Dennis Advisorys 7 AM,Cat 2 105 mph

[Josephine96]

Dennis may be about to drop to Cat 2 if he's down to 115.. It'll be interesting to see how he refires after that

[Hurricanehink]

160 knots is 184 mph.

Take the original in knots, knock off the right-most digit (now 16). Add half of the remaining number (half of 16 is 8, add to 16 to get 24), add the result to the original figure in knots.

160 knots = 184 mph.

It's easy with a little practice.

Cool! It works!

[soonertwister]

I never use a calculator for the conversion, but yet, 1.15 is a very valid conversion, accurate to within 1 mph per 200 mph.

Since wind speed is a constantly changing variable, close is good enough. All wind speed measurements are temporal. Good for the moment only.

[gkrangers]

Dennis still has a very good core on radar. Once it gets over water, it will intensify steadily, no question about that. It'll be back to Category 3 status rather quickly (assuming its downgraded to a 2 at 11). And possibly Category 4 again tomorrow.

[soonertwister]

I expected the strength of Dennis to be diminished by at least 40% over Cuba, but it only took Dennis about 30 hours to triple in strength, so take that weakening with a grain of salt. He's not likely to see as favorable an environment in th gulf, but I'd be shocked if he doesn't strike land for the 3rd time as at the least a strong category 3. I think category 4 is very likely if he hits in the eastern Gulf, and category 5, while unlikely, is not out of the question.

This is not a normal hurricane season.

DISCLAIMER: This post represents the opinion of an amateur weather fan. Do not rely on it for any meaningful purpose.

[cycloneye]

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES HAVANA
AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA MAY
BE CANCELLED SATURDAY MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER. HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA SATURDAY MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONCHARTRAIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES... 30 KM...EAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 110 MILES... 180
KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS NEAR HAVANA AND INTO
THE STRIATS OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN NEAR THE
DRY TORTUGAS ON SATURDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HOWEVER...IT IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY
INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE UPON REACHING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM. KEY WEST FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 44 MPH WITH A GUST TO 54 MPH. TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING IN SQUALLS AS FAR NORTH AS THE MIAMI AREA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVER CUBA AND CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS. A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...23.0 N... 82.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

HURRICANE DENNIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042005
0300Z SAT JUL 09 2005

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA MAY
BE CANCELLED SATURDAY MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER. HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA SATURDAY MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONCHARTRAIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 82.1W AT 09/0300Z...INLAND
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 55NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 75SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 80SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 82.1W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 81.6W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.4N 83.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 55NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 75SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.3N 84.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.5N 86.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 55NE 45SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.9N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 38.0N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 39.0N 85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 82.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

HURRICANE DENNIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

DENNIS CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS WESTERN CUBA AND IS APPROACHING THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA FROM THE KEY
WEST WSR-88D SHOW SOME DEGRADATION OF THE EYE STRUCTURE OVER THE
PAST FEW HOURS...ALTHOUGH DOPPLER WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A
TIGHT INNER CORE. BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF THE DOPPLER WINDS...
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 95 KT...ALTHOUGH THERE IS A
LARGE MARGIN FOR ERROR ON BOTH THE WINDS AND THE ESTIMATED CENTRAL
PRESSURE.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNSTEADY 310/12. THERE IS LITTLE
CHANGE IN THE SYNOPTIC STEERING PATTERN OR THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
DENNIS IS ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE THAT
EXTENDS FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC ACROSS FLORIDA INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO...WHILE AN MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE TEXAS COAST. LARGE-
SCALE MODELS FORECAST THE ATLANTIC RIDGE TO BUILD NORTHWESTWARD...
WHICH SHOULD KEEP DENNIS ON A NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
TRACK UNTIL IT REACHES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. TRACK MODEL
GUIDANCE IS CLUSTERED BETWEEN LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE GFDL AND GFS HAVE SHIFTED
TO THE RIGHT OF THEIR PREVIOUS FORECASTS...WHILE THE UKMET REMAINS
TO THE LEFT OF CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. CONSENSUS MODELS
REMAIN CLUSTERED AROUND A LANDFALL BETWEEN PASCAGOULA AND FT.
WALTON BEACH. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT
OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...TO MATCH THE INITIAL POSITION AND MOTION IN
THE FIRST 24 HR AND TO BE A LITTLE CLOSER TO THE CONSENSUS MODELS
FROM 24-48 HR.

DENNIS SHOULD BE OVER WATER SHORTLY...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR RE-INTENSIFICATION. ALL
INTENSITY GUIDANCE INDICATES THE SYSTEM SHOULD REGAIN MAJOR
HURRICANE STATUS...AND THAT IS FOLLOWED IN THE INTENSITY FORECAST
WHICH BRINGS DENNIS BACK TO 110 KT IN 24 HR AND MAINTAINS THAT
INTENSITY UNTIL LANDFALL. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT DENNIS COULD
STRENGTHEN MORE THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. AFTER LANDFALL...DENNIS
SHOULD WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY BECOME A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE
MID-MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS.

34 KT WIND RADII IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE WERE INCREASED ON THE
BASIS OF SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.

