I've begun to really look forward to the daily JB threads and the passionate "discussions" that follow. What's today's take?
Where's the JB Report this morning?
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JenBayles
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Where's the JB Report this morning?
I've begun to really look forward to the daily JB threads and the passionate "discussions" that follow. What's today's take?
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Saw the video earlier.
He basically said mostly the same thing he's said since last week. He'd been indicating that he thought Emily might split the difference between Gilbert and Allen, but is hedging a little closer up to the Brownsville/Matamoras area. He said watch the teleconnections between the typhoon in the Pacific and see where about that goes in.
The only other thing he said was to watch the trailing disturbance. He thinks some of the modeling might be seeing a piece shear off and are counting that as the storm where he thinks if the lower level energy busts the shear zone out in front of it, then there's a shot for it to come back westward. That would be somewhere around SE FL.
He could be right in either scenario but I would think his Emily ideas of a South Texas or N. Mexico hit (most everyone's idea here as well) has a much better shot at coming to pass.
Steve
He basically said mostly the same thing he's said since last week. He'd been indicating that he thought Emily might split the difference between Gilbert and Allen, but is hedging a little closer up to the Brownsville/Matamoras area. He said watch the teleconnections between the typhoon in the Pacific and see where about that goes in.
The only other thing he said was to watch the trailing disturbance. He thinks some of the modeling might be seeing a piece shear off and are counting that as the storm where he thinks if the lower level energy busts the shear zone out in front of it, then there's a shot for it to come back westward. That would be somewhere around SE FL.
He could be right in either scenario but I would think his Emily ideas of a South Texas or N. Mexico hit (most everyone's idea here as well) has a much better shot at coming to pass.
Steve
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DESTRUCTION5
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micktooth
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Just remember his Dennis forecast as a mouth of the river hit. 
You can also see Accuweather's "cone of uncertainty" seems rather uncertain,ie; extremely wide!
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?ocean=atlantic&storm=Emily&imagetype=move&partner=
You can also see Accuweather's "cone of uncertainty" seems rather uncertain,ie; extremely wide!
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?ocean=atlantic&storm=Emily&imagetype=move&partner=
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