98L,TD may be forming

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cycloneye
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#21 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:06 am

jpigott wrote:which area of convection in the sat pic has the LLC, is it the area to the N or S


Image

The northern convection area.
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#22 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:06 am

No fishin' this season :eek:
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#23 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:06 am

Graffic of plots CycloneEye??
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#24 Postby x-y-no » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:07 am

Scorpion wrote:Doesnt sound good for Florida if that scenario occurs.


Too early to say anything about landfall at all, let alone narrowing it down to a particular region.

Jan
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#25 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:07 am

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Graffic of plots CycloneEye??


None yet but I think by the afternoon 18:00z run it will be up.
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#26 Postby Cookiely » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:08 am

Saw a model earlier can't remember which one had 98 entering the gom close to Florida. Way too far out to hazard any kind of info at this point.
The future possibilites are endless. Take a look.
http://www.meto.gov.uk/satpics/africa_IR.html
The one in the middle looks good.
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#27 Postby beenthru6 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:10 am

Sure doesn't look like much at this point does it?
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#28 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:10 am

It really doesn't look very organzied to me. It looked better a few days ago when it came off the African coast.
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#29 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:13 am

Thunder44 wrote:It really doesn't look very organzied to me. It looked better a few days ago when it came off the African coast.


There is some easterly shear as is evident the LLC is semiexposed to the east of convection.
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#30 Postby jpigott » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:14 am

Cookiely wrote:Saw a model earlier can't remember which one had 98 entering the gom close to Florida. Way too far out to hazard any kind of info at this point.
The future possibilites are endless. Take a look.
http://www.meto.gov.uk/satpics/africa_IR.html
The one in the middle looks good.


my goodness, they are just going to be rolling of the coast of africa, i imagine we are going to have an early CV season
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#31 Postby hurricanedude » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:15 am

JB expects both to develop...go figure...but who knows...he has done good thus far
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#32 Postby Cookiely » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:16 am

I think 98 looks pretty energetic to me.
http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
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#33 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:32 am

Image

Here are the tracks of the models at this 12:00z run.
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#34 Postby cajungal » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:34 am

It is waaaaaaaaaaaay early. But, from the looks of it, it could be another GOM storm.
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#35 Postby Canelaw99 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:35 am

Peachy - another week or watching and waiting and wobbles LOL :roll:
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#36 Postby wx247 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:37 am

cycloneye wrote:Image

Here are the tracks of the models at this 12:00z run.


Not what I was wanting to see. I was hoping for a fish.
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#37 Postby cajungal » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:38 am

At this rate, us Gulf Coasters won't get any sleep until December!
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#38 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:45 am

wx247 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Image

Here are the tracks of the models at this 12:00z run.


Not what I was wanting to see. I was hoping for a fish.


I more was hoping for that but apparently it will take the southerly track.
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#39 Postby cajungal » Sat Jul 09, 2005 11:46 am

According to that track, it looks to heading for the Yucatan Channel. If it follows the southern track.
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#40 Postby Pebbles » Sat Jul 09, 2005 12:23 pm

CV season season starting in early-mid July.. lovely! I think everyone underestimated just how busy this year would be. At this rate I am seriously starting to wonder how far through the name list we will get.
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