THERE IS AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FLYING ALONG
THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA WAITING FOR DENNIS TO EMERGE. HOWEVER...
THE AIRCRAFT IS EXPERIENCING MAJOR COMMUNICATION PROBLEMS AND ONLY
LIMITED DATA CAN BE TRANSMITTED AT THIS MOMENT. A VORTEX MESSAGE
MAY BE AVAILABLE ONCE DENNIS MOVES BACK OVER THE WATER.

FORECASTER BEVEN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 09/0300Z 23.0N 82.1W 95 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 09/1200Z 24.4N 83.4W 100 KT...OVER WATER
24HR VT 10/0000Z 26.3N 84.9W 110 KT
36HR VT 10/1200Z 28.5N 86.2W 110 KT
48HR VT 11/0000Z 30.9N 87.5W 100 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 12/0000Z 35.5N 90.0W 30 KT...INLAND
96HR VT 13/0000Z 38.0N 89.0W 25 KT...INLAND DISSIPATING
120HR VT 14/0000Z 39.0N 85.5W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW

[gkrangers]

Major communication probs eh?

They are spying on Cuba.

[cycloneye]

[dhweather]

Major communication probs eh?

They are spying on Cuba.

Like there was anything there to spy on - ha ha

[pcolaguy]

...Eye of Dennis moves over the Florida Straits after crossing
Havana...


a Hurricane Warning is in effect for Cuba for the provinces of la
Habana...Ciudad de la Habana...Matanzas...Villa Clara...
Cienfuegos...Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey...Las
Tunas...Granma...Santiago de Cuba...Holguin and Guantanamo. A
Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Isle of Youth and the
province of Pinar del Rio. A large portion of the warning area may
be discontinued soon.


A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the lower Florida Keys from the
Seven Mile Bridge westward to the Dry Tortugas. A Tropical Storm
Warning and a Hurricane Watch are in effect for the remainder of
the Florida Keys...east of the Seven Mile Bridge to Ocean Reef and
Florida Bay.


A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for portions of the northeastern
Gulf Coast from the Steinhatchee river westward to the mouth of the
Pearl River. Hurricane warnings will likely be required for
portions of this area early today.


A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect along the Florida West
Coast from Anclote Key southward...and along the Florida East Coast
from Golden Beach southward.


A tropical storm watch is in effect for the southeastern Louisiana
coast west of the mouth of the Pearl River to Grand Isle...
including metropolitan New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain.


A tropical storm watch remains in effect along the Florida West
Coast from north of Anclote Key northward to east of the
Steinhatchee river.


A hurricane or Tropical Storm Warning means that hurricane or
tropical storm conditions...respectively...are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane
Warning area. A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that
hurricane or tropical storm conditions...respectively...are
possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.


Interests elsewhere in the northwestern Caribbean Sea...the eastern
Gulf of Mexico...and Florida should monitor the progress of Dennis.


For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.


At 1 am EDT...0500z...the eye of Hurricane Dennis was located by the
Key West radar near latitude 23.3 north...longitude 82.3 west just
north of the city of Havana or about about 95 miles...150 km...
south-southwest of Key West Florida.


Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph...22 km/hr... and
this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
This motion should move Dennis away from Cuba and bring the center
to the southeastern Gulf of Mexico today.


Maximum sustained winds remain near 110 mph...175 km/hr...with
higher gusts. Dennis is a category two hurricane on the
Saffir-Simpson scale. Dennis is expected to re-intensify into a
major hurricane as it moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.


Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 65 miles...100 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 175 miles...280 km.


Estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb...28.41 inches.


Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8
inches across the central and southern Florida Peninsula...and the
Florida Keys. Additional rain accumulations of 3 to 6 inches are
expected over Cuba and Cayman Islands...with isolated maximum storm
total amounts of 15 inches possible. These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.


Storm surge flooding of 5 to 10 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...are still possible
in areas of onshore winds along the south-central coast of Cuba.
Higher values of storm will be possible in bays and inlets. A
storm surge of 3 to 6 feet is possible in the lower Florida Keys. A
storm surge of 4 to 7 feet is possible along the southwest coast of
Florida today.


Isolated tornadoes will be possible over central and southern
Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys today.


Repeating the 1 am EDT position...23.3 N... 82.3 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds...110 mph.
Minimum central pressure... 962 mb.


An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 3 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am
EDT.


Forecaster Avila

[DCmetroraleigh]

So, it's back over open water now.

[Hurricaneman]

yep

[Foladar]

3am he is 100mph now

[birdwomn]

You gotta love the fact that Dennis has a pressure up to 973mb, even if you know it is temporary.

The next few hours should show how well this storm can pull itself back together and give us an idea of what we may be in for along the coast.

[streetsoldier]

Oh, joy...if this tracks as shown above, I'll be wearing hip boots on Tuesday morning.

[Foladar]

You gotta love the fact that Dennis has a pressure up to 973mb, even if you know it is temporary.

The next few hours should show how well this storm can pull itself back together and give us an idea of what we may be in for along the coast.

Bad news, the pressure is down to 965ish mb as of 4am, missed the exacts

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

You gotta love the fact that Dennis has a pressure up to 973mb, even if you know it is temporary.

The next few hours should show how well this storm can pull itself back together and give us an idea of what we may be in for along the coast.

Bad news, the pressure is down to 965ish mb as of 4am, missed the exacts

Link please...Because the 4am update did not say anything about pressure.