00 Model run for TD#5

[*StOrmsPr*]

Code: Select all

323
WHXX01 KWBC 110105
CHGHUR

 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
 PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

  NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

  TROPICAL DEPRESSION       FIVE (AL052005) ON 20050711  0000 UTC

          ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
          050711  0000   050711  1200   050712  0000   050712  1200

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    10.8N  42.4W   10.9N  45.0W   10.9N  47.7W   10.9N  50.3W
  BAMM    10.8N  42.4W   11.2N  44.7W   11.6N  46.9W   11.9N  49.3W
  A98E    10.8N  42.4W   10.9N  44.4W   11.3N  46.6W   12.0N  49.0W
  LBAR    10.8N  42.4W   11.1N  44.8W   11.7N  47.5W   12.3N  50.6W
  SHIP        25KTS          32KTS          40KTS          47KTS
  DSHP        25KTS          32KTS          40KTS          47KTS

          ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
          050713  0000   050714  0000   050715  0000   050716  0000

           LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
  BAMD    10.8N  53.1W   11.0N  59.0W   12.0N  64.6W   13.7N  69.9W
  BAMM    12.3N  51.7W   13.7N  57.0W   16.2N  62.5W   18.7N  67.0W
  A98E    12.6N  51.6W   14.5N  56.9W   16.2N  62.3W   18.3N  67.1W
  LBAR    12.8N  53.8W   13.3N  60.3W   14.8N  65.9W     .0N    .0W
  SHIP        55KTS          64KTS          67KTS          70KTS
  DSHP        55KTS          64KTS          67KTS          67KTS

               ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
  LATCUR =  10.8N LONCUR =  42.4W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
  LATM12 =  10.7N LONM12 =  40.6W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
  LATM24 =  10.7N LONM24 =  38.8W
  WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   20KT
  CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
  RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM




[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Wahooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Take that 1995!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[WeatherEmperor]

Yup. At this pace it looks like we are gonna be looking at 1995 in the rearview mirror.

<RICKY>

[mtm4319]

The GFDL places it 100 miles north of the Dominican Republic with borderline cat-3 winds on Friday night.

http://met.psu.edu/~arnottj/CHARM/tcgen ... /slp21.png

[Scorpion]

*Pukes all over monitor*. *Then realizes its GFDL and feels better*

[CharleySurvivor]

LOL Scorpion!

[texasheat]

lol

[Foladar]

It's wobbling north!

[Brent]

It's wobbling north!

Wishcaster.



Gotta have a little fun while we have a day or two.

Hey I meant to call you a you know-what (wish******)

[Rainband]

It's wobbling north!

wonderful forecaster.



Gotta have a little fun while we have a day or two.

Hey I meant to call you a you know-what (wish******)

Like I said before there are many amateurs here and then there are more experienced posters. Some posters that posted about wobbles really thought they were important and it's everybodys duty as weather enthusiasts to educate the less knowledgeable rather than make fun of them. Yes some people are people I disagree with but many more that are painted as such are not. Bottom Line ,it's all about Respect

[Foladar]

It's wobbling north!

wonderful forecaster.



Gotta have a little fun while we have a day or two.

Hey I meant to call you a you know-what (wish******)

Nope, if I wanted it, it'd be wobbling NW or so.
I hope it wobbles and goes north, away from land.

[Brent]

It's wobbling north!

wonderful forecaster.



Gotta have a little fun while we have a day or two.

Hey I meant to call you a you know-what (wish******)

Like I said before there are many amateurs here and then there are more experienced posters. Some posters that posted about wobbles really thought they were important and it's everybodys duty as weather enthusiasts to educate the less knowledgeable rather than make fun of them. Yes some people are people I disagree with but many more that are painted as such are not. Bottom Line ,it's all about Respect

I'm joking... hence the smiley.

[Rainband]

I was making a point ,hence mine.IE the It was a coincidence that I used the post I used, nothing to do with you. I read a lot of posts in every forum especially this one and I am noticing a "trend" thats not tropical. S2K started out with a handful of members and we have grown leaps and bounds. It has been stated time and time again that we are a diversified group of individuals when it comes to our understanding of the weather. This being said every member here from the newbie that wants to know how tropical cyclones form to the tropical guru who knows why a stadium eye occurs and how many times and why it happened deserves the same level of respect. I understand it is fun to joke but to be the butt of that joke is not always as fun. All I am asking is use judgment and consider someones feelings and level of expertise before we start insulting some directly or in directly. Ignorance can be forgiven. Stupidity has no cure. Thanks

[cajungal]

Well said.

[Scott_inVA]

As I noted on the analysis board, tropical models (0Z) allgenerally south of PR while the GFS, GFDL and especially the UKMET are north of the Island.

FWIW, EC @ 12Z was under Cuba in a week. We'll see.

No rest for the weary

Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm