Dennis now 145 mph-932 mb
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Stormcenter
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Stormcenter wrote:rtd2 wrote::eek:That CONE is SMALL! and Mobile bay is DEAD center!
Yes it is.
But NOW NNW? Official!!!
http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... 00504.html
Dont quite see NNW on radar
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crazycajuncane
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ericinmia wrote:its heading 322 degrees per my radar thread. Just off of NNW
Good call Sounds Right But Will it hold?
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/evx_N0Z_lp.html
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Anonymous
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... ublic.html
Hurricane Dennis Advisory Number 24
Statement as of 4:00 am CDT on July 10, 2005
...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dennis headed for the northern Gulf
of Mexico coast...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for portions of the
northeastern Gulf Coast from the Steinhatchee river westward to the
mouth of the Pearl River.
At 4 am CDT...0900z...the Tropical Storm Warning is extended
westward along the northern Gulf Coast to east of Morgan City
Louisiana...and the Tropical Storm Warning for the lower Florida
Keys is cancelled.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect west of the mouth of the Pearl
River to east of Morgan City Louisiana...including metropolitan
New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain. A Tropical Storm Warning is in
effect along the Florida West Coast from east of the Steinhatchee
river southward to Bonita Beach.
A hurricane or Tropical Storm Warning means that hurricane or
tropical storm conditions...respectively...are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane
Warning area.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 4 am CDT...0900z...the center of Hurricane Dennis was located
near latitude 27.8 north... longitude 86.1 west or about 170 miles
south of Panama City Florida and about 245 miles southeast of
Biloxi Mississippi.
Dennis is moving toward the north-northwest near 15 mph...and this
motion is expected to continue today. On this track the center of
the hurricane will cross the northern Gulf of Mexico coast later
today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph...230 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dennis is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely prior to landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 40 miles... 65 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 230 miles...370 km.
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane reported a minimum central
pressure of 932 mb...27.52 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 14 to 19 feet above normal tide levels...
accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible
near and just to the east of where the center of Dennis crosses the
northern Gulf Coast later today. A storm surge of 4 to 6 feet is
likely elswhere in the Hurricane Warning area to the east of the
center.
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to
10 inches from the central Florida Panhandle into southern Alabama
and eastern Mississippi. Isolated maximum rainfall amounts to near
15 inches are possible near where Dennis makes landfall on the Gulf
Coast.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible today over the Florida
Panhandle...southwestern Georgia and southern Alabama.
Repeating the 4 am CDT position...27.8 N... 86.1 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...145 mph. Minimum central pressure... 932 mb.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 6 am CDT and 8 am CDT followed by the next complete
advisory at 10 am CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
Hurricane Dennis Advisory Number 24
Statement as of 4:00 am CDT on July 10, 2005
...Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dennis headed for the northern Gulf
of Mexico coast...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for portions of the
northeastern Gulf Coast from the Steinhatchee river westward to the
mouth of the Pearl River.
At 4 am CDT...0900z...the Tropical Storm Warning is extended
westward along the northern Gulf Coast to east of Morgan City
Louisiana...and the Tropical Storm Warning for the lower Florida
Keys is cancelled.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect west of the mouth of the Pearl
River to east of Morgan City Louisiana...including metropolitan
New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain. A Tropical Storm Warning is in
effect along the Florida West Coast from east of the Steinhatchee
river southward to Bonita Beach.
A hurricane or Tropical Storm Warning means that hurricane or
tropical storm conditions...respectively...are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane
Warning area.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 4 am CDT...0900z...the center of Hurricane Dennis was located
near latitude 27.8 north... longitude 86.1 west or about 170 miles
south of Panama City Florida and about 245 miles southeast of
Biloxi Mississippi.
Dennis is moving toward the north-northwest near 15 mph...and this
motion is expected to continue today. On this track the center of
the hurricane will cross the northern Gulf of Mexico coast later
today.
Maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph...230 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Dennis is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale. Some fluctuations in strength are likely prior to landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 40 miles... 65 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 230 miles...370 km.
