Emily Recon

clfenwi · #181 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:29 pm

Observation Number: 14
Position 10.8 North 59.7 West
Flight Level winds: 36 knots // 170
850 millibar height: 1517 meters

Gorky · #182 Postby **Gorky** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:33 pm

Edit: Posted wrong storm :>

Sorry clicked on wrong button and it gave me a recon result from Adrian

in my haste to post I only saw the name as I hit reply

Normandy · #183 Postby **Normandy** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:34 pm

What on earth is going on????

clfenwi · #184 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:36 pm

ok, looks like they passed through the eye SE-NW... if they dropped anything we'll see the report in a few...

johngaltfla · #185 Postby **johngaltfla** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:37 pm

Gorky wrote:000
URPN12 KNHC 191854
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 19/18:30:20Z
B. 12 deg 28 min N
090 deg 34 min W
C. NA mb 1298 m
D. 80 kt
E. 090 deg 007 nm
F. 114 deg 071 kt
G. 35 deg 008 nm
H. EXTRAP 984 mb
I. 15 C/ 1528 m
J. 26 C/ 1517 m
K. 15 C/ NA
L. OPEN E
M. C25
N. 12345/08
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 0101E ADRIAN OB 16
MAX FL WIND 83 KT N QUAD 16:53:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
HEAVY RAIN OUTBOUND NW QUAD

Thats a 12 mb pressure drop since the previous vortex

12 mb!!!! Holy smokes!!!

I wonder if this means all those model runs are now waste paper....
:eek:

Scorpion · #186 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:38 pm

Ok, this thing is rapidly deepening. I was wrong guys, sorry. Cat 3 by the end of tomorrow I think.

jkt21787 · #187 Postby **jkt21787** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:38 pm

WRONG VORTEX MESSAGE!

Tommedic · #188 Postby **Tommedic** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:40 pm

We all need to take a breath and be sure we are talking about right storm... Though looking at sat pic, would be surprised to see a drop if not that much at least a drop.

clfenwi · #189 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:41 pm

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #302
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 79KT (90.8mph 146.3km/h) In N Quadrant At 01:08:00 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 71.1KT (81.8mph 131.7km/h) *
Date/Time of Recon Report: Invalid Date (Invalid Date)
Position of the center: 11° 41' N 060° 45' W (11.7°N 60.8°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850mb: 1379m (Normal: 1457)
Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured nm (0miles) From Center At Bearing °
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 058KT (66.7mph 107.4km/h) From 206°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 036nm (41.4 miles) From Center At Bearing 122°
Minimum pressure: 992mb (29.29in)
Eye Wall Characterization Not Reported
Eye Did Not Have A Definable Form or was not reported
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 2nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

jkt21787 · #190 Postby **jkt21787** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:41 pm

Tommedic wrote:We all need to take a breath and be sure we are talking about right storm... Though looking at sat pic, would be surprised to see a drop if not that much at least a drop.

Yeah, we all got a little excited with that. Lets move on...

but, there definitely is a more pronounced intensification going on right now.

clfenwi · #191 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:42 pm

992 mb! And yes, that was an Emily ob!

johngaltfla · #192 Postby **johngaltfla** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:42 pm

Whew, that's better. But still 8mb in less than 6 hours is very impressive....

Normandy · #193 Postby **Normandy** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:42 pm

Yea its bombing.

Scorpion · #194 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:43 pm

Lmao my bad. What vortex message is that from?? And why was it posted here?

Thunder44 · #195 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:43 pm

clfenwi wrote:992 mb! And yes, that was an Emily ob!

The pressure a bit high for Cat 1 hurricane though.

#196 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:43 pm

That vortex in posts above was from Adrian.

Gorky · #197 Postby **Gorky** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:43 pm

Geez... I had that post up for like 60 secons before I was able to edit it. Sorry for the confusion guys... Just clicked on East Pac and it's still showing the Adrian vortex. Just so happens to have pretty similar wind speeds so I didn't spot my mistake right away..

Website · #198 Postby **Brent** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:44 pm

Scorpion wrote:Lmao my bad. What vortex message is that from?? And why was it posted here?

Adrian... EPAC in May.

Almost had a stroke. :lol:

#199 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:44 pm

Gorky wrote:Geez... I had that post up for like 60 secons before I was able to edit it. Sorry for the confusion guys... Just clicked on East Pac and it's still showing the Adrian vortex. Just so happens to have pretty similar wind speeds so I didn't spot my mistake right away..

That's ok no problem.

#200 Postby **ncweatherwizard** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:51 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
clfenwi wrote:992 mb! And yes, that was an Emily ob!

The pressure a bit high for Cat 1 hurricane though.

Well, in general, that depends on the environment a storm is in. If pressures are high, then the storm could have high 990s-mb and be a hurricane. Also, Recon may not have found the lowest pressure yet.

Emily Recon

Please read messages thoroughly

Re: Please read messages thoroughly

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