Emily Recon

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #141 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:02 pm

60 knots/70 mph flight level=50 knots/60 mph surface.

clfenwi · #142 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:14 pm

Observation Number: 5
Time transmitted: 0100Z
Position: 11.5 North // 60.5 West
Sea Level Pressure: 1000 mb
Surface wind speed and direction: 24 knots // 305
1000 millibar height: 3 meters
1000 millibar winds 24 knots // 305
925 millibar height: 690 meters
925 millibar winds: 18 knots // 325
850 millibar height: 1429 meters
850 millibar winds: 9 knots // 330

#143 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:14 pm

On enhanced, she's really blowing up right now.

clfenwi · #144 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:16 pm

Time: 0049Z
Observation Number: 08
Position 12.8 N 59.6 W
Flight Level Winds 48 knots//130

URNT11 KNHC 140058
97779 00494 50128 59619 18300 13048 14138 /2515
RMK AF302 0205A EMILY OB 08

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #145 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:18 pm

Outflow has just spread out of all quads. The Cdo has formed over the LLC. In it is tighting....This thing is getting stronger now....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

It appears that you know what is hitting the fan.

#146 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:20 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Outflow has just spread out of all quads. The Cdo has formed over the LLC. In it is tighting....This thing is getting stronger now....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Yes she is! Maybe she was just waiting for recon to get there before she decided to start showing off.

clfenwi · #147 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:21 pm

0108 1200N 06021W 01833 0011 092 078 176 098 079 01882 0000000000

79 knots flight level...

#148 Postby **drezee** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:24 pm

clfenwi wrote:0108 1200N 06021W 01833 0011 092 078 176 098 079 01882 0000000000

79 knots flight level...

Time to re-raise those hurricane warnings!!!

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #149 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:25 pm

Arlene at 75 knots...It needs at least 80 knots to become a hurricane thats what one of the pro's said? So one more knot.

#150 Postby **drezee** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:28 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote: So one more knot.

That is funny.

Thunder44 · #151 Postby **Thunder44** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:29 pm

How high is this plane flying? 850mb reduction 80% at the surface, 700mb is 90& reduction at the surface

clfenwi · #152 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:33 pm

Thunder44 wrote:How high is this plane flying? 850mb reduction 80% at the surface, 700mb is 90& reduction at the surface

Pressure altitude was 1833 meters... radar alititude 1882 meters... so it's flying a little bit higher than the 850 mb level, I think...

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #153 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:34 pm

clfenwi wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:How high is this plane flying? 850mb reduction 80% at the surface, 700mb is 90& reduction at the surface

Pressure altitude was 1833 meters... radar alititude 1882 meters... so it's flying a little bit higher than the 850 mb level, I think...

So 60 knots at the surface or just slightly below hurricane.

#154 Postby **dhweather** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:43 pm

GFDL and SHIPS may have been right on intensification - she's firing rather well!!

clfenwi · #155 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:48 pm

VORTEX MESSAGE

Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #302
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 79KT (90.8mph 146.3km/h) In N Quadrant At 01:08:00 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 71.1KT (81.8mph 131.7km/h) *
Misc Remarks: X FL TEMP 21 C, 356 / 11NM
Date/Time of Recon Report: Invalid Date (Invalid Date)
Position of the center: 11° 45' N 060° 20' W (11.8°N 60.3°W)
Minimum Height Measured At Standard Level Of 850mb: 1387m (Normal: 1457)
Surface Winds Were: Not Estimated
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured nm (0miles) From Center At Bearing °
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 079KT (90.85mph 146.3km/h) From 092°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 015nm (17.3 miles) From Center At Bearing 357°
Minimum pressure: 996mb (29.41in)
Eye Wall Characterization Not Reported
Eye Did Not Have A Definable Form or was not reported
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 850mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 1nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

clfenwi · #156 Postby **clfenwi** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:51 pm

SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX MESSAGE

Storm: Storm EMILY: Observed By AF #302
Storm #05 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 79KT (90.8mph 146.3km/h) In N Quadrant At 01:08:00 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 71.1KT (81.8mph 131.7km/h) *
Misc Remarks: X FL TEMP 21 C, 356 / 11NM (Report Time: 14/0140Z)
Max Inbound Flight Level Winds: 12.0N 60.4W 079KT (90.85MPH 146.3km/h) [00:54:00Z to 01:07:50Z]
Max Outbound Flight Level Winds: 11.0N 61.1W 028KT (32.2MPH 51.9km/h) [01:17:30Z to 01:31:40Z]
Data # Position Height Temp Dewpoint Wind
O01 12.6N 59.8W 850mb Height @ 1505m 14°C 10°C 052KT (59.8MPH 96.3 km/h) @ 120°
O02 12.4N 60.0W 850mb Height @ 1493m 15°C 15°C 047KT (54.05MPH 87.0 km/h) @ 120°
O03 12.2N 60.2W 850mb Height @ 1481m 15°C 10°C 066KT (75.9MPH 122.2 km/h) @ 110°
O04 12.0N 60.4W 850mb Height @ 1446m 18°C 10°C 077KT (88.55MPH 142.6 km/h) @ 90°
O01 11.6N 60.5W 850mb Height @ 1415m 21°C 11°C 012KT (13.8MPH 22.2 km/h) @ 270°
O02 11.4N 60.7W 850mb Height @ 1435m 21°C 12°C 023KT (26.45MPH 42.6 km/h) @ 290°
O03 11.2N 60.9W 850mb Height @ 1462m 18°C 13°C 026KT (29.9MPH 48.1 km/h) @ 290°
O04 11.0N 61.1W 850mb Height @ 1483m 15°C 15°C 027KT (31.05MPH 50.0 km/h) @ 300°
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds

johngaltfla · #157 Postby **johngaltfla** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:52 pm

Uh,oh...may have dropped those Hurricane warnings too quickly.... :eek:

#158 Postby **drezee** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:52 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
clfenwi wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:How high is this plane flying? 850mb reduction 80% at the surface, 700mb is 90& reduction at the surface

Pressure altitude was 1833 meters... radar alititude 1882 meters... so it's flying a little bit higher than the 850 mb level, I think...

So 60 knots at the surface or just slightly below hurricane.

Wrong, look in the thread above...

850 millibar height: 1429 meters

They were flying at 700 mb

#159 Postby **deltadog03** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:52 pm

i think we might have a cane in an hour

Hurricane Cheese · #160 Postby **Hurricane Cheese** » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:53 pm

Emily is hitting adolencense it appears...

I got a feeling she's going to be a "hottie!"

Emily Recon

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