Brent wrote:Alright... I'm bored with Emily.
I agree, poof or strengthen...
H.Emily Advisorys
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deltadog03
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Thunder44 wrote:dwg71 wrote:Brent wrote:Alright... I'm bored with Emily.
I agree, poof or strengthen...
It certainly not doing either. I don't think that makes it boring, but it would be nice to see this become a hurricane already.
I think she is strngthing....she is looking pretty good right now....tops are getting colder
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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deltadog03
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Tropicswatcher
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wx247
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Maybe she is having a baby! 
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
Tropical Storm Emily Advisory Number 12
Statement as of 5:00 PM AST on July 13, 2005
...Strong Tropical Storm Emily about to reach the Windward
Islands...
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the government of the Netherlands Antilles has
issued a tropical storm watch for Bonaire...Curacao...and Aruba.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Barbados...
Trinidad...Tobago...Grenada...The Grenadines...St. Vincent...St.
Lucia...and the northern coast of Venezuela from Pedernales
westward to cumana...including Isla Margarita.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bonaire...Curacao...and
Aruba...and for the northern coast of Venezuela from cumana to
caracas...including the offshore islands north of the watch area.
Interests elsewhere in the central Caribbean should monitor the
progress of Emily.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Tropical Storm Emily was located
near latitude 11.4 north... longitude 59.8 west or about 125
miles... 205 km... south of Barbados and about 135 miles... 220
km...east-southeast of Grenada.
Emily is moving toward the west near 18 mph ...30 km/hr. A turn to
the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts...and some strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours. Emily is not expected to become a hurricane before clearing
the Windward Islands...however...hurricane force winds are possible
over elevated terrain.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
...185 km from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb...29.62 inches.
Emily is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6
inches across the Windward Islands and portions of northern
Venezuela...with possible isolated amounts of 12 inches over
mountainous terrain. These rains could produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide
levels can be expected near and to the north of the path of the
center.
Repeating the 5 PM AST position...11.4 N... 59.8 W. Movement
toward...west near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure...1003 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 8 PM AST followed by the next
complete advisory at 11 PM AST.
Forecaster Franklin
Statement as of 5:00 PM AST on July 13, 2005
...Strong Tropical Storm Emily about to reach the Windward
Islands...
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the government of the Netherlands Antilles has
issued a tropical storm watch for Bonaire...Curacao...and Aruba.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Barbados...
Trinidad...Tobago...Grenada...The Grenadines...St. Vincent...St.
Lucia...and the northern coast of Venezuela from Pedernales
westward to cumana...including Isla Margarita.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bonaire...Curacao...and
Aruba...and for the northern coast of Venezuela from cumana to
caracas...including the offshore islands north of the watch area.
Interests elsewhere in the central Caribbean should monitor the
progress of Emily.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 5 PM AST...2100z...the center of Tropical Storm Emily was located
near latitude 11.4 north... longitude 59.8 west or about 125
miles... 205 km... south of Barbados and about 135 miles... 220
km...east-southeast of Grenada.
Emily is moving toward the west near 18 mph ...30 km/hr. A turn to
the west-northwest is expected during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph... 95 km/hr...with higher
gusts...and some strengthening is forecast during the next 24
hours. Emily is not expected to become a hurricane before clearing
the Windward Islands...however...hurricane force winds are possible
over elevated terrain.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
...185 km from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb...29.62 inches.
Emily is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 3 to 6
inches across the Windward Islands and portions of northern
Venezuela...with possible isolated amounts of 12 inches over
mountainous terrain. These rains could produce life-threatening
flash floods and mud slides.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide
levels can be expected near and to the north of the path of the
center.
Repeating the 5 PM AST position...11.4 N... 59.8 W. Movement
toward...west near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 60 mph. Minimum central pressure...1003 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 8 PM AST followed by the next
complete advisory at 11 PM AST.
Forecaster Franklin
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
Tropical Storm Emily Forecast/Advisory Number 12
Statement as of 21:00Z on July 13, 2005
at 5 PM AST...2100z...the government of the Netherlands Antilles has
issued a tropical storm watch for Bonaire...Curacao...and Aruba.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Barbados...
Trinidad...Tobago...Grenada...The Grenadines...St. Vincent...St.
Lucia...and the northern coast of Venezuela from Pedernales
westward to cumana...including Isla Margarita.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bonaire...Curacao...and
Aruba...and for the northern coast of Venezuela from cumana to
caracas...including the offshore islands north of the watch area.
Interests elsewhere in the central Caribbean should monitor the
progress of Emily.
Tropical storm center located near 11.4n 59.8w at 13/2100z
position accurate within 20 nm
present movement toward the west or 275 degrees at 16 kt
estimated minimum central pressure 1003 mb
Max sustained winds 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt.
50 kt....... 60ne 50se 0sw 50nw.
34 kt.......100ne 90se 40sw 100nw.
12 ft seas..175ne 90se 60sw 125nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat...center located near 11.4n 59.8w at 13/2100z
at 13/1800z center was located near 11.3n 59.0w
forecast valid 14/0600z 11.9n 62.3w
Max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
50 kt... 60ne 60se 20sw 30nw.
