99L Plots trending back west....

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DESTRUCTION5
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99L Plots trending back west....

#1 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 6:32 am

Looks to me like 99L May be trying to sneak under the High and ride it west like ive said all along..
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Re: 99L Plots trending back west....

#2 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 15, 2005 6:33 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Looks to me like 99L May be trying to sneak under the High and ride it west like ive said all along..


But where is a link to those plots?
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#3 Postby Weeks Bay » Fri Jul 15, 2005 6:34 am

could happen...javascript:emoticon(':?:')
Question
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Re: 99L Plots trending back west....

#4 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 6:38 am

cycloneye wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Looks to me like 99L May be trying to sneak under the High and ride it west like ive said all along..


But where is a link to those plots?


http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm

Click 99 but you already know this well Cyclone..
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#5 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 7:23 am

Image

:eek:
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West?

#6 Postby Fego » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:44 am

That's NW.. isn't it?
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Re: West?

#7 Postby ericinmia » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:09 am

Fego wrote:That's NW.. isn't it?


Lol, come on... you can't have NW with out west :lol:

but there is a chance if this remains undeveloped that it can skim under that high and not jet north.
-Eric
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Re: West?

#8 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:21 am

Fego wrote:That's NW.. isn't it?


Yes... but they have TRENDED west. No more unanimous recurve.

The weaker it stays, the farther south IMO.
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Re: West?

#9 Postby ericinmia » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:25 am

Brent wrote:
Fego wrote:That's NW.. isn't it?


Yes... but they have TRENDED west. No more unanimous recurve.

The weaker it stays, the farther south IMO.


Agreed, like i said above....

If this were to develop it would move more northerly, however if it stays as a depresion or wave until north of the islands, then it would have a chance at a CONUS hit.

Sort of the same thing that happened with Andrew, it didn't develope much until after moving past the islands. (not claiming that this will be an Andrew)
-Eric
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#10 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:52 am

Its at a very high latitude already but given how strange this season has been I wont rule it out until I start seeing this thing fishing.

<RICKY>
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#11 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Jul 15, 2005 9:54 am

WeatherEmperor wrote:Its at a very high latitude already but given how strange this season has been I wont rule it out until I start seeing this thing fishing.

<RICKY>


could be heading here for all we know:

25.99 & Longitude -80.23
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#12 Postby Scorpion » Fri Jul 15, 2005 10:08 am

Not so fast. Models still have it recurving, just closer to the US.
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#13 Postby MGC » Fri Jul 15, 2005 11:10 am

99L is getting sheared and don't look that great on the satellite. I don't expect much right now. Perhaps in a few days conditions might get a little better.....MGC
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#14 Postby Steve H. » Fri Jul 15, 2005 11:58 am

99L is going to be meeting up with a trough, which it is beginning to feel the efforts of now. If the trough doesn't take it away (if it stays "it" it shouldn't) to the north we'll have something to watch late weekend, since IT would continue westward. Time will tell, but this should be intersting to watch.
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rainstorm

#15 Postby rainstorm » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:08 pm

thank god jb says we have a break coming after this
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wxcrazytwo

#16 Postby wxcrazytwo » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:15 pm

rainstorm wrote:thank god jb says we have a break coming after this


for a second I thought you were going to say Ann Coulter..
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#17 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:55 pm

Image

No LLC is clearly visible.
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#18 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 15, 2005 1:22 pm

CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 43W/44W SOUTH OF 23N
MOVING 10 TO 15 KT. THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE CENTER ALONG THE
WAVE FROM THE 15/0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS DISSIPATED.
NUMEROUS STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 19N TO 21N
BETWEEN 45W AND 46W. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES FROM 17N TO
22N BETWEEN 40W AND 44W HAVE LED TO WEAKENING CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY IN THIS SAME AREA. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 12N TO 13N
BETWEEN 45W AND 49W.


Development of this disturbance is right now unlikely, let see if the atmospheric conditions turn to be more benevolent over the next 24 to 48 hours, and then something may happen.
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#19 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 1:49 pm

Here's a recent shot of 99L. Looks like an open wave to me. Maybe a broad swirl west of the convection:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/franklin4.gif">
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#20 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:02 pm

I'll be sad if this doesnt form... I mean how long have we tracked it for in anticipation of development??? we thought TD development could begin DAYS ago! sigh... well we have some more waves off the African coast... not up on T# scale yet...think the season is leveling off now?
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