Emily finally pulling up?

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HouTXmetro
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Emily finally pulling up?

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:33 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Sure looks like it to me.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:34 pm

Yeah she appears to be doing so. Also it is starting to form a Cdo over its LLC. Slowly it is becoming better oreganized...We need to watch it closely over the next 12 hours.
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#3 Postby dwg71 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:35 pm

Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.
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#4 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:47 pm

dwg71 wrote:Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.


I said in another thread...I think there is something interesting goin on with models...look towards the end of there runs..they look to start heading almost NW
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#5 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:48 pm

Well, 18Z guidance was initialized with a heading of 275...it is hard to tell from satellite as dwg71 alluded, it all depends on where the center is relative to the convection flare-up... as usual, unless something especially distinct appears we won't really know until recon goes in again.
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#6 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:49 pm

anytime soon? recon that is?
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#7 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:49 pm

where do you see this the models..
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:53 pm

If she wants to survive she needs to get better organized when passing through the hurricane graveyard, but "this season is not responding to climatology." <---Historical phase expressed by Forecaster Franklin.
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#9 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:54 pm

Does appear from visibles that Emily is now moving slightly north of due west or wnw.
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#10 Postby clfenwi » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:54 pm

deltadog03 wrote:anytime soon? recon that is?

Scheduled to have a fix at 00Z/7 PM EDT tonight
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texasheat

#11 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:56 pm

deltadog03 wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.


I said in another thread...I think there is something interesting goin on with models...look towards the end of there runs..they look to start heading almost NW


what models are showing this
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#12 Postby Agua » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:56 pm

Very difficult to tell: a definite, "maybe". :lol:
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#13 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:58 pm

texasheat wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:
dwg71 wrote:Looks due west, dont confuse convection building to the NW of center as Norhtern movement.


I said in another thread...I think there is something interesting goin on with models...look towards the end of there runs..they look to start heading almost NW


what models are showing this


sorry, i don't know the names but, look at the spread...at the end of there runs..just near the yucatan penn...the look like they are moving towards the NW almost...
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texasheat

#14 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 2:58 pm

lol i meant the site?
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#15 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:01 pm

texasheat wrote:lol i meant the site?


http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_05.gif
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#16 Postby cajungal » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:02 pm

Auntie Em! Auntie Em! Come on, you can do it! You are not in Kansas anymore!
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#17 Postby wx247 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:03 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:Does appear from visibles that Emily is now moving slightly north of due west or wnw.


Yeah, that is what it looks like to me, but it is hard to tell really.
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#18 Postby Skywatch_NC » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:03 pm

Man, the UKMET really took off and left the pack behind!

Eric
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texasheat

#19 Postby texasheat » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:06 pm

its so disorganized hard to tell i think
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jax

#20 Postby jax » Wed Jul 13, 2005 3:09 pm

texasheat wrote:its so disorganized hard to tell i think


it is obviously getting better organized... we will see if the trend
continues... The Dvorak shows the organization best...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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