34 kt...100ne 90se 60sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 14/1800z 12.8n 65.5w
Max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 60ne 40se 30sw 60nw.
34 kt...100ne 75se 60sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 15/0600z 13.8n 68.6w
Max wind 75 kt...gusts 90 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 60ne 40se 40sw 60nw.
34 kt...100ne 75se 75sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 15/1800z 14.7n 71.7w
Max wind 85 kt...gusts 105 kt.
50 kt... 75ne 60se 60sw 75nw.
34 kt...120ne 90se 90sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 16/1800z 16.5n 78.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
50 kt... 75ne 60se 60sw 75nw.
34 kt...120ne 90se 90sw 120nw.
Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day
outlook valid 17/1800z 18.5n 84.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
Outlook valid 18/1800z 20.0n 89.5w...inland
Max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 11.4n 59.8w
next advisory at 14/0300z
forecaster Franklin
Statement as of 21:00Z on July 13, 2005
at 5 PM AST...2100z...the government of the Netherlands Antilles has
issued a tropical storm watch for Bonaire...Curacao...and Aruba.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Barbados...
Trinidad...Tobago...Grenada...The Grenadines...St. Vincent...St.
Lucia...and the northern coast of Venezuela from Pedernales
westward to cumana...including Isla Margarita.
A tropical storm watch is in effect for Bonaire...Curacao...and
Aruba...and for the northern coast of Venezuela from cumana to
caracas...including the offshore islands north of the watch area.
Interests elsewhere in the central Caribbean should monitor the
progress of Emily.
Tropical storm center located near 11.4n 59.8w at 13/2100z
position accurate within 20 nm
present movement toward the west or 275 degrees at 16 kt
estimated minimum central pressure 1003 mb
Max sustained winds 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt.
50 kt....... 60ne 50se 0sw 50nw.
34 kt.......100ne 90se 40sw 100nw.
12 ft seas..175ne 90se 60sw 125nw.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.
Repeat...center located near 11.4n 59.8w at 13/2100z
at 13/1800z center was located near 11.3n 59.0w
forecast valid 14/0600z 11.9n 62.3w
Max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
50 kt... 60ne 60se 20sw 30nw.
34 kt...100ne 90se 60sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 14/1800z 12.8n 65.5w
Max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 60ne 40se 30sw 60nw.
34 kt...100ne 75se 60sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 15/0600z 13.8n 68.6w
Max wind 75 kt...gusts 90 kt.
64 kt... 20ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
50 kt... 60ne 40se 40sw 60nw.
34 kt...100ne 75se 75sw 100nw.
Forecast valid 15/1800z 14.7n 71.7w
Max wind 85 kt...gusts 105 kt.
50 kt... 75ne 60se 60sw 75nw.
34 kt...120ne 90se 90sw 120nw.
Forecast valid 16/1800z 16.5n 78.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
50 kt... 75ne 60se 60sw 75nw.
34 kt...120ne 90se 90sw 120nw.
Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day
outlook valid 17/1800z 18.5n 84.0w
Max wind 100 kt...gusts 120 kt.
Outlook valid 18/1800z 20.0n 89.5w...inland
Max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.
Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 11.4n 59.8w
next advisory at 14/0300z
forecaster Franklin
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cycloneye
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
As for the new update... Looks like nothing new. =/
I'm bored with Emily too. Look how long she's taken to develop... And she's not even a hurricane yet!
Tracking info for Tropical Storm Emily
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 GMT 07/11/05 10.8N 42.9W 30 1010 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/05 10.8N 43.6W 35 1010 Tropical Depression
15 GMT 07/11/05 10.3N 44.7W 35 1008 Tropical Depression
21 GMT 07/11/05 10.6N 46.0W 35 1008 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 07/12/05 11.3N 47.0W 45 1003 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 07/12/05 11.4N 48.6W 45 1003 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/12/05 11.0N 51.3W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 07/12/05 11.1N 52.8W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 07/13/05 10.7N 54.7W 60 997 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 07/13/05 11.1N 56.3W 60 997 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/13/05 11.2N 58.1W 60 1003 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 07/13/05 11.4N 59.8W 60 1003 Tropical Storm
I'm bored with Emily too. Look how long she's taken to develop... And she's not even a hurricane yet!
Tracking info for Tropical Storm Emily
Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
03 GMT 07/11/05 10.8N 42.9W 30 1010 Tropical Depression
09 GMT 07/11/05 10.8N 43.6W 35 1010 Tropical Depression
15 GMT 07/11/05 10.3N 44.7W 35 1008 Tropical Depression
21 GMT 07/11/05 10.6N 46.0W 35 1008 Tropical Depression
03 GMT 07/12/05 11.3N 47.0W 45 1003 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 07/12/05 11.4N 48.6W 45 1003 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/12/05 11.0N 51.3W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 07/12/05 11.1N 52.8W 50 1000 Tropical Storm
03 GMT 07/13/05 10.7N 54.7W 60 997 Tropical Storm
09 GMT 07/13/05 11.1N 56.3W 60 997 Tropical Storm
15 GMT 07/13/05 11.2N 58.1W 60 1003 Tropical Storm
21 GMT 07/13/05 11.4N 59.8W 60 1003 Tropical Storm
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