Dennis Makes 2nd Landfall, Cienfuegos taking the brunt

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Brent
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#21 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:47 am

loon wrote:Hrm, wow Brent, my bad, I was thinking he was on track, didn't realize he was a bit low still...thanks for the info...


With it moving NW... it really doesn't change things. Wait for the 2pm position before everyone freaks. I don't see it being 100 miles east of the NHC... maybe off a little, but under 50. It's wobbling around.
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cone of error

#22 Postby RichG » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:51 am

It is clearly on edge of the northern cone of error track. This is why NHC should dispense with the line and stick with the cone only.
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Re: cone of error

#23 Postby loon » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:56 am

RichG wrote:It is clearly on edge of the northern cone of error track. This is why NHC should dispense with the line and stick with the cone only.


This I agree with 100%, problem is, its horrible for verification. They need to know how close they got to verify models and all the other stuff.

cheers,
loon
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#24 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:00 pm

Meh, another slight west jog along the coast per radar.....Dennis is torturing Cuba, yet again.
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#25 Postby tw861 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:01 pm

Better check that radar:

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kbyx.shtml

As of 12:51 eastern still no landfall.
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#26 Postby loon » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:02 pm

He is refusing to come on land apparently....tsk tsk, bad Dennis, get up in that there landmass and knock yourself down a little bit.
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#27 Postby Agua » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:03 pm

Damn that eye!! GO IN! @%!@#
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#28 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:03 pm

Hopefully he doesnt get any ideas about havana.
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#29 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:04 pm

This is torturing Cuba. Get this thing inland!
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#30 Postby dwg71 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:05 pm

It will be inland with in the next hour...
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#31 Postby loon » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:06 pm

dwg71 wrote:It will be inland with in the next hour...


hehe, now there is a prediction I have no problem believing.

cheers,
loon
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Landfall

#32 Postby jasons2k » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:07 pm

Looks like it is doing what Joe B. said it would as soon as it got close to land. It will have a hard time going in for awhile.
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#33 Postby LAwxrgal » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:15 pm

This thing is riding the coast. Bad bad bad.... :cry:

I hope those people down there got out.
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#34 Postby otowntiger » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:22 pm

Brent wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Landfall this soon does not bode well for Florida. Hope he weakens considerably.


No.

WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS OCCURRED...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR
HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD
MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON.

Last I checked... it's afternoon.

Yesterday at 5pm:

For 2pm today: 24HR VT 08/1800Z 22.3N 80.5W 95 KT...INLAND

Very close to where it's going to be:

At 5am this morning for 2pm today:

12HR VT 08/1800Z 22.0N 80.7W 120 KT...INLAND

Again... very close.


Here we go again. It all comes down to this: If you live in Florida, then the storm is east of the predicted track, or it is jogging more north. If you live anywhere else, it is the opposite. This is so predictable, its hillarious.
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#35 Postby Gorky » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:27 pm

This is the area where Dennis has made it's second landfall

Looks like a fairly populated (and beautiful) area :(

Edit: Trinidad has a population of 77,000 people.

Image
Last edited by Gorky on Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#36 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:29 pm

Gorky wrote:This is the area where Dennis has made it's second landfall

Looks like a fairly populated (and beautiful) area :(


Image

Google Earth is amazing. Period.
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#37 Postby LAwxrgal » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:31 pm

I hate to see the pictures from that area in the next few days. :cry:
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#38 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:32 pm

BTW, if of course the track is consistent, it has some pretty high terrain to cross through at first, then its gets mostly flat for the rest of the trip.
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#39 Postby Hurrilurker » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:32 pm

It looks like the eye is going to cross into land right here. I have a feeling we're going to see a lot of boats on hillsides in a few days and they may end up with a much larger mouth to their little bay.
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#40 Postby BlowinNTheWind » Fri Jul 08, 2005 12:35 pm

Amazing Picture Gorky!!!...did not know Google had that feature...how do you access that part of Google?....and yes I agree that it seems to be moving on a much more northward path than the models were predicting
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