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Stratosphere747
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#41 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:11 pm

gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....
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#42 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:11 pm

where at is the question.. do you have the whole clip or jsut that
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#43 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:12 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....


dont think so
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#44 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:12 pm

hicksta wrote:where at is the question.. do you have the whole clip or jsut that

there's a specific animation site, but I don't have it. I'm a one frame at a time person.
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#45 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:13 pm

108 hours...looks stronger...still aiming for South or Central TX...
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#46 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:13 pm

do you have the landfall fram
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#47 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:14 pm

You have to reach back to the 071200 run to find a NOGAPS as far north as this one... across Jamaica between 36 and 48 hours...
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#48 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:14 pm

hicksta wrote:do you have the landfall fram

It hasn't run up to landfall point yet. It will still be another 10 minutes or so probably until it runs up to that time frame.
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#49 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:16 pm

hicksta wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....


dont think so


Hicksta...You are becoming quite annoying as far as I'm concerned..

This is not a game, and if a impending cat3/4 cane is what you want...You are quite the foolish one..
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#50 Postby mobilebay » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

Look at the NOGApS through 72 hours. :eek:


https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... rp&tau=072
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#51 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

and how is that.. im just pointing out the facts my friend.
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#52 Postby Aquawind » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

Yep Channel action ... yeowser..

Paul
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#53 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:17 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
hicksta wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:
gkrangers wrote:Uh oh....this run is gonna result in a TX landfall for sure...


sarcasm.....


dont think so


Hicksta...You are becoming quite annoying as far as I'm concerned..

This is not a game, and if a impending cat3/4 cane is what you want...You are quite the foolish one..

I sure wouldn't want that, he is definitely rooting for one.
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#54 Postby Stratosphere747 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:19 pm

hicksta wrote:and how is that.. im just pointing out the facts my friend.


Give me a fact and base it on truly sound reasoning...;)
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#55 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:20 pm

um.. its in the gulf on that model. moving wnw or nw hmm... from that model it would hit tx.
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#56 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:22 pm

hicksta wrote:um.. its in the gulf on that model. moving wnw or nw hmm... from that model it would hit tx.

Dude, you have to learn that models aren't the gospel. Models have been 1000% wrong before and GFS especially is known for flip-flopping. If you base a forecast on a model, especially one model, then you are due for a major bust.

Models are NOT fact, and are subject to change. Models are not a sound reasoning either.
Last edited by jkt21787 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#57 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:23 pm

your correct.. but the nogaps is near it also..
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#58 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:25 pm

hicksta wrote:your correct.. but the nogaps is near it also..

Still, all of the models were clustered in central Mexico a couple of days ago. Now they're clustered in TX, it could very easily change again.

Whats the thing though about these people is they only make a big deal when the situation is more favorable to them, like we saw with FL folks with Dennis.
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#59 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:27 pm

Landfall appears to occur in Southern or South Central Texas at 138 hours

Landfall point is further south than indicated in 18z.

Image
Last edited by jkt21787 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:29 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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gkrangers

#60 Postby gkrangers » Thu Jul 14, 2005 11:28 pm

Landfall near Corpus Christi at 138 hours?
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