Bye Bye Yucatan.....

#1 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:42 pm

Looks like Emily has changed her mind. More likely now, I would say, that she will more closely follow the approximate path of Dennis -- perhaps slightly south of that. The reformation of her center has her in a whole different world.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... trike.html

texasheat · #2 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:43 pm

and your proving this by a map that doestn even show her predecited track..
anything can happen this far out

Website · #3 Postby **Brent** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:44 pm

The shift was only by a few miles... the reason the probability got higher is because the forecast is more confident and it's getting inside the 72-hour window(which is what the map is made for anyway, not 120-hour).

#4 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:45 pm

texasheat wrote:and your proving this by a map that doestn even show her predecited track..
anything can happen this far out

Not "proving" anything. An educated guess.

texasheat · #5 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:49 pm

just making sure.

#6 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:50 pm

Recon is fixing Emily at 14 N 70 W for its second flight Thursday and that puts her on a beeline for Jamaica.

texasheat · #7 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:54 pm

poor jamaica

#8 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:06 pm

Poor everyone in the islands and the GOM. This looks to become a mighty 'Cane.

Hurricaneman · #9 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:08 pm

Emily is strenghening quickly

#10 Postby **feederband** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:11 pm

texasheat wrote:poor jamaica

Jamaica has strong voodoo force field it wont hit it...

texasheat · #11 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:12 pm

they will do the rain dance

#12 Postby **mvtrucking** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:13 pm

Maybe the UKMET is not as crazy as first thought?

#13 Postby **MGC** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:13 pm

After dodging Ivan and Dennis Jamaica's luck may be running out.....MGC

Hurricaneman · #14 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:14 pm

Jamaca may get this

texasheat · #15 Postby **texasheat** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:15 pm

mvtrucking wrote:Maybe the UKMET is not as crazy as first thought?

unless the ridge backs out QUICKLY,

Website · #16 Postby **Brent** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 11:17 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Recon is fixing Emily at 14 N 70 W for its second flight Thursday and that puts her on a beeline for Jamaica.

Yep... not looking good for Jamaica. Could be like Ivan where the northern eyewall moves ashore on the south coast.

#17 Postby **fci** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am

Brent wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Recon is fixing Emily at 14 N 70 W for its second flight Thursday and that puts her on a beeline for Jamaica.

Yep... not looking good for Jamaica. Could be like Ivan where the northern eyewall moves ashore on the south coast.

The island is not exactly a huge target.
Luckily, they seem to dodge the brunt of most storms.
Dennis was forecast to hit directly and the island got the weaker West side.
Let's hope their luck continues!

#18 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 7:28 am

I do think someone in the GOM will have to contend with Emily, I don't see her charging into Mexico.

Rainband · #19 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 8:59 am

Mexico

Website · #20 Postby **Brent** » Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:05 am

dixiebreeze wrote:I do think someone in the GOM will have to contend with Emily, I don't see her charging into Mexico.

Let me take a wild guess here...

Landfall at Cedar Key??? :wink:

Bye Bye Yucatan.....

Bye Bye Yucatan.....

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