How's this for a NW jog?

#21 Postby **StJoe** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 7:59 am

Air Force Met wrote:
StJoe wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:My question is: How many new posts do we have to have on jogs? Seems like we get one every update on the SSD page.

I'm sorry, Dude, but when you live in SE Fla. like I do, jogs and wobbles mean much. I mean, Frances and Jeanne made landfall less than 2 miles apart from each other...Why? Because of a wobble...Sorry I mentioned it!

I'm not saying don't talk about wobbles...but there are already existing threads talking about the NW movement...and it is VERY helpful to keep as much of the same topic on one thread. Starting new threads pushes everything to the bottom. Not trying to be harsh...jsut asking that we keep as many posts on one thread as possible...which is the request of the mods. There are plenty of threadsto choose from...one which was almost identical to yours...these are just on the first page...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... c88ddf1f9a

AH, HA! Good Point, Touche!

#22 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:01 am

Air Force Met wrote:My question is: How many new posts do we have to have on jogs? Seems like we get one every update on the SSD page.

Exactly. It does get aggrevating after a while. "Oh no! a West jog! The cone will shift west at the next advisory :eek:

" "Oh no! a North jog! The cone will shift east at the next advisory :eek:

" It is beginning to get old.

#23 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:04 am

skysummit wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:My question is: How many new posts do we have to have on jogs? Seems like we get one every update on the SSD page.

Exactly. It does get aggrevating after a while. "Oh no! a West jog! The cone will shift west at the next advisory " "Oh no! a North jog! The cone will shift east at the next advisory " It is beginning to get old.

It got real old last year...and since this is the first of July...this is going to be a long season. :lol:

mds8309 · #24 Postby **mds8309** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:07 am

It's moving wnw. No, its' moving nw. No, it's moving N. Really, It seems people are fighting on what direction it's moving. It's like some people get mad if the storm is not moving their way.

#25 Postby **fci** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:09 am

StJoe wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:My question is: How many new posts do we have to have on jogs? Seems like we get one every update on the SSD page.

I'm sorry, Dude, but when you live in SE Fla. like I do, jogs and wobbles mean much. I mean, Frances and Jeanne made landfall less than 2 miles apart from each other...Why? Because of a wobble...Sorry I mentioned it!

The "jog" Jeanne made over Grand Bahama made the difference between a direct hit here in Central Palm Beach County and its actual hit north of here.
A HUGE difference! It headed due West, "jogged" over Grqand Bahama up about .8 N; and then resumed its due West movement. We were SAVED here by the "jog"!

#26 Postby **StJoe** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:09 am

OK, enough already! No new jor or wobble post!!! Is it ok to post a "Cat 5 thoughts or comments" LOL :lol:

RLMAO!!!

#27 Postby **StJoe** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:11 am

Thanks, fci! 8-)

Nice and Sunny in LW, huh?

Amanzi · #28 Postby **Amanzi** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:11 am

I feel like I am watching a game of tennis with this cone thing... East..West...east...west. Just waiting for the call. Game. Set. Match. :roll:

SCHawkFan · #29 Postby **SCHawkFan** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:11 am

If a topic heading has the word jog in it, and you do not like reading about jogs, why take the time to open the thread, read the posts and contribute a negative reply? It would seem that the logical choice of action is to avoid all threads discussing jogs.

simplyjen329 · #30 Postby **simplyjen329** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:12 am

I agree about the wobbles and such but I can say that after last years season and the many discussions in late august about wobbles when very few forcasters acknowledged the chance for the hit just south of tampa in Port Charlotte, we had the best forcasters here that hit it dead on, IMHO when Derrick says its going nw and for tampa to look out....than I'll be "hunkering down" for now I'm just going with the old school "bare watch" and going to the store now before people get spooked tonight and the shelves get empty tommorrow in good ole Pinellas County like last year. So glad to be here at Storm2K for another season though my thoughts and prayers go out for ANYONE affected by any of these storms.

#31 Postby **Blown Away** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:12 am

Starting to hug 80, looks like a NNW movement!

#32 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:13 am

Amanzi wrote:I feel like I am watching a game of tennis with this cone thing... East..West...east...west. Just waiting for the call. Game. Set. Match.

LOL

#33 Postby **loon** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:13 am

But people, lets understand...these "JOGS" you keep bringing up are when they are close to "YOU" and landfalling or about to. The "JOGS" people are trying to comment about out here in Cuba, they are trying to use to say where it will landfall days from now. There is a difference. Hopefully you can see it. A 12hr change on a small scale of WNW vs NW *COULD* make a big difference at a later landfall, but these 4hrs this way and 4hrs that way aren't really changing the end result. Of course, everyone sees things there own ways, but hey, this is how I see it.

cheers,
loon

#34 Postby **StJoe** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:14 am

Like the Domino's Pizza commercial; "can I get a two time HooHaa..."

Those boys are trying to make me feel like crap for starting the post. Oh well, I didn't know this was so serious...I sure do now. 8-)

#35 Postby **fci** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:16 am

StJoe wrote:Thanks, fci! Nice and Sunny in LW, huh?

Joe:
Reminds me of Charley where LW had a little gust here and there and nothing else.
Of course, Charley was a lot smaller storm...

#36 Postby **StJoe** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:19 am

YAH! You can say that...Go back to the board...There's another NW post...RLMAO..Must piss off those meteoroligists!!!OOPS

Banditt · #37 Postby **Banditt** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:20 am

An eastern jog in Ivan of only 30 miles saved Mobile the fury of hurricane Ivan.

#38 Postby **fci** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:20 am

loon wrote:But people, lets understand...these "JOGS" you keep bringing up are when they are close to "YOU" and landfalling or about to. The "JOGS" people are trying to comment about out here in Cuba, they are trying to use to say where it will landfall days from now. There is a difference. Hopefully you can see it. A 12hr change on a small scale of WNW vs NW *COULD* make a big difference at a later landfall, but these 4hrs this way and 4hrs that way aren't really changing the end result. Of course, everyone sees things there own ways, but hey, this is how I see it.

cheers,
loon

Upon further review I agree with you.
When close to you, a jog is vital; when more than a day away, rather unimportant unless the "jog" becomes a new track.
everyone is so skittish about this powerful storm that they are looking into each wobble as a pattern.

hurricanefloyd5 · #39 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:36 am

http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?T ... UEGOSA.gif

look at this radar loop...... it looks like it's moving or wobbling nnw now!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

chris_fit · #40 Postby **chris_fit** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 8:50 am

If it keeps up this wobble Key West could be doomed!

How's this for a NW jog?

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