An Air Force hurricane hunter plane reported a minimum central
pressure of 932 mb...27.52 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 14 to 19 feet above normal tide levels...
accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible
near and just to the east of where the center of Dennis crosses the
northern Gulf Coast later today. A storm surge of 4 to 6 feet is
likely elswhere in the Hurricane Warning area to the east of the
center.
Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to
10 inches from the central Florida Panhandle into southern Alabama
and eastern Mississippi. Isolated maximum rainfall amounts to near
15 inches are possible near where Dennis makes landfall on the Gulf
Coast.
Isolated tornadoes will be possible today over the Florida
Panhandle...southwestern Georgia and southern Alabama.
Repeating the 4 am CDT position...27.8 N... 86.1 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...145 mph. Minimum central pressure... 932 mb.
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 6 am CDT and 8 am CDT followed by the next complete
advisory at 10 am CDT.
Forecaster Pasch
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senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
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FYI...
Advisories are to be posted at http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=67074 in the advisory thread.
Advisories are to be posted at http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=67074 in the advisory thread.
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mtm4319 wrote:ericinmia wrote:I meant 332... sorry between brain and fingers things didn't come out right.
That 332 is only 5.5 degrees off true NNW.
332 is 2 degrees north of true NNW (330).
Lets say it holds Between 328 and 332 whats that tells us for L/F in Miles? each way? also What about LAND interaction at LF?
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mtm4319 wrote:ericinmia wrote:I meant 332... sorry between brain and fingers things didn't come out right.
That 332 is only 5.5 degrees off true NNW.
332 is 2 degrees north of true NNW (330).
Mathmatically NNW should be 337.5
270 = West
360 = North
315 = North West
337.5 = North North West
330 is just an average that is used...
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
50 miles east of Mobile, Tomarrow around noon central time. The storm appears to be reforming its perfectly red round cdo. I just got done looking at Ivans Advisories. In it appears its right over the Eddie right now intill around 29.5 north. Then you have to remember that there has not been a Charley/Frances to mix the water up over the Eastern Gulf. Plus its warmer any way because its July. Outflow is expending/cdo eye tighting slowly...So I expect some increase of the winds.
I expect
145 now
6am update
150/930 millibars
8am Advisorie
155/928 millibars
10 am Advisorie
As it is starting to move over water which is 82 to 84 degrees instead of near 88 degrees.
145 mph/932 millibars
12pm
Nearing landfall...
145 mph/934 millibars
2pm
Inland
125 mph/945 mililbars
This is not offical please go to the nhc for offical info.
I expect
145 now
6am update
150/930 millibars
8am Advisorie
155/928 millibars
10 am Advisorie
As it is starting to move over water which is 82 to 84 degrees instead of near 88 degrees.
145 mph/932 millibars
12pm
Nearing landfall...
145 mph/934 millibars
2pm
Inland
125 mph/945 mililbars
This is not offical please go to the nhc for offical info.
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vespersparrow
- Tropical Depression
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wxwatcher91
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Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:50 miles east of Mobile, Tomarrow around noon central time. The storm appears to be reforming its perfectly red round cdo. I just got done looking at Ivans Advisories. In it appears its right over the Eddie right now intill around 29.5 north. Then you have to remember that there has not been a Charley/Frances to mix the water up over the Eastern Gulf. Plus its warmer any way because its July. Outflow is expending/cdo eye tighting slowly...So I expect some increase of the winds.
I expect
145 now
6am update
150/930 millibars
8am Advisorie
155/928 millibars
10 am Advisorie
As it is starting to move over water which is 82 to 84 degrees instead of near 88 degrees.
145 mph/932 millibars
12pm
Nearing landfall...
145 mph/934 millibars
2pm
Inland
125 mph/945 mililbars
This is not offical please go to the nhc for offical info.
The only thing is, it doesnt look like it will move over MUCH cooler waters... the current track has Dennis heading right in between the two cool eddys so he'll move over cooler waters but more like 88-89 down to 85-86
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cccmachine
- Tropical Depression
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