Emily Forecast 2: Staying well south of the US.. even Texas

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Josephine96

Emily Forecast 2: Staying well south of the US.. even Texas

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 5:08 am

DISCLAIMER:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL STOM EMILY
NJN WEATHER CENTER
610 AM WED JULY 13TH 2005

Tropical Storm Emily continues to book along in the Atlantic at a fast clip around 20 mph. She currently has winds around 60 mph and is getting ready to cross through the southern section of the Lesser Antillies.

Emily's southern track will keep her well away from the Islands and well away from anybody if she stays this far south. The only time she may threaten land is towards the end of the period when she may actually go into Southern Mexico and then into the BOC before going into Mexico again.

It doesn't appear for now that Emily may threaten the US. NHC track has her staying to the south and only being a threat to Mexico down near the end of the line.

Here's our experimental 5 day forecast on Emily:
Today:Warnings through the Islands. Max Winds: 65 mph
Thursday: Staying Well south of the Islands. Max Winds: 75 mph
Friday: WELL SOUTH of PR. Max Winds: 80 mph
Saturday: May come close to Jamaica. Max Winds: 85 mph
Sunday:Approaching eastern Mexico before entering the BOC. Max Winds: 90 mph
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loon
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#2 Postby loon » Wed Jul 13, 2005 5:13 am

I'm afraid you might be right, that high is just kicking butt right now..
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Derek Ortt

#3 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 13, 2005 5:25 am

staying away from everyone if it stays to the south?

what about Grenada, Tobago, Venezuela?
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Dave C
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hi

#4 Postby Dave C » Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:13 am

It might be more helpfull if you posted a tracking map or mentioned some lat.and long. positions. Just a thought, not criticism :wink:
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Hunter74
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#5 Postby Hunter74 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:53 am

Sweet stay away from the USA..

Not that I wish it on anybody else, but when you live in a hurricane prone area anyhwhere, all you can do is take the best preperation you can and let things play out..

Thanks Dennis for bringing rain to Milwaukeeee!!
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Anonymous

#6 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 13, 2005 6:57 am

Agreed maybe if it goes in to Mexico South Texas will get some much needed rain without damage.
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caribepr
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#7 Postby caribepr » Wed Jul 13, 2005 7:09 am

Derek Ortt wrote:staying away from everyone if it stays to the south?

what about Grenada, Tobago, Venezuela?


Thank you very much.
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