10:30 EDT TWO, TD FORMATION IS POSSIBLE IN A DAY OR TWO

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Scorpion

#21 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 12, 2005 10:27 pm

Never.
0 likes   

User avatar
bayoubebe
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 313
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:39 pm
Location: NOLA

#22 Postby bayoubebe » Tue Jul 12, 2005 10:29 pm

Scorpion wrote:Never.


Is it possibile?
0 likes   

User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:

#23 Postby Wnghs2007 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 10:29 pm

bayoubebe wrote:Is it possibile for two tropical systems to join as one?

Has that ever happened?


No its never has and never will unless the laws of physics change....
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#24 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 12, 2005 10:31 pm

bayoubebe wrote:Is it possibile for two tropical systems to join as one?

Has that ever happened?


When one gets close to another they begin the Fujiwara dance, basically both start to rotate and start to weaken, usually the stronger kill the weakest and absorb the moisture. But they don't join that easily, one must die!
0 likes   

User avatar
bayoubebe
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 313
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:39 pm
Location: NOLA

#25 Postby bayoubebe » Tue Jul 12, 2005 10:33 pm

Thanks guys for the explanation. Very interesting.(especially to a very,non-pro weather gal).
0 likes   

User avatar
mvtrucking
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 698
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2005 10:01 am
Location: Monroe,La

#26 Postby mvtrucking » Tue Jul 12, 2005 10:47 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:This may sound kinda stupid but do you guys remember the movie Starship Troopers? When they were on the planet with all the bugs, the troopers were on this command station lined up and all of a sudden a million bugs came charging right at them and one of the leader troops was like "Here we go!!" Well I guess it feels a little bit like that cause these tropical systems are gonna come at us like crazy.

<RICKY>


Loved that movie Ricky.....Crazy season for sure
0 likes   

User avatar
Wthrman13
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 502
Joined: Sun Jul 06, 2003 12:44 pm
Location: West Lafayette, IN
Contact:

#27 Postby Wthrman13 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 11:51 pm

Scorpion wrote:Never.


Sure it is. It just depends on what you mean by "join as one". If you mean joining together into a bigger and stronger tropical cyclone, then no, but if you mean two tropical cyclones coming so close together that one circulation is absorbed into the other, then yes, it is possible and has occurred on occasion (although it certainly isn't common). Virtually always when this happens, the weaker storm is torn to shreds by the strong shear on the outer fringes of the stronger storm. I recall one such unusual case a few years ago in the East Pacific, where you could actually track the low level circulation of the weaker storm for quite a while as it gradually spiraled in toward the stronger one.
0 likes   

User avatar
fci
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3324
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 10:29 am
Location: Lake Worth, FL

#28 Postby fci » Wed Jul 13, 2005 12:03 am

Last year, it kind of happened with Lisa.
Another disturbance followed it very closely and was absorbed the bigger Lisa.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#29 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 13, 2005 12:06 am

That distrabance/Depression was much bigger then Lisa. Lisa was a very small storm. That system had T numbers with quickscat support for two days before the two systems joined together. That system took the energy that was Lisa. In that system was a new system I think...Why because a new area of low pressure took the energy...I don't know how it was still called Lisa. About the same thinking for Ivan 2#.


Also for 99L it looks to be forming a area of convection over the LLC. If the LLC is under that we are very close to having a depression. I'm waiting for new Quickscat data/T numbers.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#30 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:11 am

99L is now a 1.5/1.5 which means it is close to a depression. It appears to becoming better oreganized. With a large area of convection over the LLC. Expect when or if the new quickscats show a LLC a upgrade.

13/0530 UTC 14.6N 32.7W T1.5/1.5 99
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#31 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:32 am

wow, this season is nuts
0 likes   

HurricaneJoe22
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 456
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2004 12:45 am
Location: Temple, Texas

#32 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:36 am

thanks, Capt. Obvious :lol:
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#33 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:38 am

Not more nuts then 1933 or 1995 or 1886 when 4 hurricanes hit Texas with in one month??? Its a normal active period. In believe me it is likely this was/is not the most active of them over the last thousand years.(Thats a guest)


If you went to start thinking...1995/1933 may not even make it into the top 10 over the last 500 years.(If there was a record)
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#34 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:41 am

I would think Matt is right, we go through cycles with active and inactive periods, and we dont know much before 1885
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 55 guests