Dennis is stair stepping.

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NewOrleans
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Dennis is stair stepping.

#1 Postby NewOrleans » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:06 pm

Looking at the latest visible satelite loops, Dennis is in one of those west side-step moves. The thing that makes his final landfall interesting is his persistent stair stepping moves. I would not be surprised to see Dennis landfall either to the left, or right of the projected landfall by 100 miles either side, which would mean a sudden impact for some outlying areas that thought they were totally out of the clear, like Gulfport/Biloxi, or to the east, Panama City. New Orleans to the west and place like Cedar Key to the east, could suddenly find their locations in very strong tropical storm force winds, that were not expected at all. Interesting.
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#2 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:08 pm

I don't think we will see a 100 mile shift.
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#3 Postby Indystorm » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:11 pm

Hurricanes do tend to stair step as they move their way forward. What I am concerned about now is whether or not this latest wobble west would indicate a more westward trend. I am currently thinking Derek is correct with Mobile as landfall, but this could change. I also am suprised at the lag in wind increase given the pressure falls, but time will tell.
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#4 Postby NewOrleans » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:12 pm

A 100 mile shift is not all that much if you look at the broad scope of things.

Such as; Pascagoula to Pensacola. Or say Pensacola to Destin. Or say Pascagoula to the Mississippi/Lousiana Border.

100 miles is not as far as you think.
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#5 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:13 pm

i am thinking maybe even gulfport
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#6 Postby NewOrleans » Sat Jul 09, 2005 3:17 pm

Wouldn't take much deltadog. That's my point. A sudden stair step just before landfall, either east or west, could put some outlying areas in sudden very unexpected weather conditions. A 100 mile difference in terms of weather is nominal. If you are talking walking 100 miles, or driving 100 miles that is a difference.
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