Peekaboo!!!

[Swimdude]

I thought this was a thread about Emily and her eye...

It is. And she just opened her's.

[lurkerinthemidst]

Her eye is beautiful. My youngest DD said oh mom print that for me. It is colorful I want it on my wall and look it has a whole like a donut but looks like a firework. LOL

[Sanibel]

Eye showing up in center of red CDO field on IR... (Vaboom)

[gilbert88]

Quintana Roo is the best region for a Mexico landfall. Most of the coastal areas are sparsely populated and Cancun and the others are well prepared to receive hurricanes.

I'm confident they will handle Emily well... the preparations are already underway.

Of course the best thing would be for it to weaken or take a detour and slam the place where Bret came ashore in 1999.

[Rainband]

Thanks.

[Brent]

Eye showing up in center of red CDO field on IR... (Vaboom)

Visible is nice too.

[jax]

Eye showing up in center of red CDO field on IR... (Vaboom)

Visible is nice too.

is that an outflow boundry to the Northeast of the eye...

[Wnghs2007]

Eye showing up in center of red CDO field on IR... (Vaboom)

Visible is nice too.

is that an outflow boundry to the Northeast of the eye...

Dont you mean North West of the Eye?....Northeast of the Eye is obscured by high clouds...

[jax]

Eye showing up in center of red CDO field on IR... (Vaboom)

Visible is nice too.

is that an outflow boundry to the Northeast of the eye...

Dont you mean North West of the Eye?....Northeast of the Eye is obscured by high clouds...

correct Wnghs...

[wayoutfront]

in the not being selfish arena.

I would prefer a US strike over a mexico..... we are far better equipped to evacuate and respond to these disasters.

where a Cat 3-4 might cause significant damage, down in mexico it would be catasrtophic.

Don't you think the US has had enough??

Given thebelow choices of where she hits with the assumption she is gonna hit

1) USA
2) Mexico

I choose (1) for the reason I stated above.

but if it decided to do a U turn and go hit Libya that would be fine too

now back to topic...

shes awful little , will she survive a run over the penninsula?

[gkrangers]

in the not being selfish arena.

I would prefer a US strike over a mexico..... we are far better equipped to evacuate and respond to these disasters.

where a Cat 3-4 might cause significant damage, down in mexico it would be catasrtophic.

Don't you think the US has had enough??

Given thebelow choices of where she hits with the assumption she is gonna hit

1) USA
2) Mexico

I choose (1) for the reason I stated above.

but if it decided to do a U turn and go hit Libya that would be fine too

now back to topic...

shes awful little , will she survive a run over the penninsula?

Well..its got about 4 days to strenghten and grow in size. I think it'll survive.

[wxwatcher91]

not to mention once it makes it over the peninsula, Emily will enter the western Gulf where ocean temperatures are 30-32C

[alicia-w]

for reasons of insurance costs (and I know that's selfish, but it IS money out of MY pocket), I'd prefer a Mexico hit.

not only have our insurance costs risen but our rebuilding costs have TRIPLED, i.e. it would cost $600K to rebuild my house today.

call me selfish, i dont care. let it hit mexico.

[bevgo]

I dunno if I should laugh or cry...

Why? There's nothing particularly funny about this nor is any threat to your area. Some time down the road you may need to be preparing for some rough weather, but right now the chances are far better that you will get a severe thunderstorm not at all tropical.

It was just a comment, but I will "split hairs" for you to clarify:

First, The "Peekaboo" by gkrangers was in jest - hence the "laugh" comment. Obviously there is nothing funny about Emily having an eye for the first time on an infrared satellite loop.

Second, the cry part has nothing to do with me. I'm not that self-centered. Someone is gonna get slammed by this one, and it won't be pretty.

Thirdly, chances are that it is not a Galveston threat, but it is still WAY TOO EARLY to declare this thing not being a threat. This storm isn't even past Jamaica yet, so how can you, or anyone for that matter, declare this as "not a threat".

Fourth, we have a very moist, TROPICAL airmass over Houston right now with pwats over 2". The chance of a severe thunderstorm is actually quite low. The biggest threat we have is from flooding.

And lastly, whether or not we have a cyclone making landfall has little to do with it being "tropical" or not. Even still, some of the moisture coming south is actually pinwheeling away from the remnants of Dennis, which falls in line with your definition of "tropical".

Guys (or gals) it is going to be a really long season if people continue to take offense at the comments on this board. Take things with a grain of salt--it is difficult to convey emotion on a message board so assume first that the poster meant no harm and dont get offended right off the bat.

Stay safe everyone

[jasons2k]

I dunno if I should laugh or cry...

Well I know how you feel. Not that it’s a "threat to me" at this time but my thoughts were. OK what are we in for this season? It's not funny but it's "funny". Then you think how many times are we going to be in the cone again. How many people these storms could effect. How many people they effect for months after. The divorce, suicide and domestic violence rate skyrocketed after the 3 storms that hit FL last year in the same basic area. If you look at all that and think of that then you want to almost cry. Not for selfish reason just overall possible loss for all involved. That is truly sad.

I agree with you 100%. I feel sad for anyone who will ultimately deal with Emily...or August.......or September....and on and on........

[jasons2k]

I dunno if I should laugh or cry...

Why? There's nothing particularly funny about this nor is any threat to your area. Some time down the road you may need to be preparing for some rough weather, but right now the chances are far better that you will get a severe thunderstorm not at all tropical.

It was just a comment, but I will "split hairs" for you to clarify:

First, The "Peekaboo" by gkrangers was in jest - hence the "laugh" comment. Obviously there is nothing funny about Emily having an eye for the first time on an infrared satellite loop.

Second, the cry part has nothing to do with me. I'm not that self-centered. Someone is gonna get slammed by this one, and it won't be pretty.

Thirdly, chances are that it is not a Galveston threat, but it is still WAY TOO EARLY to declare this thing not being a threat. This storm isn't even past Jamaica yet, so how can you, or anyone for that matter, declare this as "not a threat".

Fourth, we have a very moist, TROPICAL airmass over Houston right now with pwats over 2". The chance of a severe thunderstorm is actually quite low. The biggest threat we have is from flooding.

And lastly, whether or not we have a cyclone making landfall has little to do with it being "tropical" or not. Even still, some of the moisture coming south is actually pinwheeling away from the remnants of Dennis, which falls in line with your definition of "tropical".

Guys (or gals) it is going to be a really long season if people continue to take offense at the comments on this board. Take things with a grain of salt--it is difficult to convey emotion on a message board so assume first that the poster meant no harm and dont get offended right off the bat.

Stay safe everyone

Thank you Bevgo!

And it already has been a long season.......

[Scorpion]

Very tiny storm. Hopefully we get some good W shear over it.

[wx247]

Very tiny storm. Hopefully we get some good W shear over it.

Unfortunately, I don't see any major shear impacting it anytime soon.

[vbhoutex]

Very tiny storm. Hopefully we get some good W shear over it.

Unfortunately, I don't see any major shear impacting it anytime soon.

Nothing showing in the WV to make it look like it could happen.

[patsmsg]

It would be shear luck if there were any.