IV been telling yall this hgih will back out. and the models finally caught it. i personally expect it more north. around freeport/galvestion. we should expect a more NW once it hits/passes the yucatan. once it does that if its moving NW im leavin my house on clearlake and going to dallas. we shall see sunday.
i expect a landfall from corpus- la. I also expect it to hit as a 4 once it reaches the gulf of mexico it should strengthen rapidly. comments are welcome
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
sry
My Forcast **UNOFFICAL**
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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hicksta
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Last edited by hicksta on Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Skywatch_NC
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amawea
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hicksta, You need to validate your post in regards to the High pressure ridge pulling east. On what do you base this? I'm not going to say your wrong but I also see that your new here and may be hyping or -removed- your prediction. Give us a reason you think the ridge is pulling east.
Amawea
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hicksta wrote:look at the models for the past day.. they have been shifting north all day. also at the end you can see a NW turnin the models.they are counting for the ridge to pull back.. just my opionon. i abse this off models
The models can flip flop. You have to take them in a little at a time. Thats why NHC doesn't make a drastic shift with a change like this. They shifted north at 0z last night but back south at 12z today. That could repeat tomorrow. You never know.
Last edited by jkt21787 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Cape Verde
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My main comment is that if you plan to be taken seriously, you should take enough care to make sure that your post doesn't look like it was typed bya sixth-grader. Obvious typos that can be seen in any preview but not corrected are a red flag.<P>I'm not even going to comment on your forecast or whether you're qualified to give one. I don't know. But if you don't care enough to make your final presentation decent, it doesn't make me think you put much care into anything else you did during the analysis.<P>Try harder the next time. Otherwise, don't try.
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Cape Verde wrote:My main comment is that if you plan to be taken seriously, you should take enough care to make sure that your post doesn't look like it was typed bya sixth-grader. Obvious typos that can be seen in any preview but not corrected are a red flag.<P>I'm not even going to comment on your forecast or whether you're qualified to give one. I don't know. But if you don't care enough to make your final presentation decent, it doesn't make me think you put much care into anything else you did during the analysis.<P>Try harder the next time. Otherwise, don't try.
I wasn't going to say anything, but the spelling is horrid. It will turn a lot of people away from your forecast especially seeing the title "Forcast".
Last edited by jkt21787 on Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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amawea
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No problem for me Hicksta, on the dyslexia, As long as I know what your saying. Also, be careful of the models as they are biased to what is input into them. Watch the pressure fields around the high, where they are going, and mainly where the center of high pressure is from run to run. As far as forecasting where that ridge will be, look to whats around it a few hundred miles or even a thousand miles out and what their movement and strenghth is. A strong ridge is hard to move without a stronger influence such as a front or a strong trough approaching it.
Amawea
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hicksta
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have you checked the most updated models??
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... _model.gif
the gfs and bam pick up on more of a NW movement.. im thinking the rest will move north near the gfs and also pick up the NW movement.
http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... _model.gif
the gfs and bam pick up on more of a NW movement.. im thinking the rest will move north near the gfs and also pick up the NW movement.
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