H Emily Recon Reports

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #121 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:40 pm

Scorpion wrote:When its 970 then i'll believe the winds, but now I think the actual surface winds are around 90-95.

Well, personally, I believe the winds are higher... around 100 mph. A) I have a hard time disagreeing with the calibrated recon instruments and B) dropsondes within the area indicate that the surrounding pressure is much higher and that the sub 1000mb pressure are in a very compact area leading me to believe that the pressure gradient with Emily is really tight.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #122 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:42 pm

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 26
Time: 1700Z
Latitude: 12.9°N
Longitude: 64.7°W
Location: 206 mi WNW of Saint George's, Grenada
Surface: 985 mb; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 36°F; E (80°) @ 119 mph
1000mb height: 2077 ft; Temp: N/A°F; Dewpt: N/A°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
925mb height: 1811 ft; Temp: 72°F; Dewpt: 36°F; ESE (110°) @ 128 mph
850mb height: 4226 ft; Temp: 67°F; Dewpt: 37°F; SE (130°) @ 124 mph
700mb height: 9649 ft; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 32°F; S (180°) @ 109 mph
EYEWALL 045 SPL 1301N06483W 1718 MBL WND 10114 AEV 20507 DL
M WND 13599 984727 WL150 09111 082

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #123 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:43 pm

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 24
Time: 17:11:10Z
Latitude: 12.9°N
Longitude: 64.8°W
Location: 215 mi WNW of Saint George's, Grenada
Minimum height at 700 mb 2869 m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: 29 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: 53 mi SW (226°)
Maximum flight level wind: NW (321°) @ 75 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 7 mi WSW (248°)
Sea level pressure: 974 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 50°F at 9977 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 61°F at 10013 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 50°F
Eye character: CLOSED
Eye shape: Circular
Eye diameter: 13 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at 700 mb
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 1 nm
MAX FL WIND 90 KT NE QUAD 13:36:20 Z

Scorpion · #124 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:44 pm

New advisory has 972 Mb for some reason.

Website · #125 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:44 pm

What happened to the 90-95 mph intensity???

Scorpion · #126 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:45 pm

MAX FL WIND 90 KT NE QUAD 13:36:20 Z

Equates to around 95 mph.

Thunder44 · #127 Postby **Thunder44** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:46 pm

Scorpion wrote:New advisory has 972 Mb for some reason.

That was 1:11pm, probably some new info they got afterwards.

jkt21787 · #128 Postby **jkt21787** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:48 pm

Scorpion wrote:MAX FL WIND 90 KT NE QUAD 13:36:20 Z

Equates to around 95 mph.

925mb height: 1739 ft; Temp: 72°F; Dewpt: 32°F; E (100°) @ 135 mph
850mb height: 4150 ft; Temp: 67°F; Dewpt: 32°F; ESE (120°) @ 132 mph
700mb height: 9593 ft; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 32°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph

How many times will this have to be posted for you to understand?

#129 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:48 pm

Scorpion stop it please.Let's let senorpepr do his work providing the data to us.If you are not going to post something important and of valor dont do it here.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #130 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:48 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 27
Time: 1740Z
Latitude: 14.0°N
Longitude: 63.6°W
Location: 171 mi WNW of Kingstown, Saint Vincent
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: SE (130°) @ 54 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 39°F
Weather: Scattered Skies
700mb height: 10400 feet
Surface Wind: SE (150°) @ 29 mph
Remarks: OUTBOUND NE LEG

Website · #131 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:49 pm

Scorpion wrote:MAX FL WIND 90 KT NE QUAD 13:36:20 Z

Equates to around 95 mph.

READ WHAT'S BEEN POSTED 3 OR 4 TIMES!!!

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #132 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:49 pm

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 47
Ob #01 Location: 81 mi NW of Kingstown, Saint Vincent
Ob #01: Time: 17:35:00Z; 13.8°N 63.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: SE (128°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #02: Time: 17:35:30Z; 13.9°N 63.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 142 ft; Wind: SE (127°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #03: Time: 17:36:00Z; 13.9°N 63.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #04: Time: 17:36:30Z; 13.9°N 63.8°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #05: Time: 17:37:00Z; 13.9°N 63.8°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: Time: 17:37:30Z; 13.9°N 63.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 143 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #07: Time: 17:38:00Z; 13.9°N 63.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 144 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: Time: 17:38:30Z; 14°N 63.7°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 145 ft; Wind: SE (124°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #09: Time: 17:39:00Z; 14°N 63.7°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 146 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #10: Time: 17:39:30Z; 14°N 63.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 147 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #11: Time: 17:40:00Z; 14°N 63.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 148 ft; Wind: SE (126°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #12: Time: 17:40:30Z; 14°N 63.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 148 ft; Wind: SE (127°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #13: Time: 17:41:00Z; 14.1°N 63.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 149 ft; Wind: SE (126°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #14: Time: 17:41:30Z; 14.1°N 63.6°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 151 ft; Wind: SE (125°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #15: Time: 17:42:00Z; 14.1°N 63.6°W; PA: 10092 ft; D-Value: 156 ft; Wind: ESE (121°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 45°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #16: Time: 17:42:30Z; 14.1°N 63.6°W; PA: 10840 ft; D-Value: 171 ft; Wind: ESE (120°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 42°F
Ob #17: Time: 17:43:00Z; 14.2°N 63.6°W; PA: 12018 ft; D-Value: 193 ft; Wind: ESE (115°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 39°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: Time: 17:43:30Z; 14.2°N 63.6°W; PA: 13058 ft; D-Value: 210 ft; Wind: ESE (111°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 36°F; Dewpt: 41°F
Ob #19: Time: 17:44:00Z; 14.2°N 63.6°W; PA: 14003 ft; D-Value: 208 ft; Wind: ESE (109°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 33°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #20: Time: 17:44:30Z; 14.3°N 63.7°W; PA: 14997 ft; D-Value: 218 ft; Wind: E (101°) @ 44 mph; Temp: 33°F; Dewpt: 39°F

