Poll-Where Emily might end up?

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Where will Emily end up after the GOM?

Plow into South/Central America
12
10%
Mexico
35
30%
South Texas (Brownsville-Galveston)
29
25%
Upper Texas (all points north of Galveston including Houston)
11
10%
Southwest Louisiana (Cameron-New Iberia)
5
4%
Southeast Louisiana (Morgan City-Grand Isle)
6
5%
Mississippi
4
3%
Alabama-Florida Panhandle
5
4%
Other
8
7%
 
Total votes: 115
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cajungal
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Poll-Where Emily might end up?

#1 Postby cajungal » Tue Jul 12, 2005 6:13 pm

I love doing polls. So, now that it looks like Emily will definitly end up in GOM. Let's see opinions on where she may end up after.
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Brent
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#2 Postby Brent » Tue Jul 12, 2005 6:20 pm

Mexico is what I voted for... maybe a Gilbert type track, then into Mexico, maybe South Texas, but regardless, Yucatan would be affected.
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#3 Postby Rainband » Tue Jul 12, 2005 6:39 pm

Mexico :D
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#4 Postby Cape Verde » Tue Jul 12, 2005 6:40 pm

I don't know that I'd consider Brownsville to Galveston "South Texas". Brownsville to Corpus, perhaps. You made at least 90% of the coast "South Texas." Maybe 100 miles to Louisiana in the rest.
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#5 Postby LCfromFL » Tue Jul 12, 2005 6:54 pm

I just got off the phone with my girlfriend - she and her 2 kids (ages 9 and 13) are supposed to leave Thursday to go to Cancun for a long weekend, coming back on Monday.

She called Delta and Marriott - but neither are willing to make changes to her reservations at this time since there isn't an official watch or warning in effect...so she's kind of in a danged if you do, danged if you don't situation right now.

At one point, we were going to do this long weekend together - she and her 2 kids, me with my 2 girls - and we were looking at Grand Cayman! (yeah, one of those dashed lines sits smack dab on top of GC).

GO AWAY EMILY

:layout: <---our plans for the weekend - Emily, don't mess with them!
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#6 Postby Agua » Tue Jul 12, 2005 7:08 pm

Voted for Central America, though Mexico would be as good a guess as any.
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#7 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jul 12, 2005 7:10 pm

It's surprising how many said Texas. I voted for Mexico; if it survives the Yucatan, which I believe it will pass over.
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#8 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Tue Jul 12, 2005 7:55 pm

Mexico (YP) seems a good bet, especially if she doesn't strengthen. Nothing any further north than the lower TX coast.
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#9 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 8:03 pm

well, i went southern TX coast because I think we will see her get pushed further north from the ULL...assuming em, dosn't go into SA and the ULL is still there...that ULL dosn't look to be moving very much
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#10 Postby gatorbabe79 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 11:48 pm

YP close to Belize
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#11 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Jul 12, 2005 11:56 pm

Upper TX or SW La.

I don't think the ridge will be strong enough to suppress her that far west or south in the GOM.
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#12 Postby Wpwxguy » Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:50 am

That would be one heck of a high to push her to Mexico. IMO . I would have to say a little more north course beginning around Jamaica/Cuba taking her into the Central Louisiana Coast or possibly back to the Lake Charles area.
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#13 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 13, 2005 1:51 am

I said Brownsville
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#14 Postby lisa0825 » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:36 am

Houston is inland (NW) from Galveston. With the curvature of the Texas Coast, it would be more logical to include Houston in the Browsnville to Galveston range, rather than "upper Texas." The next segment would be East Texas coast, not north. I agree with Cape Verde, that Brownsville to Galveston covers 90% of our coast, and it's a long coast!:-)
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#15 Postby gtalum » Wed Jul 13, 2005 8:40 am

LCfromFL wrote:I just got off the phone with my girlfriend - she and her 2 kids (ages 9 and 13) are supposed to leave Thursday to go to Cancun for a long weekend, coming back on Monday.

She called Delta and Marriott - but neither are willing to make changes to her reservations at this time since there isn't an official watch or warning in effect...so she's kind of in a danged if you do, danged if you don't situation right now.

At one point, we were going to do this long weekend together - she and her 2 kids, me with my 2 girls - and we were looking at Grand Cayman! (yeah, one of those dashed lines sits smack dab on top of GC).


That is a pickle. I know some folks who were stuck in Cancun during and after Gilbert. needless to say it wasn't a pleasant experience for them.
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#16 Postby dhweather » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:11 am

Mexico at best. Maybe South America.
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#17 Postby Wacahootaman » Wed Jul 13, 2005 9:38 am

Nicawawa
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#18 Postby cajungal » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:05 am

At this point, Mexico, but she will probably crash in to the Yucatan around Cozumel. And may disipate her. But, there is supposed to be a weakness that might drive her north. If that is the case, Texas as best. Don't think it will be strong enough to drive her all the way to the Louisiana coastline.
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#19 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Jul 13, 2005 10:10 am

Upper Texas Coast
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#20 Postby cajungal » Thu Jul 14, 2005 9:39 am

Bump
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