More NW jog is not good at all....

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #21 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:27 am

Its becoming more round again instead of the elogation was going on early. Plus reds are forming around the eye. No my friends this storm is reoreganizing. In at the least will stay 140 mph when it moves inland. In if it tightens up because of the land maybe more???

#22 Postby **mvtrucking** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:29 am

Mac wrote:The new IR sat loop is very disturbing. Consistant NW track for a while now. Looks like more than a jog.

Definitely back on track(NHC overlay).Looks like it could even go west of it?(Jog)

Mac · #23 Postby **Mac** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:30 am

dhweather wrote:
Mac wrote:The new IR sat loop is very disturbing. Consistant NW track for a while now. Looks like more than a jog.

Dennis has a long history of wobbling, as most major hurricanes do.

The problem now is, a wobble at landfall can make or break someones
chances. 20-40 miles makes a HUGE difference for Pensacola, for example.

You may be right, DH. I admit I am an amateur. But it appears to me that Dennis has had a fairly direct NW movement for about the past 5 frames, and it seems different than his previous "wobbles." Perhaps his interaction with the ridge or his outer bands over land are making the difference, but this definitely seems more like a trend than a wobble to me. And since I'm in Nashville, you can rest assured that I'm not -removed- it anywhere. :wink:

goodlife · #24 Postby **goodlife** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:38 am

http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=ktlh&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=RadarImagery&product=RegionalRadarLoop&prodnav=none

Mac · #25 Postby **Mac** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 10:47 am

Thanks for the link, Leigh. :wink:

Brian

Mac · #26 Postby **Mac** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:05 am

Slight NNW recently, but still looks mostly NW to me.

goodlife · #27 Postby **goodlife** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:07 am

Mac wrote:Thanks for the link, Leigh.

Brian

Bbear?? Is that you?

Mac · #28 Postby **Mac** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:15 am

goodlife wrote:
Mac wrote:Thanks for the link, Leigh.

Brian

Bbear?? Is that you?

Hiya, Leigh.

goodlife · #29 Postby **goodlife** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:17 am

Mac wrote:
goodlife wrote:
Mac wrote:Thanks for the link, Leigh.

Brian

Bbear?? Is that you?

Hiya, Leigh.

good to see you!!
How are you?

Mac · #30 Postby **Mac** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:21 am

I'm good! Moved to Nashville a couple of months ago and beginning my graduate research at Vanderbilt this fall. How's things with you and the family? Glad to see it looks like you dodged another bullet with this system.

goodlife · #31 Postby **goodlife** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:26 am

Mac wrote:I'm good! Moved to Nashville a couple of months ago and beginning my graduate research at Vanderbilt this fall. How's things with you and the family? Glad to see it looks like you dodged another bullet with this system.

That's wonderful!! good for you.
We're all fine here....nothing new...lol

Mac · #32 Postby **Mac** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:28 am

Still modding at Hannity?

Sanibel · #33 Postby **Sanibel** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:33 am

I think you are seeing a tightening, rounding structure of a storm that is trying to stay strong and maybe even increase, but is now finally taking some of the dry air and CONUS environment near the coast.

Dennis continues to tease with wobbles. If he follows previous tendencies he'll straighten out right into east Pensacola, Santa Rosa.

I don't think the ULL is the steering entity. I think the ridge is the influence, although mild...

goodlife · #34 Postby **goodlife** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:37 am

Mac wrote:Still modding at Hannity?

yep sure am.

Mac · #35 Postby **Mac** » Sun Jul 10, 2005 11:38 am

Well, give my regards to the old gang--will ya?

More NW jog is not good at all....

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