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #133 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:56 pm

Okay... this is the last flight level data that I'm decoding since recon is back at cruising altitude and is heading back to St. Croix for cocktails. :wink:

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF308
Flt Data Number: 48
Ob #01 Location: 89 mi WSW of Fort-de-France, Martinique
Ob #01: Time: 17:45:00Z; 14.3°N 63.7°W; PA: 15804 ft; D-Value: 248 ft; Wind: E (98°) @ 46 mph; Temp: 35°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #02: Time: 17:45:30Z; 14.3°N 63.7°W; PA: 16558 ft; D-Value: 263 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 47 mph; Temp: 37°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #03: Time: 17:46:00Z; 14.4°N 63.7°W; PA: 17428 ft; D-Value: 282 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 39°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #04: Time: 17:46:30Z; 14.4°N 63.7°W; PA: 18389 ft; D-Value: 303 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 42°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #05: Time: 17:47:00Z; 14.4°N 63.8°W; PA: 19137 ft; D-Value: 320 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 44°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #06: Time: 17:47:30Z; 14.4°N 63.8°W; PA: 19629 ft; D-Value: 330 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #07: Time: 17:48:00Z; 14.5°N 63.8°W; PA: 19967 ft; D-Value: 337 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #08: Time: 17:48:30Z; 14.5°N 63.8°W; PA: 20030 ft; D-Value: 341 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #09: Time: 17:49:00Z; 14.5°N 63.9°W; PA: 20030 ft; D-Value: 343 ft; Wind: E (84°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #10: Time: 17:49:30Z; 14.6°N 63.9°W; PA: 20016 ft; D-Value: 344 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #11: Time: 17:50:00Z; 14.6°N 63.9°W; PA: 20016 ft; D-Value: 345 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #12: Time: 17:50:30Z; 14.6°N 63.9°W; PA: 20013 ft; D-Value: 346 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #13: Time: 17:51:00Z; 14.7°N 64°W; PA: 20010 ft; D-Value: 348 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #14: Time: 17:51:30Z; 14.7°N 64°W; PA: 20007 ft; D-Value: 348 ft; Wind: E (88°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #15: Time: 17:52:00Z; 14.8°N 64°W; PA: 20010 ft; D-Value: 348 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #16: Time: 17:52:30Z; 14.8°N 64°W; PA: 20010 ft; D-Value: 347 ft; Wind: E (88°) @ 50 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #17: Time: 17:53:00Z; 14.8°N 64.1°W; PA: 20010 ft; D-Value: 346 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #18: Time: 17:53:30Z; 14.9°N 64.1°W; PA: 20013 ft; D-Value: 345 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 48 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 40°F
Ob #19: Time: 17:54:00Z; 14.9°N 64.1°W; PA: 20007 ft; D-Value: 347 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 46 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F
Ob #20: Time: 17:54:30Z; 15°N 64.2°W; PA: 20000 ft; D-Value: 347 ft; Wind: E (90°) @ 46 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 39°F

#134 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:59 pm

At what time the next mission will go?

Great work as always and go have a good rest.

gkrangers · #135 Postby **gkrangers** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:01 pm

cycloneye wrote:Great work as always and go have a good rest.

ditto. Much appreciated senor.

Scorpion · #136 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:02 pm

I am sorry about this im just hoping this storm stays weak because my friends are in the vicinity and I dont want Cozumel or Jamaica getting whacked.

Website · #137 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:05 pm

cycloneye wrote:At what time the next mission will go?

Great work as always and go have a good rest.

Should be out at 8pm EDT. 6-hour fixes so that makes sense.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #138 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:05 pm

Flight Plan - Emily

Mission IV - AF Fix Flight
Take off: 14/5:30pm EDT
Time on target: 14/7:00 pm EDT - 15/2:30am EDT

Mission V - AF Fix Flight
Take off: 15/6:00am EDT
Time on target: 15/7:00am EDT to 15/2:30pm EDT

Mission VI - AF Fix Flight
Take off: 15/5:00pm EDT
Time on target: 15/7:00 pm EDT - 16/2:30am EDT

Mission VII - AF Fix Flight
Take off: 16/4:30am EDT
Time on target: 16/7:00am EDT to 16/2:30pm EDT

outlook - Continue 6-hrly fixes. An Air Force WC-130 and the NOAA G-IV will perform surveillance mission at 16/2:00pm EDT

Thanks for the comments. I should be around for at least the first part of the evening flight (Mission IV).

Website · #139 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:06 pm

Scorpion wrote:I am sorry about this im just hoping this storm stays weak because my friends are in the vicinity and I dont want Cozumel or Jamaica getting whacked.

Well I hope they aren't going to be on a cruise in the NW Caribbean this weekend. :eek:

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #140 Postby **senorpepr** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 1:13 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: EMILY (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF308
Observation Number: 29
Time: 1802Z
Latitude: 15.7°N
Longitude: 64.3°W
Location: 200 mi W of Roseau, Dominica
Turbulence: Occasional Moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 20000 feet
Flight level wind: E (100°) @ 40 mph
Temperature: 14°F
Dewpoint: 1°F
Weather: Overcast Skies
D-value: 1100 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: LAST REPORT

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