TD#5 in Southern GOM early next week?

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Stormcenter
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TD#5 in Southern GOM early next week?

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:35 pm

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
221 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2005

VALID 12Z THU JUL 14 2005 - 12Z MON JUL 18 2005

FINAL MEDIUM RANGE DISCUSSION...


...TROPICS...

EARLY START TO THE TROPICAL SEASON CONTINUES... TPC/NHC FCST FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE BRINGS THE SYSTEM INTO THE ERN CARIBBEAN BY
DAY 3 THU... WITH EXTRAPOLATION OF TPC/NHC TRACK BRINGING IT INTO
THE SERN GULF OF MEXICO BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONSULT LATEST
ADVISORIES FOR UPDATED INFO.
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Canelaw99
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#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:36 pm

I'll worry about the GOM after I figure out whether it's going around FL, or through FL :wink:
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Re: TD#5 in Southern GOM early next week?

#3 Postby Portastorm » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:38 pm

Stormcenter wrote:EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
221 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2005

VALID 12Z THU JUL 14 2005 - 12Z MON JUL 18 2005

FINAL MEDIUM RANGE DISCUSSION...


...TROPICS...

EARLY START TO THE TROPICAL SEASON CONTINUES... TPC/NHC FCST FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE BRINGS THE SYSTEM INTO THE ERN CARIBBEAN BY
DAY 3 THU... WITH EXTRAPOLATION OF TPC/NHC TRACK BRINGING IT INTO
THE SERN GULF OF MEXICO BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONSULT LATEST
ADVISORIES FOR UPDATED INFO.


... eh, we don't get hurricanes in Texas any more. They all go to Florida.

:roll:
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#4 Postby Swimdude » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:38 pm

That doesn't seem all that likely, according to models and forecast tracks... But I suppose it could happen.
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#5 Postby southerngale » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:38 pm

Could you post some GOOD news now? Like, "but it's expected to recurve out to sea, after gaining cat 5 strength to appease the tropical freaks, harming nobody in its path" :wink:
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#6 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:39 pm

Hmmmm have a look.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9nh.gif
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#7 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:42 pm

hmmm...that is very interesting...IF** that was the case...i would say TX storm...it would follow that ridge right into TX...waaaay too far out though
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#8 Postby bfez1 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:42 pm

:Chit:

NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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#9 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:44 pm

Maybe they meant, Southeastern Gulf. Another North Gulf/ FLA threat.
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#10 Postby canegrl04 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:47 pm

Two reasons this one needs to go toTexas:
1. Texas is in drought conditions
2.Florida needs a break
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#11 Postby bfez1 » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:51 pm

canegrl04 wrote:Two reasons this one needs to go toTexas:
1. Texas is in drought conditions
2.Florida needs a break


Consider it yours!!!
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#12 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:51 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Hmmmm have a look.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9nh.gif


With a ridge over the northern gulf and the high sitting right over Pensacola....good for them.
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#13 Postby southerngale » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:56 pm

canegrl04 wrote:Two reasons this one needs to go toTexas:
1. Texas is in drought conditions
2.Florida needs a break



If it's a little ol TS, I'd agree with you. But we don't need a major cane to ease the drought. I'll take the drought and a sprinkler any day over damage to my house and neighborhood.
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#14 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:57 pm

Portastorm wrote:... eh, we don't get hurricanes in Texas any more. They all go to Florida.


Now you did it! TX was invisible to hurricanes until you made that statement.
Last edited by KatDaddy on Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:00 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#15 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:58 pm

AL Chili Pepper wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:Hmmmm have a look.

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9nh.gif


With a ridge over the northern gulf and the high sitting right over Pensacola....good for them.


It's just too far out. If the High is stronger, maybe a south TX/Mexico storm. If weaker, a possible upper TX/ Louisiana storm. I would hate to see the MS/AL/FL area get hit again.
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#16 Postby Portastorm » Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:10 pm

KatDaddy wrote:
Portastorm wrote:... eh, we don't get hurricanes in Texas any more. They all go to Florida.


Now you did it! TX was invisible to hurricanes until you made that statement.


:lol: :lol:

I wish I had that much control over the tropics!
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texasheat

#17 Postby texasheat » Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:11 pm

what catagory are they predictin it to be
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#18 Postby Skywatch_NC » Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:12 pm

texasheat wrote:what catagory are they predictin it to be


No category yet...hasn't even yet reached official TS status.
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texasheat

#19 Postby texasheat » Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:13 pm

i know that. what are they predecting it to be when it makes landfall
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#20 Postby Brent » Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:13 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:I'll worry about the GOM after I figure out whether it's going around FL, or through FL :wink:


How about under, around, and through? :lol:
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