Recon Reports

[HURAKAN]

Weakening very slowly before making landfall.

[Normandy]

still weakening.

[wxwatcher91]

000
URNT12 KNHC 101638 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/16:17:50Z
B. 29 deg 29 min N
086 deg 51 min W
C. NA mb 2567 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 052 deg 094 kt
G. 314 deg 005 nm
H. 939 mb
I. 12 C/ 3048 m
J. 21 C/ 3047 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C10
N. 12345/07
O. 0.02 / 01 nm
P. AF307 WX04A DENNIS03 OB 09 CCA
MAX FL WIND 127 KT NE QUAD 15:16:30 Z


939mb... I dunno... I think its too late for any reorganization... this is what it's gonna be landing at ... if not higher

[Thunder44]

It's going through an ERC. Notice they eye got larger.

[jkt21787]

Yeah some people thought it would reorganize, not gonna happen, this will weaken slowly before landfall. We won't go below 130 though.

[gkrangers]

Yeah, the term "weakening" isn't really reflective of the actual intensity of the storm. Its probably going to maintain 130-140mph winds all the way to landfall.

It has a VERY VERY strong and defined eyewall.

While the pressure might climb up a few millibars, the storm is not really weakening.

[logybogy]

This is very odd. Because it looks much better on infrared. The eye is the clearest its been in hours.

[Scorpion]

I agree. Maybe it is deepening once again.

[jkt21787]

I agree. Maybe it is deepening once again.

Down to 135 now on 1 pm Adv.

[wxwatcher91]

hey wow I've been using the loop but I guess it was one frame old... I was reading your message and was like "Dennis is actually lookin pretty bad..." then I looked at the image though and that frame Dennis is way more organized in than all the rest in the loop...

[feederband]

Not to far from shore now ....Should just continue to weaking. IMO

[jkt21787]

Lot of the reds have disappeared now on that IR.

[jkt21787]

Up to 942.

URNT12 KNHC 101748VORTEX DATA MESSAGEA. 10/17:25:20ZB. 29 deg 44 min N 086 deg 53 min WC. NA mb 2593 mD. 100 ktE. 124 deg 008 nmF. 208 deg 112 ktG. 122 deg 007 nmH. EXTRAP 942 mbI. 14 C/ 3069 mJ. 19 C/ 3025 mK. 13 C/ NAL. CLOSED WALLM. C8N. 12345/07O. 0.02 / 01 nmP. AF307 WX04A DENNIS03 OB 14MAX FL WIND 127 KT NE QUAD 15:16:30 ZPARTIALLY OPEN ON TOPITEM C ABOVE SHOULD READ 700 MB 2593 M

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Whats going on with Dennis??? I don't understand why the pressure is rising.

The eye appears to have formed reds/yellows on radar all the way around. In outflow is becoming better...

[feederband]

Whats going on with Dennis??? I don't understand why the pressure is rising.

The eye appears to have formed reds/yellows on radar all the way around. In outflow is becoming better...

Maybe land?

[Scorpion]

Winds are the same. But 12 MB in 5 hours is pretty rapid weakening.

[gkrangers]

Whats going on with Dennis??? I don't understand why the pressure is rising.

The eye appears to have formed reds/yellows on radar all the way around. In outflow is becoming better...

Well...for 1....the satellite presentation is good, but not as good as when it was the perfect donut in the gulf.

2, its interacting with land.

3, its in shelf waters with lower heat content.

The pressure is rising but the storm isn't necessarily weakening all that much.

[jkt21787]

Do keep in mind like with the winds yesterday they have to respond to the pressure, and this doesn't have much time to respons. Still 130 for landfall looks good.

[wxman57]

Here's a Mcidas image of the eye nearing the coast:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/dennis56.gif">