ERC over Cuba?

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deltadog03
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#21 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:12 pm

ok in 2 hours....it moved.... .6N and .18W....if my math is right...

23z... 22.42N and 81.24W

01z... 22.48 and 81.42W

Thats not NW
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wxwatcher91
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#22 Postby wxwatcher91 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:24 pm

Dennis has moved west and is now right on track with the NHC forecast... I bet it will start a northward path after it hits water.

wow Dennis has lost A LOT of convection... the only area of moderate convection remaining is just 100 - 150 miles wide!

Im saying Dennis will be just on the north coast of Cuba at the 11pm report... 1am Dennis will be over water and heading NW to NNW again...

I'm saying 110 at 11pm (strong cat 2) then strengthening to a cat 3 by the 1am and probably back to a cat 4 by 7am or 9am tomorrow
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gkrangers

#23 Postby gkrangers » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:25 pm

It should gain back the convection very quickly over water.

Core looks fine on radar, seems intact.
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#24 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:26 pm

the NHC is east of where it is now...maybe NE...they expected it over water by now...that has CLEARLY not happend
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#25 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:29 pm

It looks it will be over water 5am est...

I think 11pm est
110 mph
2am est
95 mph
5am
95 mph
11am
105 mph
2pm
110 mph

That is my thinking.
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