Emily finally pulling up?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

Emily finally pulling up?

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:33 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Sure looks like it to me.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:34 pm

Yeah she appears to be doing so. Also it is starting to form a Cdo over its LLC. Slowly it is becoming better oreganized...We need to watch it closely over the next 12 hours.
0 likes   
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#3 Postby dwg71 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:35 pm

Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#4 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:47 pm

dwg71 wrote:Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.


I said in another thread...I think there is something interesting goin on with models...look towards the end of there runs..they look to start heading almost NW
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#5 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:48 pm

Well, 18Z guidance was initialized with a heading of 275...it is hard to tell from satellite as dwg71 alluded, it all depends on where the center is relative to the convection flare-up... as usual, unless something especially distinct appears we won't really know until recon goes in again.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#6 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:49 pm

anytime soon? recon that is?
0 likes   
Top
texasheat

#7 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:49 pm

where do you see this the models..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#8 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:53 pm

If she wants to survive she needs to get better organized when passing through the hurricane graveyard, but "this season is not responding to climatology." <---Historical phase expressed by Forecaster Franklin.
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#9 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:54 pm

Does appear from visibles that Emily is now moving slightly north of due west or wnw.
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#10 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:54 pm

deltadog03 wrote:anytime soon? recon that is?

Scheduled to have a fix at 00Z/7 PM EDT tonight
0 likes   
Top
texasheat

#11 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:56 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.


I said in another thread...I think there is something interesting goin on with models...look towards the end of there runs..they look to start heading almost NW


what models are showing this
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Agua
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1138
Joined: Thu Jul 31, 2003 4:54 pm
Location: Biloxi, Mississippi

#12 Postby Agua » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:56 pm

Very difficult to tell: a definite, "maybe". :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#13 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:58 pm

texasheat wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.


I said in another thread...I think there is something interesting goin on with models...look towards the end of there runs..they look to start heading almost NW


what models are showing this


sorry, i don't know the names but, look at the spread...at the end of there runs..just near the yucatan penn...the look like they are moving towards the NW almost...
0 likes   
Top
texasheat

#14 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:58 pm

lol i meant the site?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#15 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:01 pm

texasheat wrote:lol i meant the site?


http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_05.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#16 Postby cajungal » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:02 pm

Auntie Em! Auntie Em! Come on, you can do it! You are not in Kansas anymore!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:
Contact wx247

#17 Postby wx247 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:03 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Does appear from visibles that Emily is now moving slightly north of due west or wnw.


Yeah, that is what it looks like to me, but it is hard to tell really.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Skywatch_NC
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10949
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 9:31 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC
Contact:
Contact Skywatch_NC

#18 Postby Skywatch_NC » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:03 pm

Man, the UKMET really took off and left the pack behind!

Eric
0 likes   
Top
texasheat

#19 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:06 pm

its so disorganized hard to tell i think
0 likes   
Top
jax

#20 Postby jax » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:09 pm

texasheat wrote:its so disorganized hard to tell i think


it is obviously getting better organized... we will see if the trend
continues... The Dvorak shows the organization best...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib, jhpigott, MetroMike, Sciencerocks and 327 guests