will 99L be a fish

[boca]

It keeps on moving westward ,but the models say fish.

[Wnghs2007]

It keeps on moving westward ,but the models say fish.

Some Models curve it, but on the newest runs some of the models keep it on a NW to NNW heading which could allow the trough to pass by and the ridge to build and turn this thing back westward.

[wxwatcher91]

:wishcast:
well the models take it north and then turn it back west towards NEW ENGLAND!!!!!

I'm all for the models right now!
:/wishcast:

ummm... not sure... I very much doubt 99L heading north... but there IS always that outside chance the models are right... I'm gonna say the most probable track is straight to the west... but the most probable one is not always the right one

[jax]

fishy fish...

[WeatherEmperor]

I hope its a fish cause for one I could use some sleep and another I am not interested in any more landmasses being affected by tropical cyclones. However as long as it stays weak, meaning it doesnt rapidly develop, then I do think it could take a more W or WNW track. Ah who knows check back in another couple days or so. lol.

<RICKY>

[mitchell]

wishcast: east coast swell producer this time next week.....

[Patrick99]

If it stays weak, if it develops at all, if, if, if - I'm not sure it will get sucked up in its current state.

[HurricaneJoe22]

Yea, wouldn't the Atlantic ridge keep it moving W to WNW like it is now?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It is getting better oreganized as it is starting to move into the warmer water.

[HURAKAN]

Looka much better in this image.

[cycloneye]

Agree it looks better but still some shear is in the area aswell some dry air but overall comparing this morning in which looked pathetic hours later it has improved.

[johngaltfla]

Fish.
Fish.
Fish.
All together now!

[slowjoe]

I am predicting a Gainesville, FL landfall.

[Doc Seminole]

I am going way out here..... 99L is headed for Slidell, Louisiana.

I have no theory as to why......

[Weatherboy1]

there's a pretty decent mid-Atlantic trough out there in the vicinity of 99, which should curve him out to sea. But one thing I'm confused about ... this seems to be more of a steering guide for stronger storms because it's more in the upper levels of the atmosphere. The lower-strength wave/TD type flow seems to be to the west, as you can see in this CIMSS map:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm1.html

The models have a better grasp of this than I do, and the NHC discussion from earlier today mentioned this will probably turn more poleward in the next 24 hours. But I'm somewhat confused as to why since it's not a stronger system (or even, technically, a system at all).

-Mike

[GalvestonDuck]

Five words to answer that question:

Good God, I hope so!

[Weatherboy1]

HIGH-AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC ALONG 42W S
OF 22N WITH A 1011 MB LOW ALONG THE WAVE NEAR 16N MOVING W 15
KT. THE LOW IS BETTER-DEFINED THAN YESTERDAY WITH HINTS OF
BANDING BEGINNING TO FORM IN THE N SEMICIRCLE. CONVECTIVE
REMAINS MODERATE WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15.5N TO
20N BETWEEN 39W-42W. A LARGE TROUGH SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGES
ALONG 50W SHOULD INDUCE A MORE POLEWARD MOTION TO THE LOW WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. COMPUTER MODELS SUGGEST THAT THIS AREA COULD
BECOME THE NEXT TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT TREKS OVER THE OPEN
OCEAN... THOUGH UPPER WINDS ARE MARGINAL.

Sounding more bullish on development, but pretty confident 99 will go fishing. So there you have it ... we could end up with a depression, but it probably won't bother anyone.

-Mike

[Tertius]

Where do you guys see the models? lol, i can never find them.

Here are some. Pick your flavor and have a ball
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[MGC]

I don't care where it goes as long as it stays out of the gulf. If Emily makes it there the gulf will be 5 for 5.......MGC