Saving grace?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Stormchaser16
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1013
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:25 pm
Location: NW Jersey
Contact:

Saving grace?

#1 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 5:28 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Dry air is being sucked towards the system...in fact it already looks like the western side of the system is being hit pretty decently with this dry air as evidenced on water vapor imagery.... take a look at it
0 likes   

Stormchaser16
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1013
Joined: Thu Aug 21, 2003 10:25 pm
Location: NW Jersey
Contact:

#2 Postby Stormchaser16 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 5:34 pm

noone has an opinion on this?
0 likes   

logybogy

#3 Postby logybogy » Sat Jul 09, 2005 5:36 pm

There is no dry air. Hurricanes don't strengthen like this in dry air environments.
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#4 Postby skysummit » Sat Jul 09, 2005 5:39 pm

It will have NO affect on Dennis.
0 likes   

User avatar
loon
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 655
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 4:50 pm
Location: Downtown Houston

#5 Postby loon » Sat Jul 09, 2005 5:39 pm

the dry area would have to get into the center (eye), to effect it. not happening..
0 likes   

User avatar
birdwomn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 419
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 8:04 pm
Location: Pinellas County FL

#6 Postby birdwomn » Sat Jul 09, 2005 5:39 pm

I would have bought into that at 9am. and I am hoping that some dry air will interfere.

My local met here in Tampa did give one glimmer of hope "long term (12 hours) there is possibility of weakening, after it continues to strengthen for the next few hours."
0 likes   

User avatar
AL Chili Pepper
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 873
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 1:15 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#7 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Sat Jul 09, 2005 5:41 pm

Dennis will suck that up and spit it out. We need some oranges and reds, and lots of it.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#8 Postby Sanibel » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:05 pm

Good topic.


While forming a donut, Dennis is warming. Dry air and maybe shear?
0 likes   

DCmetroraleigh

#9 Postby DCmetroraleigh » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:05 pm

Dennis is throwing cold water on the "Dry Air Theory" as we speak. This is becoming a Monstercane.
0 likes   

logybogy

#10 Postby logybogy » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:08 pm

Dennis is becoming an annular donut.

Also, don't annular canes have warmer cloudtops?
0 likes   

User avatar
Innotech
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1031
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:32 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:

#11 Postby Innotech » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:14 pm

I sincerely hope its not turning annular, because remember I had a dream about an annular cane htis year....I dontl ike dreams (nightmares) like that to come true.

Anyway I bleieve it has entrained some dry air and a large dosage of it. That might keep it at bay who knows.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#12 Postby Sanibel » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:15 pm

No.


What worries me is Dennis is regaining that tight circular band he had prior to 150mph.


Innotech:

Looks like he's beating climo back...
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#13 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:17 pm

this is starting to look more annular as the core becomes detatched from the bands. These types of storms are typically far more stable than the Lili's of the world
0 likes   

User avatar
sweetpea
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 858
Age: 58
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2005 5:49 pm
Location: Sopchoppy, FL

#14 Postby sweetpea » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:21 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:this is starting to look more annular as the core becomes detatched from the bands. These types of storms are typically far more stable than the Lili's of the world


Do you have a link to look at to see the core detaching? I don't know what annular looks like. I thought it meant more oblong (obviously wrong).

Thakns, Debbie
0 likes   

User avatar
HurryKane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1941
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 8:08 pm
Location: Diamondhead, Mississippi

#15 Postby HurryKane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:22 pm

sweetpea wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:this is starting to look more annular as the core becomes detatched from the bands. These types of storms are typically far more stable than the Lili's of the world


Do you have a link to look at to see the core detaching? I don't know what annular looks like. I thought it meant more oblong (obviously wrong).

Thakns, Debbie


Annular means 'ring-like.' In other words nearly a perfect circle. See this thread for lots of examples:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=67211
0 likes   

User avatar
Innotech
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1031
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:32 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana
Contact:

#16 Postby Innotech » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:25 pm

my god. My stupid nightmare I dreamt a few nights ago is actually coming true....
0 likes   

User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#17 Postby Swimdude » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:26 pm

Dennis: :grrr:
Dry Air: :eek:

Winner: :grrr:
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#18 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:28 pm

I'm currently not using any internet loops, using GARP loops so I dont have a link
0 likes   

User avatar
sweetpea
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 858
Age: 58
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2005 5:49 pm
Location: Sopchoppy, FL

#19 Postby sweetpea » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:30 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:I'm currently not using any internet loops, using GARP loops so I dont have a link


Thanks
0 likes   

User avatar
Eyes2theSkies
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 264
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 4:20 am
Location: Was Florida now Charlotte, NC
Contact:

#20 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Sat Jul 09, 2005 6:31 pm

is that dry air getting wrapped into the core?
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: ncforecaster89 and 61 guests