Recon Reports

[wxwatcher91]

ok sorry I'm a bit behind... playin in a concert this morning...

so the NHC is now predicting landfall at only cat 2???

I still think cat 3 even though it has weakened... the discussion even says it will move back over warm waters soon and the satellite imagery is starting to look better...

[baitism]

The NHC has about as good of an idea about intensity as me and you. Dont buy too much into their intensity forecast.

[drezee]

PLease translate

492
UZNT13 KNHC 091831
XXAA 59187 99252 70841 08154 99974 26009 16085 00737 ///// /////
92453 24009 19089 85193 20806 20094 70860 10800 21574 88999 77999
31313 09608 81811
61616 AF302 1404A DENNIS OB 19
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2529N08408W 1815 MBL WND 17588 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 19586 974725 WL150 16590 075 =
XXBB 59188 99252 70841 08154 00974 26009 11850 20806 22729 15209
33707 14400 44697 09400
21212 00974 16085 11964 16589 22960 16595 33955 17588 44943 18087
55908 19089 66896 19095 77850 20094 88697 21573
31313 09608 81811
61616 AF302 1404A DENNIS OB 19
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2529N08408W 1815 MBL WND 17588 AEV 20507 DLM W
ND 19586 974725 WL150 16590 075 =

[clfenwi]

PLease translate
(snip)

Observation Number: 19
Time: 1831Z
Position 18.7 North 25.2 West
Sea Level Pressure: 974 millibars
925 millibar height: 453 meters
925 millibar winds: 89 knots // 190
850 millibar height: 1193 meters
850 millibar winds: 94 knots // 200
700 millbar height: 2860 meters
700 millibar winds: 74 knots // 215

[senorpepr]

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 20
Time: 1845Z
Latitude: 26.5°N
Longitude: 85.7°W
Location: 220 mi WSW of Tampa, Florida
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: ENE (60°) @ 46 mph
Temperature: 46°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 10200 feet
Surface Wind: NE (50°) @ 40 mph
Remarks: None

[drezee]

PLease translate
(snip)

Observation Number: 19
Time: 1831Z
Position 18.7 North 25.2 West
Sea Level Pressure: 974 millibars
925 millibar height: 453 meters
925 millibar winds: 89 knots // 190
850 millibar height: 1193 meters
850 millibar winds: 94 knots // 200
700 millbar height: 2860 meters
700 millibar winds: 74 knots // 215

Thanks!!

[senorpepr]

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: WX
Flight ID: NOAA3
Observation Number: 13
Time: 1855Z
Latitude: 26.7°N
Longitude: 84.3°W
Location: 140 mi SW of Tampa, Florida
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 11600 feet
Flight level wind: E (100°) @ 51 mph
Temperature: 48°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Rain
D-value: 300 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[wxman57]

Just snapped a McIdas shot of Dennis that y'all might enjoy:

<img src="http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/dennis29.gif">

[skysummit]

Oooooooh....NICE! Thanks for sharing.

[Normandy]

Man hes intensifying for sure.

[deguy50]

thanx great shot

[wxwatcher91]

ya Dennis is lookin pretty good now thats for sure!

[senorpepr]

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 14
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 21
Time: 1914Z
Latitude: 24.6°N
Longitude: 85.6°W
Location: 231 mi WNW of Havana, Cuba
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: NW (320°) @ 41 mph
Temperature: 50°F
Dewpoint: 48°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 10100 feet
Surface Wind: NW (330°) @ 40 mph
Remarks: None

[Lowpressure]

Impressive sat pic, thanks for sharing that. He looks much nastier than 100mph.

[senorpepr]

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: WX
Flight ID: NOAA3
Observation Number: 17
Time: 1931Z
Latitude: 24.2°N
Longitude: 84.5°W
Location: 157 mi WNW of Havana, Cuba
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 11700 feet
Flight level wind: W (260°) @ 36 mph
Temperature: 48°F
Dewpoint: 45°F
Weather: Rain
D-value: 300 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[clfenwi]

Observation Number: 18
Time: 1933Z
Position: 25.3 North // 84.5 West
Sea Level Pressure: 971 millibars
Surface wind speed and direction: n/a
925 millibar height: 432 meters
925 millibar winds: 79 knots // 220
850 millibar height: 1172 meters
850 millibar winds: 89 knots // 225
700 millibar height: 2839 meters
700 millibar winds: 84 knots // 260

EYEWALL

[Thunder44]

URNT12 KNHC 091958
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/19:41:10Z
B. 25 deg 32 min N
084 deg 32 min W
C. 700 mb 2735 m
D. 40 kt
E. 221 deg 025 nm
F. 309 deg 072 kt
G. 218 deg 006 nm
H. 958 mb
I. 12 C/ 3048 m
J. 13 C/ 3051 m
K. 13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C15
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 1404A DENNIS OB 22
MAX FL WIND 93 KT NE QUAD 16:49:30 Z
RADAR PRESENTATION EXCELLENT

[drezee]

More help please:

752
UZNT13 KNHC 091958
XXAA 59207 99255 70845 08154 99958 26809 18012 00883 ///// /////
92309 25205 20511 85051 21617 19509 70723 14000 22507 88999 77999
31313 09608 81941
61616 AF302 1404A DENNIS OB 23
62626 EYE SPL 2555N08452W 1945 MBL WND 19512 AEV 20507 DLM WND 20
009 958751 WL150 18512 075 =
XXBB 59208 99255 70845 08154 00958 26809 11850 21617 22768 18236
33706 15800 44697 13000
21212 00958 18012 11925 20511 22850 19509 33697 22507
31313 09608 81941
61616 AF302 1404A DENNIS OB 23
62626 EYE SPL 2555N08452W 1945 MBL WND 19512 AEV 20507 DLM WND 20
009 958751 WL150 18512 075 =

[Brent]

This will be a Cat 3 soon...

Winds must respond.

[Derek Ortt]

read my latest discussion, I mention why the winds are very slow to respond