H Emily Recon Reports

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H Emily Recon Reports

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:35 pm

New thread for a new mission that will be flying into the system early this evening.
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Jul 15, 2005 5:28 am, edited 7 times in total.
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#2 Postby wx247 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:36 pm

Thanks Luis for keeping this place nice and clean. And thanks to senorpepr for the continous updates throughout the missions!!!
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:42 pm

And thanks to clfenwi who also has done an excellent job keeping the members informed about what the plane is finding in their missions.He will be working this evenings mission bringing the data witth senorpepr comming later on.
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#4 Postby wx247 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:49 pm

Yes, thank you clfenwi!!! You rock, too! :multi:
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#5 Postby Andy_L » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:03 pm

Recon should be in the air now right? 2100Z is 4pm edt????? where were they starting from Luis??? St Croix again?
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#6 Postby wxwatcher91 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:08 pm

21z is 5pm edt, 4pm est
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#7 Postby Andy_L » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:15 pm

oops....my bad. thank you :)

do we know where this flight is originating? that will have a big impact on ETA to the storm i would think
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#8 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:36 pm

Andy_L wrote:oops....my bad. thank you :)

do we know where this flight is originating? that will have a big impact on ETA to the storm i would think


Puerto Rico/Virgin Islands most likely. Last night, they got to the center just in time to have a fix for the 8 PM advisory.
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#9 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 5:17 pm

First set of minobs from AF302 just came across. 2200Z (6 PM EDT) position was 17°24' N 065°04' W... that's about 250 nautical miles from the center reported by the NHC in their advisory one hour ago...
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#10 Postby johngaltfla » Thu Jul 14, 2005 5:35 pm

Thanks to all of your work in posting these recon messages. They are awesome!
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#11 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 5:46 pm

Observation Number: 01
Time: 2221Z
Position: 16.7 N // 66.1 West
Flight level winds 31 knots//080

000

URNT11 KNHC 142221
97779 22164 50167 66109 73100 08031 66663 /5761
RMK AF302 0405A EMILY OB 01




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#12 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:05 pm

Image

EVIL EMILY CONTINUES TO GET MORE DANGEROUS. BUT AFTERALL, BAD GIRLS LOOK GOOD!
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#13 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:06 pm

I hope they can get a vortex before 8pm. :cry:
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#14 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:06 pm

Ob Number: 02
Time: 2253Z
Position: 16.1 North 68.3 West
Flight level winds: 34 knots//060
700 millibar height: 3160 meters

URNT11 KNHC 142302
97779 22534 50151 68300 30500 06034 09042 /3160
40825
RMK AF302 0405A EMILY OB 02
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#15 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:10 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I hope they can get a vortex before 8pm. :cry:


Should be easier than last night as Emily has helped out by moving closer to the plane's base :)
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#16 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:12 pm

7 PM minob... looks like they are setting themselves up for some kind of west-east pass... comparing to satellite, they are at the extreme northwest fring...33 knot flight level winds btw...


2300 1448N 06839W 03049 0149 057 033 090 040 033 03249 0000000000
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#17 Postby Brent » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:13 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

EVIL EMILY CONTINUES TO GET MORE DANGEROUS. BUT AFTERALL, BAD GIRLS LOOK GOOD!


Dang!!! Look at that perfect symmetry and tiny eye! Looks like a lot of textbook hurricanes, Andrew, Charley, Gilbert, Mitch, Ivan.
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#18 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:14 pm

Folks, we could find a cat 4 soon...
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#19 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:15 pm

Emily is so small that I believe tonight is easier to go from one side to the other of the cyclone than last night. Easier because of the distance, but more difficult because of the current intensity.
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#20 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:16 pm

I would not be at all surprized, if recon found Emily closing in on cat4.
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