Here is 99L

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL992005) ON 20050713 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050713 0000 050713 1200 050714 0000 050714 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.3N 30.7W 15.3N 34.1W 16.1N 37.2W 17.0N 40.0W
BAMM 14.3N 30.7W 15.4N 34.0W 16.3N 37.3W 17.2N 40.6W
A98E 14.3N 30.7W 15.0N 33.6W 15.7N 36.5W 16.5N 39.2W
LBAR 14.3N 30.7W 15.1N 33.9W 16.2N 37.2W 17.1N 40.6W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050715 0000 050716 0000 050717 0000 050718 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.1N 42.6W 21.6N 46.9W 26.4N 49.8W 30.3N 49.7W
BAMM 18.3N 43.7W 20.5N 49.5W 22.8N 54.6W 25.0N 59.3W
A98E 17.3N 41.8W 20.4N 46.3W 24.0N 50.1W 27.8N 52.5W
LBAR 18.2N 43.8W 20.4N 49.0W 21.6N 52.9W .0N .0W
SHIP 52KTS 57KTS 59KTS 56KTS
DSHP 52KTS 57KTS 59KTS 56KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.3N LONCUR = 30.7W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 13.6N LONM12 = 27.9W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 12.9N LONM24 = 25.1W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....

All the hurricane models with most if not all the Globals make this a fish. So people relax an just watch it.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL992005) ON 20050713 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050713 0000 050713 1200 050714 0000 050714 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.3N 30.7W 15.3N 34.1W 16.1N 37.2W 17.0N 40.0W
BAMM 14.3N 30.7W 15.4N 34.0W 16.3N 37.3W 17.2N 40.6W
A98E 14.3N 30.7W 15.0N 33.6W 15.7N 36.5W 16.5N 39.2W
LBAR 14.3N 30.7W 15.1N 33.9W 16.2N 37.2W 17.1N 40.6W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050715 0000 050716 0000 050717 0000 050718 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 18.1N 42.6W 21.6N 46.9W 26.4N 49.8W 30.3N 49.7W
BAMM 18.3N 43.7W 20.5N 49.5W 22.8N 54.6W 25.0N 59.3W
A98E 17.3N 41.8W 20.4N 46.3W 24.0N 50.1W 27.8N 52.5W
LBAR 18.2N 43.8W 20.4N 49.0W 21.6N 52.9W .0N .0W
SHIP 52KTS 57KTS 59KTS 56KTS
DSHP 52KTS 57KTS 59KTS 56KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.3N LONCUR = 30.7W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 14KT
LATM12 = 13.6N LONM12 = 27.9W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 12.9N LONM24 = 25.1W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M


Fish all the way.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Its going to be another named storm for the record....Fish it will be.


Now this is the kind of storm you went to see turn into a beast.

[gatorcane]

Are we sure it's July?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Theres active periods in unactive periods. We don't have enough Climo to even have a idea. This could of happen many times through out the last 500 or more years. This should not be s suprize. In yes this is July.

[cycloneye]

It well be a fish system but we have to watch if the ridge builds strong and makes the system move more west.But initial track should go away from the islands.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It will be. This is the kind of storm we can all agree on.

[Scorpion]

How do we know this is a fish for sure. JB mentioned something earlier about the high building back in and taking it on an unusual track to the Carolinas or even Georgia.

[gkrangers]

How do we know this is a fish for sure. JB mentioned something earlier about the high building back in and taking it on an unusual track to the Carolinas or even Georgia.

Because by JB saying every storm is a threat to land, his subscribership goes up.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The likely hood of a tropical cyclone forming at 14 north east of 35 west...Making landfall over the United states is very small. At least an any other year. To many factors to take it out to sea.

[Thunder44]

Too soon to tell if it will be a fish. You all put too much stock into those models. You should be looking at the global models.

[LCfromFL]

How about some epac storms for you while your away

Hmmmmm...how come we don't have a 'Thwap' emoticon??? ('cause if we did, I'd be thwapping Isu!)

<----me in Hawaii

[Hyperstorm]

It is becoming better organized every hour. This is the one that I was watching yesterday with good potential for development. It is current re-firing thunderstorms near the center and if this continues (which I expect it to) Tropical Depression #6 will be here by late tomorrow or Thursday at the very latest.

If there's any good news about it, it's already located fairly far north and the troughing that Emily will create on "her" backward side will make this jump NW eventually...

Yet another wave is about to exit Africa and that one has a well-defined LOW pressure center with it. Even as defined as this wave is, it will probably not develop due to it having 2 systems in front of it, which will create a tremendous amount of shear over it.

We'll see how it goes, but right now the Atlantic Ocean is undergoing EXPLOSIVE activity...

To back up my previous post...Here's a link to Dakar, Senegal observations.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/GOOY.html

The station has been reporting a westerly component of the wind over the last several hours...indicative of an impressive area of low pressure about to move offshore. It will be interesting to see how pressures change over the next several hours...

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It could develop remember the line of storms durning 1995?

[Swimdude]

It will be. This is the kind of storm we can all agree on.

FINALLY

Hehehe... It's funny, cause' just below that post, people started disagreeing.

[yoda]

It well be a fish system but we have to watch if the ridge builds strong and makes the system move more west.But initial track should go away from the islands.

The LBAR and BAMM say otherwise.. for now... but we will see. It is a LONG LONG LONG way off.

[Brent]

LBAR and BAMM look similar to Andrew... only to have it barrel westward towards Florida.

[Wnghs2007]

REMEMBER The Models all year long have had a bias of having track consensus to far NORTH all year long as stated by Derek Ortt and by the NHC several times already this year....If the trough is weaker than the models show or the ridge much stronger, then this will be anything but a fish..

But as of right now it has a very good chance of being a fish.

[Scorpion]

I dont think this will be a fish. 1. It is an "F" storm. 2. The ridge will likely build in. 3. The models have a right bias.

[Brent]

I dont think this will be a fish. 1. It is an "F" storm. 2. The ridge will likely build in. 3. The models have a right bias.

Fabian looked to be a fish, hit Bermuda

Frances almost was a fish, turned west, hit the Northern Bahamas and Florida

Hmmmm....