Poll on 98L/TD# 5

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked

Will 98L Develop and what will happen?

Don't develop at all
2
4%
Develop but fish
9
16%
Pose a threat to the east coast
29
53%
GOM Storm
15
27%
 
Total votes: 55
Message
Author
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

Poll on 98L/TD# 5

#1 Postby cajungal » Sat Jul 09, 2005 2:44 pm

I was not even going to post this. Because I know the immediate concern is Dennis. And 98L is so far out. But, I am bored, and just want some opinions.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2044
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#2 Postby Hurricanehink » Sat Jul 09, 2005 2:53 pm

I said no development at all, but I want to change that (I know I can't). I was looking at the northwestern blob, but I didn't see the circulation everyone else saw. I would bet on some development.
Last edited by Hurricanehink on Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:08 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#3 Postby Brent » Sat Jul 09, 2005 2:54 pm

Develops... Gulf storm.

The only thing I've looked at besides the satellite is the models. If it goes south of Puerto Rico and Hispanola, it's a GOM storm and I think it will.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#4 Postby cajungal » Sat Jul 09, 2005 2:58 pm

It is a very low latitude. My thinking is that it may try to head out to the Yucatan Channel. Way too early to say, I know. But, hey, it is fun guessing right?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Skywatch_NC
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10949
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 9:31 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC
Contact:
Contact Skywatch_NC

#5 Postby Skywatch_NC » Sat Jul 09, 2005 2:58 pm

For the sake of ALL...I say develop but will be a fish.
0 likes   
Top
Stormchaser16
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1013
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:25 pm
Location: NW Jersey
Contact:
Contact Stormchaser16

#6 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 2:59 pm

i gave it the benefit of the doubt in developing somewhat however climatology tells us that storms that develop this far out this early in the season will historically become fishes
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
caribepr
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:43 pm
Location: Culebra, PR 18.33 65.33

#7 Postby caribepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:06 pm

The east coast of where? :wink:
0 likes   
Top
NateFLA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 314
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa, FL
Contact:
Contact NateFLA

#8 Postby NateFLA » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:06 pm

Stormchaser16 wrote:i gave it the benefit of the doubt in developing somewhat however climatology tells us that storms that develop this far out this early in the season will historically become fishes

Which I agree to, but this season is anything but an ordinary season.

I'm going to say a 60/40 chance it develops and goes far enough south to be a gulf storm.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3261
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

#9 Postby chris_fit » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:07 pm

caribepr wrote:The east coast of where? :wink:


Florida, duh.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#10 Postby cajungal » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:07 pm

The east coast of the United States. I forgot to put Florida threat in the poll. Because I know the residents of that state are sick of any mention of another storm.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
caribepr
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:43 pm
Location: Culebra, PR 18.33 65.33

#11 Postby caribepr » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:09 pm

I'm teasing you cajungal...there are a lot of islands down here with *east coasts* in line before Florida :)
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#12 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:02 pm

If this thing develops Im never gonna be able to focus on my school work and end up failing my Java class! I hope it nevers develops so I can finally calm down and focus on my darn school work for once!

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#13 Postby cajungal » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:03 pm

I bet we will hear more about this after Dennis makes landfall. Dennis will be the main story for days to come. Stay safe everyone who is in Dennis path. You are in my prayers.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#14 Postby cajungal » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:02 pm

Bump. Anyone else need to vote on their early guesses?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#15 Postby Canelaw99 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:03 pm

I voted east coast - I can see this one anywhere from FL to the Carolinas....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#16 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:05 pm

man...i dunno...did you see the bermuda high really develop and push SW....its a toss up right now obcourse.. but, we will see
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#17 Postby cajungal » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:08 pm

I started a new poll, now that is officially TD 5 and not 98L anymore.
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: johngaltfla and 257 guests