Texas now on alert status

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Texas now on alert status

#1 Postby Portastorm » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:39 am

FYI, I work for a state agency that provides some disaster relief to Texans and was informed in the last hour that state emergency operations personnel are now on "alert" status re: Emily.
0 likes   

User avatar
stormie_skies
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3318
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 9:25 pm
Location: League City, TX

#2 Postby stormie_skies » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:41 am

Well, THAT is encouraging. :mad:
0 likes   

User avatar
Galvestongirl
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 288
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:13 am

#3 Postby Galvestongirl » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:45 am

what part of the state?
0 likes   

User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:

#4 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:49 am

Sounds logical to me.. A Fast moving Major hurricane with tightly clusters models runs pointing in thier general direction and with the trends looking worse..Somebody is gonna get blasted...might not be TX but ya can't take any chances with a Major Cane looking their way..



Paul
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

#5 Postby Portastorm » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:49 am

Galvestongirl wrote:what part of the state?


My agency serves the entire state.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#6 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:50 am

The entire state as I understand it or at least the coastal areas. Conference calls with NHC etc. will commence today.

This is from Jeff's post in the Tropical Analysis forum.

Preparedness Actions:

This is a serious threat to the Texas coast.

Significant surge, wind, and rainfall impacts are likely along much of the coast. Critical decisions will need to be made by late this weekend with respect to evacuation and preparation. Conference calls and coordination with Harris, Brazoria, and Galveston counties and TXDOT will begin this afternoon. I expect Galveston County to activate their EOC Saturday or early Sunday. I would strongly suggest canceling any plans to leave the area this weekend, and any plans to head to south TX or the coastal bend are not advised. Based on the current NHC track mandatory evacuations will need to begin late Sunday or early Monday along the lower Texas coast.


Link to the thread:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 532#952532
0 likes   

User avatar
Galvestongirl
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 288
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:13 am

#7 Postby Galvestongirl » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:53 am

Thanks, however, I am confused, if this is probably going to south texas, why would this area evac.
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#8 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:54 am

Galvestongirl wrote:Thanks, however, I am confused, if this is probably going to south texas, why would this area evac.


He didn't say that... he said mandatory evacuations along the South Texas coast. EOC's would activate since you are in the 5-day cone and there's always a chance, not because they believe a direct hit is likely.
0 likes   
#neversummer

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#9 Postby dwg71 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:55 am

No, it says evacs will be lower texas coast, they are recommending not going down there, and are recommending that you stay close to home if you live on the island so you can make preparations if it becomes necessary.
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#10 Postby GalvestonDuck » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:56 am

Galvestongirl wrote:Thanks, however, I am confused, if this is probably going to south texas, why would this area evac.


There was no mention of us evacuating yet...only South Texas. However, our area still needs to be on the look out in case anything changes in regards to Emily's path.

And when you consider this:
The eye of the storm is about 1818 miles (2926 km) away from Galveston, TX. If the system keeps moving at its current speed of 20 mph and directly towards you, it will take around 90.9 hours (3.8 days) to reach you. Given the current windfield (140 miles from the center), tropical storm winds will be felt in 83.9 hours (3.5 days).


there's only a couple of days left to prepare before we'd have to haul butt if she changes course.
0 likes   

User avatar
Galvestongirl
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 288
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:13 am

#11 Postby Galvestongirl » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:56 am

Thanks Brent, I appreciate your reply! You might be young, but, I really respect what you have to say.
0 likes   

User avatar
stormie_skies
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3318
Joined: Tue Aug 12, 2003 9:25 pm
Location: League City, TX

#12 Postby stormie_skies » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:03 am

A hit in South Texas will also put a good section (depending on the size Miss Em is when she makes landfall) on the dirty side of the storm. If she is really as strong as some think she will be, the effects will be felt quite a few miles up the coast, correct? And with so much uncertainty in the exact point of landfall.....it seems logical to at least be prepared to either bunker down or evac, just in case....
0 likes   

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

#13 Postby Portastorm » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:08 am

stormie_skies wrote:A hit in South Texas will also put a good section (depending on the size Miss Em is when she makes landfall) on the dirty side of the storm. If she is really as strong as some think she will be, the effects will be felt quite a few miles up the coast, correct? And with so much uncertainty in the exact point of landfall.....it seems logical to at least be prepared to either bunker down or evac, just in case....


