Emily Weakening....or just reorganizing?

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jkt21787
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#21 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:42 pm

As far as Avila is concerned, I remember hours before Dennis re-exploded into a cat 4 he was doubting any intensification at all, certainly back into a major, so I will wait before seeing what happens in the GOM. Of course this refers to his 10 am discussion.
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#22 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:43 pm

jkt21787 wrote:As far as Avila is concerned, I remember hours before Dennis re-exploded into a cat 4 he was doubting any intensification at all, certainly back into a major, so I will wait before seeing what happens in the GOM. Of course this refers to his 10 am discussion.


LOL Yep I remember that

I just wish there would be consistency in the discussions. Things didn't change that much between 5am and 11am to go from "at least a Cat 3" in the Gulf to a weakening Cat 2 if that.
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djtil
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#23 Postby djtil » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:46 pm

i assume that there is some consensus even though 1 author pens his name at the bottom of the discussion....maybe im wrong.
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#24 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:47 pm

i can't believe they don't think she will explode in the gulf...
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#25 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:49 pm

deltadog03 wrote:i can't believe they don't think she will explode in the gulf...
There is more to it than warm water.
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#26 Postby djtil » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:51 pm

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i can't believe they don't think she will explode in the gulf...



it all depends on the shear, if the intensity models have accurately forecast it then she cant explode.
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Sanibel
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#27 Postby Sanibel » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:53 pm

Looks more like a July storm now.


Naturally it makes a GOM run at high intensity more likely...
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