Will future Emily survive Hispanola?
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logybogy
Will future Emily survive Hispanola?
I mean even Cat 4 hurricanes like David get shredded to pieces by the mountains on the island there. If it doesn't go north or south of the island, I think the storm is a goner.
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cycloneye
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It's early to say it wil go thru Hispanola because many things can happen with the track in 5 days.
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gkrangers
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Cape Verde
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TheShrimper
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BayouVenteux
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As for the island's "Hurricane Killer" reputation and the potential system's potential chances in a hypothetical encounter 
(can't believe I wrote that)...
The naysayers will point to 2000's Debby.
The opposition party can return fire with 1979's David. David didn't return to it's monster Cat 4/5 status, but even a Cat 2 is a strong comeback after a Hispanola crossing.
Last year a fledgling Jeanne recovered from a lengthy near-death experience over Hispaniola.
Sadly, the weakening of these systems as they rain themselves out over the mountains of Hispaniola, particularly over the deforested areas of Haiti, regularly results in catastrophic flooding, mudslides and added misery for an already stressed out populace.
(can't believe I wrote that)...
The naysayers will point to 2000's Debby.
The opposition party can return fire with 1979's David. David didn't return to it's monster Cat 4/5 status, but even a Cat 2 is a strong comeback after a Hispanola crossing.
Last year a fledgling Jeanne recovered from a lengthy near-death experience over Hispaniola.
Sadly, the weakening of these systems as they rain themselves out over the mountains of Hispaniola, particularly over the deforested areas of Haiti, regularly results in catastrophic flooding, mudslides and added misery for an already stressed out populace.
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Emily - Staying South
New to the Forum:
Take a look at the rapid intensification of the ridge as evidenced on the water vapor loop just to the west of TD 5. This baby is staying south in my humble opinion and will likely miss Hispanola. My bet is a southerly trajectory that takes it near Jamaca and then into the gulf near the west end of Cuba. I wouldnt be surpized if we have a hit between Houston and New Orleans.
Merely conjecture on my part but I did Ace satellite prediction in college...
Brand new to this exciting forum so go easy on me at least at first..
Take a look at the rapid intensification of the ridge as evidenced on the water vapor loop just to the west of TD 5. This baby is staying south in my humble opinion and will likely miss Hispanola. My bet is a southerly trajectory that takes it near Jamaca and then into the gulf near the west end of Cuba. I wouldnt be surpized if we have a hit between Houston and New Orleans.
Merely conjecture on my part but I did Ace satellite prediction in college...
Brand new to this exciting forum so go easy on me at least at first..
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corpusbreeze
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