Exactly! I don't think our state's citizens want us to wake up Monday morning and go "oh crap, there's a major hurricane that is going to hit us in two days ... everybody run!"

We are being cautious and prudent in ramping up our awareness and possible efforts down the road, should they be necessary.

Texans can be assured that EOP folks will be working all weekend.
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#14 Postby GalvestonDuck » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:08 am

stormie_skies wrote:A hit in South Texas will also put a good section (depending on the size Miss Em is when she makes landfall) on the dirty side of the storm. If she is really as strong as some think she will be, the effects will be felt quite a few miles up the coast, correct? And with so much uncertainty in the exact point of landfall.....it seems logical to at least be prepared to either bunker down or evac, just in case....


Correct. I've read about Gilbert causing flooding on the west end of the island.
0 likes   

bbadon
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 190
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 7:21 am
Location: Johnson Bayou, LA
Contact:

#15 Postby bbadon » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:20 am

Do not be surprised it there are evacs that far up the coast especially with what just happened with Dennis. The Storm Surge was a considerable distance from the center. And remember evacs are for the storm surge can't really run from the wind.
0 likes   

User avatar
beachbum_al
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Age: 55
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:23 pm
Location: South Alabama Coast
Contact:

#16 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:24 am

How far up the Coast of TX? My husband aunt and uncle along with cousin live in South Padre Island (I think that is right) and my best friend's family lives in Corpus Christe.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cape Verde
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 564
Age: 70
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:53 pm
Location: Houston area

#17 Postby Cape Verde » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:28 am

beachbum_al wrote:How far up the Coast of TX? My husband aunt and uncle along with cousin live in South Padre Island (I think that is right) and my best friend's family lives in Corpus Christe.
<P>As of right now, the folks on South Padre should be making motel reservations in San Antonio.
0 likes   

User avatar
amawea
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 385
Age: 73
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 3:36 pm
Location: Horseshoe Bend, Ar. but from Baytown, Tx

#18 Postby amawea » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:35 am

Look what Dennis' feeder bands did to the state of Florida, even the east side had some bad storms and heavy rains. That could happen to the upper Tx coast.
amawea
0 likes   

User avatar
MyrtleBeachGal
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 60
Age: 58
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:46 pm
Location: Myrtle Beach, SC
Contact:

#19 Postby MyrtleBeachGal » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:45 am

When my husband was in the Navy, we were stationed in Corpus Christi and we had to evacuate to San Antonio to the Air Force Base. We had to evacuate for Hurricane Bret in 1999. We were under a mandatory evacuation because we lived along the bay and were told by city officials that the entire town was at or below sea level and that's why there are no hurricane evacuation shelters. When we had to start our evacuations the roads were already clogged due to them evacuating S. Padre Island, Mustang Island and the military base near Brownsville (forgot the name of the base). It took us 8 hours to drive a two hour trip to San Antonio. :eek:

We were told that even the hospitals shut down and move all of their patients because the hospital in Corpus couldn't withstand the flooding waters and high winds and they didn't want them to withstand it because people would want to stay for all hurricanes.

That's the one and only time I've ever evacuated for a hurricane and that's because I wasn't sure what our home there could withstand and we were only 1/2 block from the bay.
0 likes   

User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#20 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:56 am

It looks like Emily would have an affect on at least 1/3 of the state of Texas if she makes landfall anywhere along the coast.Many will feel at least tropical storm force winds and alot of rain
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 193 guests