H Emily Recon Reports

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clfenwi
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#121 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:41 pm

Observation Number: 22
Time: 0432Z
Position: 12.3 North // 69.2 West
Flight level winds 13 knots//360
700 millibar height: 3136

concur with you gkrangers... looks like a setup for a sw-ne pass...
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#122 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:57 pm

When will be the next pressure fix? In where are they doing???
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#123 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:58 pm

most recent minob

0450 1301N 06829W 03051 0097 323 024 068 068 027 03200 0000000000

heading northeast towards the center, more or less...
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gkrangers

#124 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:58 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:When will be the next pressure fix? In where are they doing???
They are going to make a SW-NE pass. We should get obs and a vortex with the pressure and NE quad winds.
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#125 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:11 am

0500 1328N 06810W 03046 5001 289 047 102 092 050 03097 0000000000

I think they are approaching the center, either that or they are going to circle around the periphery therof...
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#126 Postby hicksta » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:16 am

i wonder what its like to fly in storms like this.. must be a bumpy ride
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#127 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:22 am

New max flight level wind: 128 knots

0505. 1344N 06801W 03076 5195 120 121 102 102 128 02932 0000000000

highest 30 second avg max: 122 knots

0506 1345N 06800W 03013 5139 121 122 086 086 124 02925 0000000000
Last edited by clfenwi on Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#128 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:22 am

clfenwi wrote:New max flight level wind: 128 knots

0505. 1344N 06801W 03076 5195 120 121 102 102 128 02932 0000000000

Do you know if thats 700 or 850 mb?
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gkrangers

#129 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:24 am

Supports the intensity of 110kts well. Possibly 115kts.

They are probably flying at 700mb.
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#130 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:24 am

jkt21787 wrote:
clfenwi wrote:New max flight level wind: 128 knots

0505. 1344N 06801W 03076 5195 120 121 102 102 128 02932 0000000000

Do you know if thats 700 or 850 mb?


700
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#131 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:28 am

clfenwi wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:
clfenwi wrote:New max flight level wind: 128 knots

0505. 1344N 06801W 03076 5195 120 121 102 102 128 02932 0000000000

Do you know if thats 700 or 850 mb?


700

Thanks. Looking closer to 130 now for sure.
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#132 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:30 am

0520 1414N 06730W 03048 0109 121 065 070 070 065 03209 0000000000

In the NE Quad, headed northeast...
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#133 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:35 am

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #302
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 125KT (143.8mph 231.5km/h) In NE Quadrant At 01:29:10 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 112.5KT (129.4mph 208.3km/h) *
Date/Time of Recon Report: Invalid Date (Invalid Date)
Position of the center: 13° 38' N 068° 05' W (13.6°N 68.1°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 700mb: 2709m (Normal: 3011)
Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured nm (0miles) From Center At Bearing °
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 081KT (93.15mph 150.0km/h) From 282°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 005nm (5.8 miles) From Center At Bearing 199°
Minimum pressure: 952 mb (28.11in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: CLOSED
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Circular , 8nm (9.2 mi 14.8km) wide
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 3nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

ob time 0503Z
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#134 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:36 am

Another 4 mililbar drop 8-)
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#135 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:39 am

Time transmitted: 0532Z
Position: 13.7 North // 68.1 West
Sea Level Pressure: 952 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: 11 knots // 030
925 millibar height: 256 meters
925 millibar winds: 11 knots // 065
850 millibar height: 1000 meters
850 millibar winds: 14 knots // 060
700 millibar height: 2675 meters
700 millibar winds: 23 knots // 045

ob24
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#136 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:48 am

Observation Number: 26
Time: 0540Z
Position: 14.9 North 66.7 West
Flight level winds: 46 knots//110
700 millibar height: 3151 meters

000

URNT11 KNHC 150544
97779 05404 60149 6670/ 30500 11046 1000/ /3151
RMK AF302 0405A EMILY OB 26

They should be wrapping up the mission...

...and it just ocurred to me that while they flew in from the northwest, home is now to the northeast of Emily so this northeast-ward flight in the northeast quadrant is the path home... they probably will continue to spit out obs until they are out of the tropical storm force winds...
Last edited by clfenwi on Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:51 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#137 Postby jasons2k » Fri Jul 15, 2005 12:48 am

wow
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#138 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Jul 15, 2005 1:05 am

Thats going to be bad for the Yucatan
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#139 Postby clfenwi » Fri Jul 15, 2005 1:19 am

They've gone back up to cruising altitude, so the mission is complete... next mission is scheduled to take off at 6 AM EDT and enter Emily at 7 AM with a fix before 8 .
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