NEW July 14, 2005 Emily Video Update

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NEW July 14, 2005 Emily Video Update

#1 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:33 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Here it is:::
http://radio.nhcwx.com/flghchp/displayi ... m=2&pos=20

Comments Welcome!
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dhweather
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#2 Postby dhweather » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:48 pm

Excellent intro - very good graphics.

No Floyd - too bad.

Posters - Ahhhhhh :D

I can't argue with you Mike, I think you are dead on with your
Emily forecast. She may get down to 90kt over the Yucatan, but the BOC
still spin her right back up.
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Anonymous

#3 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 14, 2005 2:55 pm

Thanks
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CaptinCrunch
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#4 Postby CaptinCrunch » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:19 pm

I'm right there with you as well, but I think Emily will just catch the Yucatun point and not loose much strength, I to will go with a C4 at that point and like you said the water is VERY warm in the GOM, if she does bounce off the tip oh man look out, we could have a C5 on our hands making landfall on the S TX coast somewhere between Brownsville and Galveston.
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#5 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:28 pm

You are great! You played up to all the crowds... starting with the weather map and ending with the posters.

I will say it was just a taf bit long, but informative. I don't know that Emily will gain that much strength between the Yucatan and it's next landfall. I guess it depends on how long it's over land.
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#6 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 14, 2005 3:30 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:I'm right there with you as well, but I think Emily will just catch the Yucatun point and not loose much strength, I to will go with a C4 at that point and like you said the water is VERY warm in the GOM, if she does bounce off the tip oh man look out, we could have a C5 on our hands making landfall on the S TX coast somewhere between Brownsville and Galveston.


Id have to agree. seing we are having thunderstroms here in galveston which are pushing down to the southeast gulf of mexico. this may inpact the ridge am i correct?
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#7 Postby Anonymous » Thu Jul 14, 2005 4:15 pm

Yep, the NHC now forecasting a Cat 4. Not looking for bragging rights, but as of now I do not have to eat crow :D
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#8 Postby CaptinCrunch » Fri Jul 15, 2005 8:02 am

Overnight Model runs have moved more to the north and in to South Texas as I have foreseen. I believe Emily will skirt the Yucatun and make a bee line for the TX coast, and with the VERY warm GOM Emily could be the first C5 Hurricane to strick the U.S since Hurricane Andrew.
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