few hours, then some shifts are going to have be made in the projected path.
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#26 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:29 pm

we can't start talking a landfall yet...thre is waaay too many ifs...here is another...what IF** she slows down, as someone asked before??
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#27 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:29 pm

The Texans insist its moving WNW. Doesnt look that way on sat.
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#28 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:30 pm

Brent wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
Brent wrote:
hicksta wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
hicksta wrote:look at the eye.. its wnw seems to have slowed down


That's what I posted over an hour ago. Emily has slowed
down considerably and getting better organized again. What does it mean?


Means a big change in the end of her path if im correct.. if she slows it would allow the ridge to weaken more and more NW. correct me if im wrong


I don't think so... she's going south of the track which spells Mexico over and over again to me, oh and she still seems to be FLYING west. If she doesn't get back on track shortly, then the models are going to have to shift back southward. This is not looking like a Texas storm to me(although extreme South is still possible if it gets back on track, but only IF).


I'm not sold on that one bit when we are still talking 3 days or more out before a US landfall (If at all).



I'm not either... yet. But she's barrelling west right now.

As I said, if she doesn't get back on track in the next few hours, then some shifts are going to have be made in the projected path.



shes not going west.. go to WV and look at the loop look at the EYE its going wnw.. good lord
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#29 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:31 pm

yeah, it jogged west a bit...i AGREE...but, its not anymore..in fact...it was north of the last point...NOW, its back on track...
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#30 Postby dwg71 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:31 pm

Scorpion wrote:The Texans insist its moving WNW. Doesnt look that way on sat.


Texan here, its heading between 275-280 over the past 6 hours.
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#31 Postby southerngale » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:35 pm

Scorpion wrote:The Texans insist its moving WNW. Doesnt look that way on sat.


Yeah, and so do the Floridians at the NHC. It may have jogged west, but look at visible and put a ruler across the center of Emily on your screen. It's clearly not due west. I don't give a rip what state I'm in.
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#32 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:36 pm

southerngale wrote:
Scorpion wrote:The Texans insist its moving WNW. Doesnt look that way on sat.


Yeah, and so do the Floridians at the NHC. It may have jogged west, but look at visible and put a ruler across the center of Emily on your screen. It's clearly not due west. I don't give a rip what state I'm in.



finally
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#33 Postby stormie_skies » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:37 pm

wxman57 wrote:Latest images show that what you saw was a big wobble as the eye redeveloped. It's still moving to about 285 degrees.


OK, that makes so much more sense to me....

If you pull up the forecast points and the lat/long on the vis floater loop, you can see she does a little loopy thing, but her eye lands pretty squarely between two forecast points.... she may be going a little south of due west, I'm not sure, but she isn't more than a hair south of her forecast location. Take a look and see... :wink:

And really, enough with calling everyone "people I disagree with" already...its meanspirited and counterproductive.... :roll:
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#34 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:38 pm

stormie_skies wrote:
wxman57 wrote:Latest images show that what you saw was a big wobble as the eye redeveloped. It's still moving to about 285 degrees.


OK, that makes so much more sense to me....

If you pull up the forecast points and the lat/long on the vis floater loop, you can see she does a little loopy thing, but her eye lands pretty squarely between two forecast points.... she may be going a little south of due west, I'm not sure, but she isn't more than a hair south of her forecast location. Take a look and see... :wink:

And really, enough with calling everyone "people I disagree with" already...its meanspirited and counterproductive.... :roll:


PREACH IT
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#35 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:38 pm

yeah..amazing...we went through this last week....yeah, i am from TX and yeah i seen it wobble west. and NO its not doing it now
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#36 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:39 pm

For goodness sake... it is not worth arguing over.

*waits for 5pm NHC forecast*
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#37 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:40 pm

5pm NHC:

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 KT
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#38 Postby southerngale » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:40 pm

Brent wrote:For goodness sake... it is not worth arguing over.

*waits for 5pm NHC forecast*


Which will probably say west. lol

It does look west...I was just saying it wasn't due west. But whatever the case, just die already and we won't care where it goes!
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#39 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:40 pm

its not west. its wnw..
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#40 Postby greg_kfdm_tv » Fri Jul 15, 2005 3:43 pm

I posted this on another thread, but we may have a GOES problem.

No new images for over an hour.
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