DENNIS IS BOMBING OUT

ChaserUK · #41 Postby **ChaserUK** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:29 pm

yerp just as I mentioned - rapid deepening - could this reach Cat 5?

jkt21787 · #42 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:32 pm

Max Mayfield on CNN moments ago: "It looks like the bottom is dropping out here"

Indystorm · #43 Postby **Indystorm** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:32 pm

I think NHC has specific quantitative definitions for a rapid intensification cycle or "bombing" that need to be met....so many MB drops over a certain period of time. Don't know the parameters but think the overall satellite presentation and outflow are becoming excellent.

jwayne · #44 Postby **jwayne** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:33 pm

well, I've got Max in my corner apparently. You can do worse than that!!

wxwatcher91 · #45 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:33 pm

ChaserUK wrote:yerp just as I mentioned - rapid deepening - could this reach Cat 5?

I actually wouldnt be too suprised to see a cat 5 out of this before landfall... I think the only thing standing in its way are come cool waters... or at least cooler than the Caribbean.

predictions for the 7pm advisory anyone???

I'm saying 120mph and 945mb ...probably a little overboard there but heck :wink:

Innotech · #46 Postby **Innotech** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:35 pm

Dennis is definitely intesifying rapidly. Like I said before, htis engine is finally getting osme supercharged fuel. Prayers for all of you in the path of htis maelstrom.

jwayne · #47 Postby **jwayne** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:36 pm

pressure now at 947 mb.

jpigott · #48 Postby **jpigott** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:39 pm

btwn the current direction (a little more w than n) and with this thing rapidly deepening this has an outside chance of being the nightmare scenario for New Orleans

AL Chili Pepper · #49 Postby **AL Chili Pepper** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:39 pm

jwayne wrote:pressure now at 947 mb.

I know pressure's not everything, yada yada yada. But 947 is typical of a strong Cat III.

jwayne · #50 Postby **jwayne** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:40 pm

21:15 sat is out. It's brutal!!!!

Rainband · #51 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:41 pm

The sat I looked at when I got home it looked wnw now that it is getting stroger it doesn't look that way anymore?? Stronger canes move poleward. Maybe thats why?? Maybe the panhandle is going to get two majors in one year

smashmode · #52 Postby **smashmode** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:41 pm

jpigott wrote:btwn the current direction (a little more w than n) and with this thing rapidly deepening this has an outside chance of being the nightmare scenario for New Orleans

Wouldnt it have to pretty much stop its north..and go west for awhile? It looks like its tracking NW..which wouldnt put it close to nola.

ChaserUK · #53 Postby **ChaserUK** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:42 pm

Dennis is going gangbusters people. Starting to think that if your in the path - might be worth rethinking your evac plans.

jwayne · #54 Postby **jwayne** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:44 pm

derek says it's warm core now (6 degree gradient). I just hope everybody who is anywhere near where this thing hits gets the heck out of town!!!!

Rainband · #55 Postby **Rainband** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:44 pm

jwayne wrote:21:15 sat is out. It's brutal!!!!

link I am still getting 45. Thanks

mtm4319 · #56 Postby **mtm4319** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:45 pm

WKRG just reported that winds are now 115 per NHC.

soonertwister · #57 Postby **soonertwister** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:46 pm

I cannot overemphasize how much the recent news about Dennis totally sucks.

At 947 mb right now, he isn't going to wait until "before landfall" to get to category 3, he'll be there at 11 tonight.

My heart goes out to those people in the strike zone. It seems like Ma Nature has been unusually harsh with them lately.

C'mon dry air! ENTRAIN!!!

hurricanefreak1988 · #58 Postby **hurricanefreak1988** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:47 pm

Yep, Dennis is back to being a major hurricane. The NHC just posted this update...

The NHC wrote:REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF DENNIS HAS FALLEN RAPIDLY TO 947 MB. DENNIS HAS REGAINED DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS...CATEGORY 3 ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE EVEN MORE THIS EVENING.

jwayne · #59 Postby **jwayne** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:48 pm

I still think 115 is low based on sat presentation. Sticking to 130. I know they are smarter than me, but I'm more stubborn!!!

ChaserUK · #60 Postby **ChaserUK** » Sat Jul 09, 2005 4:49 pm

...there you go and that was QUICK. It left Cuba this morning as a Cat 1 (although I reckon it could have been stronger)...

DENNIS IS BOMBING OUT

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