10:30 EDT TWO, TD FORMATION IS POSSIBLE IN A DAY OR TWO

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 10:30 PM EDT on July 12, 2005

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Emily...located about 370 miles east-southeast of Barbados.

An area of low pressure located about 475 miles west of the CAPE
Verde Islands has become better organized this evening. Conditions
appear to be favorable for a tropical depression to form during the
next day or so as the system moves westward near 20 mph.

Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through
Thursday.

Forecaster Knabb

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wahoo come on Frank...It will be a fish so don't worry...Unless that high is going to try to keep something moving westward at all most 15 north off the Cape verdes...I would be very suprized.

[Scorpion]

And behind him is potential Gert.

[Brent]

Sheesh. This is ungodly.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Remember a few years ago when we had 2 december storms? Are little bit of Climo means next to nothing.

[WeatherEmperor]

This may sound kinda stupid but do you guys remember the movie Starship Troopers? When they were on the planet with all the bugs, the troopers were on this command station lined up and all of a sudden a million bugs came charging right at them and one of the leader troops was like "Here we go!!" Well I guess it feels a little bit like that cause these tropical systems are gonna come at us like crazy.

<RICKY>

[HURAKAN]

Let me ask something, what is the record for storms in July?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

8 named storm in July 2003. Or was that August?

[Brent]

8 named storm in July 2003.

Are you sure??? Bill was in June... Claudette and Danny July... Erika in August I believe and the rest later on.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I will have to check. Or is that landfalls.

[Brent]

Or was that August?

Defintely August. Erika... Fabian... Grace... Henri, although Isabel waited til September I think, so that's only 4.

[SouthernWx]

If Invest 99L becomes tropical storm Franklin, we are in uncharted waters......because NEVER in the period of record 1851-2004 have six named storms formed before August first.

There have been several seasons with five named storms by the end of July.....but never six.

PW

My hurricanes 05' site
http://community-2.webtv.net/SouthernWx61/Hurricane

[crazycajuncane]

If Franklin develops... he looks on the weak side. If that's Gert coming off the African coast... I'm scared!

P.S. You know how every year the weather channel has that little map with the points of orgin for storms in each month? According to them... Coming off the coast of Africa at this time of the year are not favorable for development. So why this year???

[Andrew92]

I had Franklin picked as a fish....let's see if the models are right!

Unfortunately, Gert was the one I had picked as the big one... Hopefully I'm wrong there!

-Andrew92

[HURAKAN]

By the way, we are only half through the month of July.

[Wnghs2007]

This Might be TD 6 by tomorrow morning 5 AM or 11 AM


LOOK AT IT!



Huge Blow up of convection over it...Already has an LLC and winds are 30 mph....

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like a tropical depression or nearing one now. We will have to see what the nhc says.

[Scorpion]

We are not yet into the second half of July and we have Franklin and potential Gert on the way. I think we will see Irene or Jose by the end of the month.

[Brent]

Could see Franklin by late tomorrow at this rate.

[bayoubebe]

Is it possibile for two tropical systems to join as one?

Has that ever happened?