16:40z Current Movement North

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stu
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16:40z Current Movement North

#1 Postby stu » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:42 am

looking at Fort Walton Beach Airport for landfall based on current radar data.
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#2 Postby logybogy » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:43 am

No.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kevx.shtml

It's clearly NNW.

Landfall at Pensacola or just slightly east in the bay.
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#3 Postby InshoreFanatic » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:45 am

I think even farther west.........east of pcola probaly the gulf shores area
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Re: 16:40z Current Movement North

#4 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:45 am

stu wrote:looking at Fort Walton Beach Airport for landfall based on current radar data.



NNW
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#5 Postby stu » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:46 am

No North - looking at the NWS doppler from Mobile
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#6 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:47 am

Looks like Fort Pickens-Pensacola NAS-AL/FL border.

Pensacola is going to be devastated.
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#7 Postby logybogy » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:48 am

Well, I'm looking at NWS radar out of Eglin. Click on the link I gave you. It's NNW.
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#8 Postby tracyswfla » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:49 am

Why even speculate anymore. Anyone in this monster's path is in danger.
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#9 Postby stu » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:49 am

Last Scan showed NNE movement - go figure !
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#10 Postby sprink52 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:49 am

I'm with Brent on this one.
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#11 Postby sprink52 » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:52 am

I used to go camping and fishing at Ft. Pickens. It probably won't be recognizable after today. :cry:
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#12 Postby stu » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:53 am

now confirming NNE jog from KEVX radar
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#13 Postby Mac » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:56 am

I could have sworn I saw him heading Southeast. <snicker> :D
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#14 Postby stu » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:58 am

Mac ~ these micro changes in course / jog mean a big difference to the impact at landfall ~ best not to joke as this event unfolds.
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#15 Postby Mac » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:00 pm

stu wrote:Mac ~ these micro changes in course / jog mean a big difference to the impact at landfall ~ best not to joke as this event unfolds.


Listen, I'm not making light of the seriousness of the storm. I'm making light of the seriousness of the speculation over the wobbles. Yeah, they matter. But how does the speculation matter at this point? People either evacuated or they didn't. They're either prepared, or they aren't. All the speculation in the world is not going to change the outcome. He's going to go where he goes.
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#16 Postby southerngale » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:01 pm

10am cdt to 12pm cdt

29.4N 86.7W to 29.6N 86.9W
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#17 Postby stu » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:03 pm

Mac I am with you on this one

what ever the out come the effect will be devastating ~ I am just looking a real world (not model) observations and stating what I see - hopefully Pensacola will be spared.
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#18 Postby Brent » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:04 pm

southerngale wrote:10am cdt to 12pm cdt

29.4N 86.7W to 29.6N 86.9W


If that holds... it'll landfall at the Alabama/Florida border.
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#19 Postby rockyman » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:04 pm

Mac wrote:
stu wrote:Mac ~ these micro changes in course / jog mean a big difference to the impact at landfall ~ best not to joke as this event unfolds.


Listen, I'm not making light of the seriousness of the storm. I'm making light of the seriousness of the speculation over the wobbles. Yeah, they matter. But how does the speculation matter at this point? People either evacuated or they didn't. They're either prepared, or they aren't. All the speculation in the world is not going to change the outcome. He's going to go where he goes.


Spoken like someone who does not own beachfront property. Sure...we evacuated, but it would be nice to know that we'll not be homeless in a few hours...I think this is the ONLY TIME that wobbles matter...so we're going to talk about them.
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#20 Postby Sanibel » Sun Jul 10, 2005 12:05 pm

Barring another last minute west jog, I'll also go with east Santa Rosa and a rammed surge up East Bay...
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