Where is TD#5 headed?

[Skywatch_NC]

My vote: Just where the NHC forecasts it in it's updates

[HURAKAN]

Unreal, its only July 11th, and we're looking at the forecast track of the 5th storm of the season, bearing right down on someone in the US again, after doing God knows what to some poor Carribean island.
Amazing. Incredible. I just can't believe this #5 will amount to anything major. Eventually the odds would be in our favor.....right?!

The odds would be in the favor of everyone at the end of the season to have seen at least one tropical cyclone.

[wxcrazytwo]

I think the GOM is out of the question, because TD#5 will start heading NW by Thursday. Most of the models have it swinging up towards the eastern portion of cuba, but more towards the western side of the bahamas. I say Florida hit again...Especially, if the High builds stronger and a little more west, and if, the TD#5 rides along the ridge.

[THead]

I think that would be true if the season ended July 30th at this rate!

[WeatherEmperor]

I just hope I have enough energy for August and September because this season is so darn active. Im too scared to even begin to predict where TD5 will go but I have soooo much confidence in the NHC that I will put all my trust in them.

<RICKY>

[hurricanefreak1988]

Could this be the one? Is my wait over? Is my hometown of Fayetteville finally going to see its first action since Floyd? I know it's early, but storms that form that far out have the potential to come here. We shall see.

[Wnghs2007]

You know whats really crazy...

I have recieved measurable rain and higher than normal winds from all of the following in the past 11 months....Here we go in order... Frances, Ivan, Jeanne, Arlene, Cindy, and Dennis

I cant remember a period as active as this in my whole entire life really. (16 years) and with the path towards the US there is a chance albeit slight that I could get affected by Emily too...That would make 7

[lmbyankeegirl]

I think Florida is going to get hit again, especially of the high builds back in. It will have no other way to go but Florida or the GOM..

I heard this on the news tonight...about the ridge building.....I'm in Melbourne, Fl..going to be watching this one with great interest. For those who said he couldn't happen again...Dennis just proved that theory wrong!!!

[Thunder44]

If it hits the same area where Dennis hit, than I say that would be good, because whatever is coming will weaken rapidly before landfall.

[wzrgirl1]

I do believe that td 5 will go just north of the islands and head somewhere for florida...similar to Jeanne and Frances only because the high is forecasted to strengthen.

[Javlin]

Well the NHC says Luis's neck of the woods.I will have to comply with the awesome forcast they did on Dennis.From three days out they had Pensacola pegged and thats where it went.To be quite honest can not remember the last time a storm hit at point A from that time frame.Could be lucky but I doubt it.

[jlauderdal]

Well the NHC says Luis's neck of the woods.I will have to comply with the awesome forcast they did on Dennis.From three days out they had Pensacola pegged and thats where it went.To be quite honest can not remember the last time a storm hit at point A from that time frame.Could be lucky but I doubt it.

max mayfield even said they did great...they were within 70 miles 3 days out.
That cone is going to get narrower if this continues.

[angelwing]

I can't shake the feeling that it's going to hit either NC/VA/NJ...way overdue up here (not -removed-)

[Patrick99]

I think the GOM is out of the question, because TD#5 will start heading NW by Thursday. Most of the models have it swinging up towards the eastern portion of cuba, but more towards the western side of the bahamas. I say Florida hit again...Especially, if the High builds stronger and a little more west, and if, the TD#5 rides along the ridge.

Let's see how it fares with Hispaniola, the bane of aimed-at-Florida hurricanes. If it followed the NHC's current track, there may not be that much left of it.

[feederband]

In fear of being lynched or subjected to a -removed- beating I will say Texas of course it will have to go though south Florida first....

[perk]

Feederband it's a good chance you will be lynched.There are some posters on this board that just does'nt think that Texas can for some reason get hit by a tropical system.

[AL Chili Pepper]

I've been out of it since Saturday night. I must have slept off and on all day yesterday, and haven't been keeping up with #5.

Seems like I remember reading somewhere where the Atlantic high will start building west again. That, and the position of the storm north of Hispaniola, makes me believe this - at least for now - is a Florida east coast storm.

[vbhoutex]

so if it builds... texas/la is in the strike zone along with the rest of the gulf...

it could be...if my memory serves me, which its fried...this is the type of pattern that would send things to the western gulf or FL...i think..

Understand the fried all too well!!!! Unfortunately this could be, and I emphasize COULD, a FL and GOM storm. AS it progresses Westerly it may bump up against the building ridge, cross Florida and then we have another GOM storm to watch. This is, of course, only speculation as it is way too far out to make any determination on track.

[gkrangers]

The NHC forecast track will continue to shift more left as long as TD5 continues moving due west.

Maybe by Day 3 we have a better idea about the ridge and if its a GOMER or East Coast...or recurve.

[cajungal]

Historically speaking, Louisiana usually only gets hit in slower periods. Andrew and Betsy both hit during slow periods. 1995 and 1933 were the 2 busiest seasons on record, and Louisiana did not get a single hit. Don't let your guard down, though, because that is not saying we won't see something this season.