Recon Reports Dennis

[senorpepr]

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: DENNIS OB 18 (04L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: NOAA2
Observation Number:
Time: 1013Z
Latitude: 24°N
Longitude: 83.1°W
Location: 83 mi NNW of Havana, Cuba
Minimum height at NA
Est. Surface Winds Observed: NA
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: NA
Maximum flight level wind: NNE (15°) @ 70 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 23 mi WNW (302°)
Sea level pressure: 969 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 54°F at 161 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 61°F at 180 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 54°F
Eye character: OPEN NW
Eye shape: Elliptical
Eye diameter: Major axis oriented NE (40°), major axis length: 14 mi, minor axis length: 9 mi
Fix determined by: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature at 700 mb
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 1/ 1 NM
MAX FLT LVL WIND 69 KT NE QUAD AT 09/0912Z
SLP EXTRAPOLATED FROM 700 MB.
SFMR MAX SFC WND 72 KT NE QUAD 0848Z

[wxwatcher91]

000
URNT12 KNHC 091055
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/1013Z
B. 24 00 MIN N
83 DEG 06 MIN W
C. NA
D. NA
E. NA
F. 015 DEG 61 KT
G. 302 DEG 20 NM
H. EXTRAP 969 MB
I. 12 C/ 3049 M
J. 16 C/ 3055 M
K. 12 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. E04/12/08
N. 12345/7
0. 1/ 1 NM
P. NOAA2 1204A DENNIS OB 18
MAX FLT LVL WIND 69 KT NE QUAD AT 09/0912Z
SLP EXTRAPOLATED FROM 700 MB.
SFMR MAX SFC WND 72 KT NE QUAD 0848Z

[senorpepr]

Storm Name: DENNIS (04L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: NOAA2
Observation Number: 22
Time: 1101Z
Latitude: 23.4°N
Longitude: 83.2°W
Location: 58 mi WNW of Havana, Cuba
Turbulence: Moderate
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10100 feet
Flight level wind: W (260°) @ 50 mph
Temperature: 52°F
Dewpoint: 48°F
Weather: Thunderstorm
700mb height: 10000 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[Derek Ortt]

I'm not sure what those columns stand for. I primarily use 2,3,4,and 9 to get the relevant wind data (6 is very similar to col 9)

I wish the AF provided these types of obs so that a larger sample of the storm could be provided

[Derek Ortt]

I have a question: Where in the world are the 105 m.p.h. winds?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Maybe that have data we don't?

[Thunder44]

Maybe we'll find out in the supplementary vortex, they found stronger winds. I don't Avila would of increased the winds, if they didn't. Especially from reading his discussion this morning.

[drezee]

I have a question: Where in the world are the 105 m.p.h. winds?

That is a huge leap...from not being able to justify a 80 mph hurricane to a 105 mph hurricane in 2 hours????

[drezee]

090100 2431 08203 10006 +0240 146059 +112 +095 143061 058 010
090200 2434 08159 10003 +0245 153058 +106 +092 151060 049 007
090300 2437 08156 10007 +0266 149057 +105 +094 150059 053 007
090400 2440 08152 10007 +0283 150060 +099 +096 145063 055 006
090500 2443 08149 10007 +0297 150058 +101 +101 146065 058 007
090600 2446 08145 10009 +0310 146058 +099 +098 145061 054 006
090700 2449 08142 10006 +0327 146061 +098 +096 145063 055 004
090800 2452 08138 10004 +0339 148058 +099 +092 145061 055 002
090900 2455 08135 10007 +0350 147055 +098 +089 144058 055 003
091000 2458 08131 10006 +0362 144061 +099 +091 145063 052 003
091100 2502 08129 10005 +0369 145064 +097 +092 144066 050 002
091200 2506 08131 10005 +0371 143067 +096 +092 142069 050 004
091300 2506 08137 10006 +0366 139064 +099 +090 141065 054 004
091400 2507 08142 10004 +0355 138065 +101 +091 138067 053 003
091500 2507 08147 10008 +0346 138065 +101 +086 137067 055 002
091600 2507 08153 10003 +0340 136062 +102 +084 138064 054 002
091700 2508 08158 10006 +0333 137055 +101 +094 135055 054 003
091800 2508 08204 10007 +0324 135050 +100 +093 135053 053 004
091900 2508 08209 10005 +0319 135050 +101 +088 136051 053 002
092000 2508 08214 10003 +0315 135052 +102 +085 133052 052 003
092100 2509 08220 10002 +0312 130053 +099 +078 130054 051 003
092200 2509 08225 10004 +0308 123050 +100 +073 127053 051 001
092300 2510 08231 10004 +0304 121052 +102 +067 121052 051 001
092400 2511 08236 10003 +0300 122051 +099 +071 120052 049 002
092500 2511 08242 10005 +0297 120051 +097 +081 119052 049 003
092600 2512 08247 10006 +0294 116049 +098 +095 115050 049 007
092700 2513 08252 10004 +0293 106050 +101 +101 105053 049 007
092800 2513 08258 10002 +0294 105053 +103 +100 106055 049 006
092900 2514 08304 10008 +0294 103047 +103 +096 102048 046 003
093000 2514 08309 10009 +0297 101046 +103 +079 100048 047 003

English please!

zero nine zero one zero zero... ?

Please o' brains of mighty hurricane lure......translate this Ancient Greek Text for me...Please!!!

[Derek Ortt]

Avila does have a positive bias when reporting wind speeds. Maybe his report was based upon the pre quality controlled data and the QC data indicates that the winds were not as high. not sure

[birdwomn]

perhaps the stronger winds are hiding?

Actually, I think they bumped it up so that when people wake up and check the weather they won't ignore the storm and not make preaprations. Because it will be 105 at some point today.

[Derek Ortt]

just checked the latest H-Wind analysis from the HRD... 67KT is the analyzed surface wind, barely of hurricane intensity

[drezee]

perhaps the stronger winds are hiding?

Actually, I think they bumped it up so that when people wake up and check the weather they won't ignore the storm and not make preaprations. Because it will be 105 at some point today.

That is a pretty bold accusation...please provide more reasoning with it. This is how rumors are started.

[wxwatcher91]

000
URNT12 KNHC 091140
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/1111Z
B. 24 00 MIN N
83 DEG 15 MIN W
C. 70MB 2845 M
D. NA
E. NA
F. 244 DEG 70 KT
G. 165 DEG 16 NM
H. 967 MB
I. 12 C/ 3076 M
J. 14 C/ 3092 M
K. 13 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. E04/12/08
N. 12345/7
0. 1/ 1 NM
P. NOAA2 1204A DENNIS OB 18
MAX FLT LVL WIND 72 KT NE QUAD AT 09/1014Z
SFMR MAX SFC WND 80 KT SE QUAD

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Thats what they gived for Cindy...

[drezee]

down 5 mb in two hours...wind has to catch up eventually if the convection refires. Otherwise, you have Isabel.....

[wxwatcher91]

the thing is there's no eye still...

Dennis isnt gonna do much strengthening until an eye shows up on the satellite

[Brent]

967 mb supports a Cat 2. I'm sorry folks.

Of course... I'm sure Accuweather will come up with something.

[HURAKAN]

Dennis won't end the fight until everything is lost for him, the north gulf coast should be preparing to get a strong category 3, maybe a weak 4.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It has a eye but you have to look at radar.