Can someone tell me what this means?

[Steve]

>>completely disagree.....there arent really 2 distinct possibilities any more...there were 24-36 hours ago but the weakening ridge solution has verified......

That's not what Stewart said at all. He said that the ridge was not much changed at all. But a cold pool in a 500mb trof showed up in N LA which would indicate a strong NE flow across the northern Gulf. The ridge is there and should get stronger in the wake of Cindy. This is more of a timing issue where the 500mb trof won't have the time to split or lift out by the time she's at a latitude bringing her inland.

That is all.

Steve

[deltadog03]

the watch maybe...but, your talking about the spread a min.. ago...landfall of no more than 50miles

[tim_in_ga]

Wouldn't this push Dennis more to the NE? Looking at the WV loop, everything in the GOM seems to be moving NE. That looks to me where Dennis will want to go.

[djtil]

the watch maybe...but, your talking about the spread a min.. ago...landfall of no more than 50miles

well take that spread.....draw the windfield around it at the end points.....and you pretty much have the watch area.

when talking about the spread im talking about the eye, when talking about the watches, im talking about hurricane force winds.

[tampastorm]

Thats what I thought NE, but there are I would say atleast 100 different opinions, I wish I knew who really knew what they were talking about and who is -removed-. By the way here in tampa major thunderstorms.

[charliesc]

When it is all said and done, Mother Nature has the last word. NHC and others do the best they can with what they have to work with. But, I've lived through a situation where a hurricane was predicted to make a turn away from the coast--all the way up until it crashed ashore...