Ahh i hate to post this..

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hicksta
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Ahh i hate to post this..

#1 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:40 pm

but the last 3 frames are showing NW... DONT HURT ME :x

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12
Last edited by hicksta on Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby dwg71 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:41 pm

She has followed NHC track to a T. Put the points up, its easier to see. Still heading WNW (285)
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#3 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:42 pm

Your eyes deceive you, young apprentice. Much to learn you still have. :lol:

<RICKY>
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#4 Postby huricanwatcher » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:43 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:Your eyes deceive you, young apprentice. Much to learn you still have. :lol:

<RICKY>



hahahahahaha....... a grasshopper...... eh?
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#5 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:45 pm

Something more to add, in front of 99L is a lot of dry air. Poor 99L, it seems Franklin is still not in the horizon!
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#6 Postby dhweather » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:45 pm

Aso - the purple cloud tops play tricks on your eyes.
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#7 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:47 pm

dwg71 wrote:She has followed NHC track to a T. Put the points up, its easier to see. Still heading WNW (285)


Yeah - we all want to catch the NHC in an error...but you know, I am not sure they are ever going to make a "track" error again. I think those days are long past.
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#8 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:50 pm

dwg71 wrote:She has followed NHC track to a T. Put the points up, its easier to see. Still heading WNW (285)


The cone -- yes. The track -- no. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/EM ... hics.shtml
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#9 Postby wx247 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:52 pm

Patrick99 wrote:
dwg71 wrote:She has followed NHC track to a T. Put the points up, its easier to see. Still heading WNW (285)


Yeah - we all want to catch the NHC in an error...but you know, I am not sure they are ever going to make a "track" error again. I think those days are long past.



Were you around for Cindy just a couple of weeks ago? :wink:

Also... I zoomed in on Emily and it looks like her center went just a slight bit north of the forecasted point. Not a big difference really though.
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#10 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:53 pm

wx247 wrote:
Patrick99 wrote:
dwg71 wrote:She has followed NHC track to a T. Put the points up, its easier to see. Still heading WNW (285)


Yeah - we all want to catch the NHC in an error...but you know, I am not sure they are ever going to make a "track" error again. I think those days are long past.



Were you around for Cindy just a couple of weeks ago? :wink:

Also... I zoomed in on Emily and it looks like her center went just a slight bit north of the forecasted point. Not a big difference really though.



makes a huge diffrence in the end
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#11 Postby wx247 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:55 pm

Well, technically you may be right, but in the end, unless it is a significant difference from the exact point of forecasted points it won't mean a whole lot. Over time they tend to iron themselves out.
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#12 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:56 pm

Ok, so can we disect this real quickly??plz...thanks...lol...anyway,
USERS ARE REMINDED THAT AVERAGE 5-DAY TRACK ERRORS
EXCEED 300 NMI.


2nd...they mentioned some WESTERLIES ahead...hmmm...ding ding ding...that could push it a little NW right?? I have NOT heard them say that before....thoughts??

this is from the disscussion at 5pm
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#13 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:57 pm

what do you mean westerlies
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#14 Postby dhweather » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:57 pm

Most of the time, Westerlies act as shear disrupting the strength of the
system, not so much the direction.
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#15 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:58 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Ok, so can we disect this real quickly??plz...thanks...lol...anyway,
USERS ARE REMINDED THAT AVERAGE 5-DAY TRACK ERRORS
EXCEED 300 NMI.


2nd...they mentioned some WESTERLIES ahead...hmmm...ding ding ding...that could push it a little NW right?? I have NOT heard them say that before....thoughts??

this is from the disscussion at 5pm

are you going to post this in every thread on this board? :wink: :lol:
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#16 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:58 pm

dhweather wrote:Most of the time, Westerlies act as shear disrupting the strength of the
system, not so much the direction.

Yes, very true.

As I said when he posted it on a different thread, its a shear producer, not track changer. Don't worry too much about it.
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#17 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:58 pm

hicksta wrote:what do you mean westerlies


up head of emily...there are some westerlies ahead...wind from the west blowing to the east...they are forecasted to move out before she gets there but, who knows
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Re: Ahh i hate to post this..

#18 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:59 pm

hicksta wrote:but the last 3 frames are showing NW... DONT HURT ME :x

http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?wv_east_enhanced+12


I'm not saying anything.
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Rainband

#19 Postby Rainband » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:59 pm

Good news maybe it will weaken :wink:
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#20 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:00 pm

Patrick99 wrote:
dwg71 wrote:She has followed NHC track to a T. Put the points up, its easier to see. Still heading WNW (285)


Yeah - we all want to catch the NHC in an error...but you know, I am not sure they are ever going to make a "track" error again. I think those days are long past.


What?!?!?!?!?

I won't hold you to that comment.
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