Emily has her eyes on the GOM.

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Stormcenter
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Emily has her eyes on the GOM.

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:02 pm

It sure looks that way to me.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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Sanibel
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#2 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:06 pm

This storm has been south of west since I went to sleep late last night.


Heading around 267*. Center latitude presently near 11.2


Weak trough feature off US had zero effect. Emily went underneath it. If anything it enhanced the Atlantic ridge driving Emily south.
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Scorpion

#3 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:07 pm

Looks like it took a slight jog to the NW :lol: .
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#4 Postby dwg71 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:09 pm

Where's the Beef?? I mean Where's the center.... It still seems to be heading due west, and there appears to be some weaking in the last few hours.
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#5 Postby gboudx » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:10 pm

Scorpion wrote:Looks like it took a slight jog to the NW :lol: .


Are you sure it wasn't a wobble? ;)
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#6 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:11 pm

It's too early to tell. The Ridge appears to be much stronger. So I would not rule out the Yucatan or Central America strike. It could possibly even dissapate. It's happened before. Earl 2004
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#7 Postby Sanibel » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:16 pm

The Caribbean graveyard could get this one since it isn't as deep as Dennis. Who knows? Rule of thumb is usually the closer it comes to South America, the greater the graveyard effect. My instinct says no though.


PS - People "trolling" threads with wobble remarks don't add to the quality of the discussion. The guiding synoptics are obviously what are important here.
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#8 Postby Swimdude » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:22 pm

Sanibel wrote:The Caribbean graveyard could get this one since it isn't as deep as Dennis. Who knows? Rule of thumb is usually the closer it comes to South America, the greater the graveyard effect. My instinct says no though.


PS - People "trolling" threads with wobble remarks don't add to the quality of the discussion. The guiding synoptics are obviously what are important here.



Hmmm well, i'd be surprised if the NHC was predicting a cat. 3 [as it is], and this thing just dissipates.
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#9 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:26 pm

Swimdude wrote:
Sanibel wrote:The Caribbean graveyard could get this one since it isn't as deep as Dennis. Who knows? Rule of thumb is usually the closer it comes to South America, the greater the graveyard effect. My instinct says no though.


PS - People "trolling" threads with wobble remarks don't add to the quality of the discussion. The guiding synoptics are obviously what are important here.



Hmmm well, i'd be surprised if the NHC was predicting a cat. 3 [as it is], and this thing just dissipates.


Ummm, see the forecast for Earl last year. Predicted to be a Hurricane in the Gulf. Never made it.
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#10 Postby Agua » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:29 pm

Wouldn't surprise me if the thing is plowed into Central America.
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#11 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:30 pm

Its going to Texas 8-) .
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#12 Postby dwg71 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:31 pm

Scorpion, its getting old..
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#13 Postby Scorpion » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:32 pm

Im being serious though.
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#14 Postby dwg71 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:33 pm

ok, but once is enough, we all heard you.
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#15 Postby jkt21787 » Tue Jul 12, 2005 12:34 pm

Scorpion wrote:Its going to Texas 8-) .

Looking at models and current trends, this has a much better chance of being a Mexico or Yucatan landfall rather than Texas.
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#16 Postby MGC » Tue Jul 12, 2005 1:39 pm

The ridge to its north is forecast to build, so I'm thinking Yucatan. Jamaica will get another scare too......MGC
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